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Who Should I Draft?

Lance Lynn or Josh Hader (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Lance Lynn
SP - CWS
Lance Lynn
Josh Hader
RP - MIL
Josh Hader
Expert
Recommendation
55%
Recommended by
28 of 51 experts
45%
Recommended by
23 of 51 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 17# 18
Best Rank# 12# 12
Worst Rank# 38# 56
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 52# 54
Best Rank# 43# 51
Worst Rank# 65# 61
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts198104
Wins124
Saves030
ERA3.952.91
WHIP1.220.98
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 18# 31
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 14# 26
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 16# 18
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 20# 37
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 17# 20
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 16# 24
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 12# 31
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 17# 20
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 18# 19
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 17# 19
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 18# 27
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 15# 21
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 17# 18
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 12# 56
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 16# 21
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 16# 17
   
Jorge B. Edwards
Fantasy In Frames
# 14# 18
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 18# 28
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 17# 19
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 17# 19
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 20# 26
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 18# 19
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 15# 19
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 17# 22
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 15# 23
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 17# 18
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 17# 19
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 15# 17
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 17# 16
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 18# 17
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 18# 16
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 18# 16
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 18# 16
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 18# 17
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 19# 17
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 19# 15
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 20# 17
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 20# 17
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 20# 17
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 21# 20
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 21# 16
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 23# 21
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 23# 18
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 24# 22
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 24# 16
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 25# 19
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 26# 12
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 28# 18
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 28# 17
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 30# 16
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 38# 19
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Lance Lynn
SP - CWS
Lance Lynn
Josh Hader
RP - MIL
Josh Hader
2020 Stats 
   
   
Games Played1321
   
Games Started130
   
Innings Pitched84.019.1
   
Wins61
   
Losses32
   
Saves013
   
Blown Saves02
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed648
   
Earned Runs318
   
Home Runs Allowed133
   
Strikeouts8931
   
Walks2510
   
ERA3.323.79
   
WHIP1.060.95
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Lance Lynn
SP - CWS
Lance Lynn
Josh Hader
RP - MIL
Josh Hader
2021 Projections 
   
   
Games Played3062
   
Games Started300
   
Innings Pitched184.164.6
   
Wins124
   
Losses93
   
Saves030
   
Blown Saves07
   
Holds03
   
Hits Allowed16739
   
Earned Runs8121
   
Home Runs Allowed279
   
Strikeouts198104
   
Walks5724
   
ERA3.952.91
   
WHIP1.220.98
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Lance Lynn
SP - CWS
Lance Lynn
Josh Hader
RP - MIL
Josh Hader
News 
 Lance Lynn allowed just two hits in his five innings of work, striking out nine and not allowing a single earned run.
Ethan Biddle - The Work of Ethan Biddle
Mon, Sep 13th
Josh Hader picked up another save Saturday against the Cubs, allowing one hit, walking one, and striking out two.
Connor Rooney
Sun, Sep 19th
 The White Sox reinstated RHP Lance Lynn (knee) from the 10-day injured list.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, Sep 11th
Josh Hader picked up save 32 Friday against the Cubs, allowing one hit and striking out one in one inning.
Connor Rooney
Sat, Sep 18th
 White Sox pitcher Lance Lynn is expected to start on Sunday against Boston. It will be his first outing since landing on the 10-day injured list with right knee inflammation at the end of August.
Andersen Pickard
Thu, Sep 9th
Josh Hader earned the save Saturday against Cleveland, striking out two in one inning.
Connor Rooney
Sat, Sep 11th
 Lance Lynn is scheduled to throw a bullpen session on Friday.
Ari Koslow
Wed, Sep 8th
Josh Hader earned the save Wednesday against the Phillies, walking two in a scoreless inning.
Connor Rooney
Thu, Sep 9th
 The White Sox placed Lance Lynn on the 10-day injured list with a knee injury.
Corbin Young
Wed, Sep 1st
Josh Hader picked up the save Wednesday against the Giants, walking one and striking out three in a scoreless inning.
Connor Rooney
Thu, Sep 2nd
Notes 
 Lynn turned in another stellar year in 2020, leading MLB with 84 innings pitched, striking out plenty of batters, and keeping his walk rate and overall numbers in check. But there are a few warning signs under the hood, including his 4.19 FIP, his 4.34 xFIP, and his career-high 79.4% LOB rate. Of bigger concern is his trade to the White Sox and hitter-friendly Guaranteed Rate Field, particularly because Lynn had a 38.3% fly-ball rate in 2019 and a 42.3% fly-ball rate last year. That led to the worst HR/9 rate of his career and second-worst HR/FB rate (13.8%) in 2020. Countering those troublesome warning signs, however, is the fact that he'll be caught by perhaps the best pitch framer in baseball in Yasmani Grandal, and that will generally help with his numbers which, again, were excellent last year. Add it all up and Lynn's ERA should likely increase simply because of the additional home runs he'll allow if he can't turn around his trend in fly-ball rate, but Grandal's presence and Lynn's general aptitude on the mound should allow for another strong season and make him worthy of a selection as an SP2.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Hader wasn't quite as dominant as he had been the previous two years, largely due to a spike in walk rate and the slightest of declines in strikeout rate. But he still tallied 13 saves, third-best in baseball, and had a miniscule 0.95 WHIP. If you parse it closely, it was just a bizarre season for Hader, who didn't give up a run through his first nine appearances, but subsequently allowed four runs in an inning. He walked five batters in a game, but didn't allow a single walk in any game after that, a span of 11 appearances. In other words, there seems to be a lot of noise in Hader's "decline," which likely would have been ironed out over the course of a full season. Draft him as the top closer off the board with few concerns.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros