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Who Should I Draft?

Lance Lynn or Javier Baez (2021)

Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Javier Baez
SS - CHC
Javier Baez
Lance Lynn
SP - CWS
Lance Lynn
Expert
Recommendation
56%
Recommended by
5 of 9 experts
44%
Recommended by
4 of 9 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 53# 66
Best Rank# 29# 37
Worst Rank# 71# 123
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 79# 51
Best Rank# 71# 44
Worst Rank# 89# 58
   
Projections 
   
Runs86
Home Runs2929
RBI92
Stolen Bases13
Batting Avg.260
Strikeouts178206
Wins13
Saves0
ERA3.99
WHIP1.25
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 55# 108
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 55# 123
   
Frank Stampfl
CBS Sports
# 29# 108
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 32# 54
   
SportsLine - Computer Simulation
CBS Sports
# 65# 101
   
Brendan Tuma
BettingPros
# 71# 37
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 58# 40
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 69# 54
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 65# 54
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Javier Baez
SS - CHC
Javier Baez
Lance Lynn
SP - CWS
Lance Lynn
2020 Stats 
   
   
Runs27
   
Home Runs813
   
RBI24
   
Stolen Bases3
   
Batting Avg.203
   
Strikeouts7589
   
Wins6
   
Saves0
   
ERA3.32
   
WHIP1.06
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Javier Baez
SS - CHC
Javier Baez
Lance Lynn
SP - CWS
Lance Lynn
2021 Projections 
   
   
Runs86
   
Home Runs2929
   
RBI92
   
Stolen Bases13
   
Batting Avg.260
   
Strikeouts178206
   
Wins13
   
Saves0
   
ERA3.99
   
WHIP1.25
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Javier Baez
SS - CHC
Javier Baez
Lance Lynn
SP - CWS
Lance Lynn
News 
 Javier Baez and the Cubs agreed to a one-year, $11.65 million deal to avoid arbitration.
Jon Mathisen
Fri, Jan 15th
 
Notes 
  Lynn turned in another stellar year in 2020, leading MLB with 84 innings pitched, striking out plenty of batters, and keeping his walk rate and overall numbers in check. But there are a few warning signs under the hood, including his 4.19 FIP, his 4.34 xFIP, and his career-high 79.4% LOB rate. Of bigger concern is his trade to the White Sox and hitter-friendly Guaranteed Rate Field, particularly because Lynn had a 38.3% fly-ball rate in 2019 and a 42.3% fly-ball rate last year. That led to the worst HR/9 rate of his career and second-worst HR/FB rate (13.8%) in 2020. Countering those troublesome warning signs, however, is the fact that he'll be caught by perhaps the best pitch framer in baseball in Yasmani Grandal, and that will generally help with his numbers which, again, were excellent last year. Add it all up and Lynn's ERA should likely increase simply because of the additional home runs he'll allow if he can't turn around his trend in fly-ball rate, but Grandal's presence and Lynn's general aptitude on the mound should allow for another strong season and make him worthy of a selection as an SP2.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros