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Who Should I Draft?

Lance Lynn or Edwin Diaz (2020)

Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
Experts' Pick
  Lance Lynn
SP - TEX
Lance Lynn
Edwin Diaz
RP - NYM
Edwin Diaz
Expert
Recommendation
50%
Recommended by
25 of 50 experts
50%
Recommended by
25 of 50 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 33# 34
Best Rank# 20# 11
Worst Rank# 74# 56
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 114# 117
Best Rank# 107# 104
Worst Rank# 133# 132
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts7437
Wins51
Saves011
ERA4.023.28
WHIP1.301.07
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 52# 44
   
Site Rankings
Sports Illustrated
# 29# 24
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 51# 40
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 51# 47
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 27# 18
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 31# 29
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 39# 27
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 27
   
Chet Gresham
The Fake Baseball
# 38# 34
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 20# 11
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 39# 27
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 74# 25
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 41# 32
   
Matt Brandon
Matt Brandon
# 44# 37
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 34# 31
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 52# 25
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 45# 43
   
M. Starks Powell
New Life Fantasy
# 30# 21
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 46# 38
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 48# 39
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 61# 46
   
George Kurtz
SportsGrid
# 45# 34
   
Chris Mitchell
FantasyData
# 44# 40
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 42# 34
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 34# 30
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 21# 49
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 21# 42
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 21# 46
   
Sean Zerillo
The Action Network
# 24# 39
   
Brendan Tuma
BettingPros
# 26# 38
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 27# 53
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 28# 37
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 29# 39
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 29# 36
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 29# 38
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 29# 30
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 30# 37
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 31# 45
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 31# 39
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 32# 36
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 32# 50
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 33# 40
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 35# 43
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 35# 38
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 36# 50
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 36# 38
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 37# 40
   
Mark Ross
Athlon Sports
# 38# 39
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 40# 47
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 45# 56
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Lance Lynn
SP - TEX
Lance Lynn
Edwin Diaz
RP - NYM
Edwin Diaz
2019 Stats 
   
   
Games Played3366
   
Games Started330
   
Innings Pitched208.158.1
   
Wins162
   
Losses117
   
Saves026
   
Blown Saves07
   
Holds01
   
Hits Allowed19558
   
Earned Runs8536
   
Home Runs Allowed2115
   
Strikeouts24699
   
Walks5922
   
ERA3.675.59
   
WHIP1.221.38
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Lance Lynn
SP - TEX
Lance Lynn
Edwin Diaz
RP - NYM
Edwin Diaz
2020 Projections 
   
   
Games Played1224
   
Games Started120
   
Innings Pitched69.024.0
   
Wins51
   
Losses41
   
Saves011
   
Blown Saves02
   
Holds01
   
Hits Allowed6518
   
Earned Runs319
   
Home Runs Allowed93
   
Strikeouts7437
   
Walks248
   
ERA4.023.28
   
WHIP1.301.07
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Lance Lynn
SP - TEX
Lance Lynn
Edwin Diaz
RP - NYM
Edwin Diaz
News 
 Lance Lynn got rocked in Thursday's 12-4 loss to the Astros. He gave up 12 hits, ten runs, nine earned runs, two walks, and five strikeouts in 5.2 innings.
Corbin Young
Thu, Sep 24th
Mets closer Edwin Diaz allowed one earned run on two hits and one strikeout while converting his sixth save of the season in Thursday's win over the Nationals.
Mike Maher
Fri, Sep 25th
 Lance Lynn tossed a quality start against the Angels in Saturday's 4-3 loss. He threw seven innings while allowing seven hits, three earned runs, zero walks, and five strikeouts.
Corbin Young
Sun, Sep 20th
Mets closer Edwin Diaz struck out one and allowed one hit over a scoreless inning to earn his fifth save of the season in Tuesday's win over the Rays.
Mike Maher
Wed, Sep 23rd
 In Sunday's 6-3 win against the Athletics, Lance Lynn tossed a quality start. He allowed three hits, one earned run and two walks with ten strikeouts in seven innings.
Corbin Young
Sun, Sep 13th
Mets reliever Edwin Diaz allowed one hit and struck out three over an inning of work to earn his fourth save of the season in Wednesday's win over the Phillies.
Mike Maher
Thu, Sep 17th
 Lance Lynn threw a quality start in Tuesday's 7-1 win against the Angels. In seven innings, Lynn allowed four hits, one earned run, and two walks with six strikeouts.
Corbin Young
Tue, Sep 8th
Mets closer Edwin Diaz allowed one hit and struck out one over a scoreless inning to earn his third save of the season in Wednesday's win over the Orioles.
Mike Maher
Thu, Sep 10th
 Lance Lynn struggled and allowed eight hits, six earned runs, two walks, and seven strikeouts across six innings in the 8-4 loss to the Astros. This was his only start where he allowed more than three earned runs.
Corbin Young
Fri, Sep 4th
Mets reliever Edwin Diaz struck out the side in a perfect ninth inning to earn his second save of the season in Friday's win over the New York Yankees.
Mike Maher
Sat, Aug 29th
Notes 
 If you're playing the volume game and quantity over quality, Lynn is your guys. What he did in 2019 seems legit, based on the numbers, but it's hard to shake what he's done over his career in comparison.
Michael Waterloo - FantasyPros
Jarred Kelenic was traded for Edwin Diaz and Robinson Cano. Diaz will get another shot to make this trade seem a little less bad than it was, but with Dellin Betances waiting in the wings, the leash won't be long.
Michael Waterloo - FantasyPros
 Lynn was truly phenomenal last season, turning his velocity gains into both an increase in strikeout rate and a massive drop in walk rate. Everything Lynn did in 2019 was backed up by his underlying metrics, so there's plenty of reason for optimism in 2020. But it's fair to consider how out of character Lynn's year was, an add just a wee bit of caution to your projections.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Diaz's season was an unmitigated disaster. While his strikeout rate remained strong, his ERA ballooned to 5.59, his home run rate rose to comical levels, and his control waned. By the end of the season, he had ceded save opportunities to Seth Lugo and was relegated to mopup duty. Diaz's slider went from being unhittable in 2018 (.129 BAA) to getting crushed in 2019 (.297 BAA). He'll enter 2020 as the closer for the Mets, and reliever volatility is well-known, so don't be surprised to see Diaz rebound big-time in 2020. But just don't go into your season banking on it.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 If he can replicate his 2019 season he will be a tremendous value at ADP. A 200+ K pitcher with a strong ERA and Whip in the 9th-10th round is very alluring. Had an FIP even better than his ERA in 2019, so there is reason for optimism.
Michael Petropoulos - BRoto Fantasy