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Who Should I Draft?

Lance Lynn or J.D. Martinez (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Lance Lynn
SP - CWS
Lance Lynn
J.D. Martinez
LF,RF,DH - BOS
J.D. Martinez
Expert
Recommendation
68%
Recommended by
38 of 56 experts
32%
Recommended by
18 of 56 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 57# 61
Best Rank# 34# 39
Worst Rank# 130# 126
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 52# 91
Best Rank# 43# 76
Worst Rank# 65# 101
   
Projections 
   
Runs84
Home Runs2731
RBI96
Stolen Bases3
Batting Avg.274
Strikeouts198147
Wins12
Saves0
ERA3.95
WHIP1.22
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 59# 65
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 45# 82
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 62# 71
   
Josh Shepardson
FantasyPros
# 54# 59
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 59# 63
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 44# 76
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 59# 96
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 51# 52
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 39# 67
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 58# 62
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 53# 65
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 53# 55
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 63# 80
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 57# 61
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 57# 75
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 90# 110
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 47# 65
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 55# 56
   
Frank Stampfl
CBS Sports
# 47# 73
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 47# 60
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 34# 79
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 65# 75
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 48# 74
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 69# 76
   
Jorge B. Edwards
Fantasy In Frames
# 50# 51
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 54# 81
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 52# 57
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 54# 72
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 72# 126
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 58# 74
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 55# 72
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 58# 64
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 49# 59
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 47# 100
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 50# 81
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 54# 63
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 54# 59
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 88# 98
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 49# 45
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 52# 46
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 60# 45
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 62# 59
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 64# 39
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 65# 59
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 68# 61
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 68# 62
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 69# 60
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 72# 40
   
SportsLine - Computer Simulation
CBS Sports
# 74# 72
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 76# 51
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 81# 47
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 81# 64
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 84# 44
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 88# 63
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 113# 61
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 130# 52
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Lance Lynn
SP - CWS
Lance Lynn
J.D. Martinez
LF,RF,DH - BOS
J.D. Martinez
2020 Stats 
   
   
Runs22
   
Home Runs137
   
RBI27
   
Stolen Bases1
   
Batting Avg.213
   
Strikeouts8959
   
Wins6
   
Saves0
   
ERA3.32
   
WHIP1.06
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Lance Lynn
SP - CWS
Lance Lynn
J.D. Martinez
LF,RF,DH - BOS
J.D. Martinez
2021 Projections 
   
   
Runs84
   
Home Runs2731
   
RBI96
   
Stolen Bases3
   
Batting Avg.274
   
Strikeouts198147
   
Wins12
   
Saves0
   
ERA3.95
   
WHIP1.22
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Lance Lynn
SP - CWS
Lance Lynn
J.D. Martinez
LF,RF,DH - BOS
J.D. Martinez
News 
 Lance Lynn pitched five strong innings on Friday, allowing one earned run on four hits and one walk while striking out four batters.
Ethan Biddle - The Work of Ethan Biddle
Sat, Oct 2nd
Red Sox OF/DH J.D. Martinez (ankle) is absent from the team's Game 1 lineup against the Rays.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Thu, Oct 7th
 Lance Lynn allowed just two hits in his five innings of work, striking out nine and not allowing a single earned run.
Ethan Biddle - The Work of Ethan Biddle
Mon, Sep 13th
Red Sox OF/DH J.D. Martinez (ankle) has been left off the team's roster for Tuesday's Wild Card game against the Yankees.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Tue, Oct 5th
 The White Sox reinstated RHP Lance Lynn (knee) from the 10-day injured list.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, Sep 11th
The status of J.D. Martinez remains unclear for Tuesday's Wild Card game against the Yankees, Boston manager Alex Cora said Monday.
Ari Koslow
Mon, Oct 4th
 White Sox pitcher Lance Lynn is expected to start on Sunday against Boston. It will be his first outing since landing on the 10-day injured list with right knee inflammation at the end of August.
Andersen Pickard
Thu, Sep 9th
J.D. Martinez went 3-for-4 with a double, a home run, three RBIs, and two runs scored on Wednesday.
Liam Gibney
Thu, Sep 30th
 Lance Lynn is scheduled to throw a bullpen session on Friday.
Ari Koslow
Wed, Sep 8th
J.D. Martinez went 2-for-5 with a home run, two RBIs, and a run scored in Tuesday's win over the Mariners.
Liam Gibney
Wed, Sep 15th
Notes 
 Lynn turned in another stellar year in 2020, leading MLB with 84 innings pitched, striking out plenty of batters, and keeping his walk rate and overall numbers in check. But there are a few warning signs under the hood, including his 4.19 FIP, his 4.34 xFIP, and his career-high 79.4% LOB rate. Of bigger concern is his trade to the White Sox and hitter-friendly Guaranteed Rate Field, particularly because Lynn had a 38.3% fly-ball rate in 2019 and a 42.3% fly-ball rate last year. That led to the worst HR/9 rate of his career and second-worst HR/FB rate (13.8%) in 2020. Countering those troublesome warning signs, however, is the fact that he'll be caught by perhaps the best pitch framer in baseball in Yasmani Grandal, and that will generally help with his numbers which, again, were excellent last year. Add it all up and Lynn's ERA should likely increase simply because of the additional home runs he'll allow if he can't turn around his trend in fly-ball rate, but Grandal's presence and Lynn's general aptitude on the mound should allow for another strong season and make him worthy of a selection as an SP2.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Martinez had a disastrous 2020 season, during which he slashed just .213/.291/.389 and hit seven home runs. Martinez simply didn't hit the ball nearly as hard as he used to, and hit a ton of fly balls, the combination of which helped to drain his batting average significantly. There's a ton to dislike about last year, but given that Martinez has talked about how much he relies on watching video in-game, and his inability to do so last year because of COVID-19 protocols, it seems likely that you can write off last year to a slump that didn't have time to end. He'll be eligible at utility only, but there's a massive opportunity for profit if you are willing to largely look past 2020.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
  2020 was a disaster for JDM. A cerebral hitter who relies heavily on in-game video analysis, Martinez admitted that it was tough to stay engaged last season. Aside from getting in-game video back, reasons for optimism include a barrel-rate that was similar to his 2019 mark as well as some solid plate discipline numbers. It would be more concerning if Martinez's discipline fell off as much as his batted-ball stats did. If you chalk it all up to "2020" then you can get JD at a big-time value this year.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros