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Who Should I Draft?

Lance Lynn or Edwin Diaz (2020)

Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Lance Lynn
SP - TEX
Lance Lynn
Edwin Diaz
RP - NYM
Edwin Diaz
Expert
Recommendation
51%
Recommended by
20 of 39 experts
49%
Recommended by
19 of 39 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 36# 35
Best Rank# 24# 20
Worst Rank# 74# 73
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 124# 111
Best Rank# 109# 104
Worst Rank# 135# 132
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts19295
Wins123
Saves026
ERA3.973.24
WHIP1.291.08
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 38# 41
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 36# 42
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 38# 41
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 35# 37
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 32# 36
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 38# 47
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 35# 43
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 53# 73
   
Mark Ross
Athlon Sports
# 38# 39
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 28# 50
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 36# 45
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 34# 47
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 31# 47
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 37# 40
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 45# 56
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 30# 42
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 30# 47
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 25# 43
   
Sean Zerillo
The Action Network
# 24# 39
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 29# 39
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 29# 24
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 31# 29
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 37# 32
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 38# 20
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 38# 22
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 39# 27
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 45# 42
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 45# 43
   
George Kurtz
FantasyData
# 45# 34
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 46# 40
   
Chris Mitchell
FantasyData
# 46# 42
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 48# 33
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 49# 25
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 50# 35
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 51# 47
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 52# 28
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 53# 41
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 62# 36
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 74# 25
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Lance Lynn
SP - TEX
Lance Lynn
Edwin Diaz
RP - NYM
Edwin Diaz
2019 Stats 
   
   
Games Played3366
   
Games Started330
   
Innings Pitched208.158.1
   
Wins162
   
Losses117
   
Saves026
   
Blown Saves07
   
Holds01
   
Hits Allowed19558
   
Earned Runs8536
   
Home Runs Allowed2115
   
Strikeouts24699
   
Walks5922
   
ERA3.675.59
   
WHIP1.221.38
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Lance Lynn
SP - TEX
Lance Lynn
Edwin Diaz
RP - NYM
Edwin Diaz
2020 Projections 
   
   
Games Played2961
   
Games Started290
   
Innings Pitched177.861.3
   
Wins123
   
Losses93
   
Saves026
   
Blown Saves03
   
Holds03
   
Hits Allowed16746
   
Earned Runs7822
   
Home Runs Allowed238
   
Strikeouts19295
   
Walks6221
   
ERA3.973.24
   
WHIP1.291.08
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Lance Lynn
SP - TEX
Lance Lynn
Edwin Diaz
RP - NYM
Edwin Diaz
News 
  Mets reliever Edwin Diaz did not a allow a baserunner or strike out a batter over the course of a scoreless inning in Wednesday's win over the St. Louis Cardinals.
Mike Maher
Thu, Mar 12th
Notes 
 Lynn was truly phenomenal last season, turning his velocity gains into both an increase in strikeout rate and a massive drop in walk rate. Everything Lynn did in 2019 was backed up by his underlying metrics, so there's plenty of reason for optimism in 2020. But it's fair to consider how out of character Lynn's year was, an add just a wee bit of caution to your projections.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Diaz's season was an unmitigated disaster. While his strikeout rate remained strong, his ERA ballooned to 5.59, his home run rate rose to comical levels, and his control waned. By the end of the season, he had ceded save opportunities to Seth Lugo and was relegated to mopup duty. Diaz's slider went from being unhittable in 2018 (.129 BAA) to getting crushed in 2019 (.297 BAA). He'll enter 2020 as the closer for the Mets, and reliever volatility is well-known, so don't be surprised to see Diaz rebound big-time in 2020. But just don't go into your season banking on it.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 If he can replicate his 2019 season he will be a tremendous value at ADP. A 200+ K pitcher with a strong ERA and Whip in the 9th-10th round is very alluring. Had an FIP even better than his ERA in 2019, so there is reason for optimism.
Michael Petropoulos - BRoto Fantasy
Diaz is clearly an exceptional talent as demonstrated by his insane 2018 campaign, but we are talking about a 10th round pick who didn't even manage to finish among the top 50 relievers last season. Sure, the 5.59 ERA and 1.38 WHIP are likely to come down but will it happen long enough to hold onto the closer job all year?
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
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