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Who Should I Draft?

Lance Lynn or J.T. Realmuto (2021)

Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  J.T. Realmuto
C - FA
J.T. Realmuto
Lance Lynn
SP - CWS
Lance Lynn
Expert
Recommendation
78%
Recommended by
7 of 9 experts
22%
Recommended by
2 of 9 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 45# 66
Best Rank# 17# 37
Worst Rank# 74# 123
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 44# 51
Best Rank# 37# 44
Worst Rank# 49# 58
   
Projections 
   
Runs83
Home Runs2629
RBI86
Stolen Bases8
Batting Avg.273
Strikeouts128206
Wins13
Saves0
ERA3.99
WHIP1.25
   
Misc 
   
Injury AlertFA-
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 17# 108
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 39# 40
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 47# 123
   
Frank Stampfl
CBS Sports
# 74# 108
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 36# 54
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 44# 54
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 47# 54
   
Brendan Tuma
BettingPros
# 53# 37
   
SportsLine - Computer Simulation
CBS Sports
# 101
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  J.T. Realmuto
C - FA
J.T. Realmuto
Lance Lynn
SP - CWS
Lance Lynn
2020 Stats 
   
   
Runs33
   
Home Runs1113
   
RBI32
   
Stolen Bases4
   
Batting Avg.266
   
Strikeouts4889
   
Wins6
   
Saves0
   
ERA3.32
   
WHIP1.06
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  J.T. Realmuto
C - FA
J.T. Realmuto
Lance Lynn
SP - CWS
Lance Lynn
2021 Projections 
   
   
Runs83
   
Home Runs2629
   
RBI86
   
Stolen Bases8
   
Batting Avg.273
   
Strikeouts128206
   
Wins13
   
Saves0
   
ERA3.99
   
WHIP1.25
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  J.T. Realmuto
C - FA
J.T. Realmuto
Lance Lynn
SP - CWS
Lance Lynn
News 
 Free agent J.T. Realmuto reportedly has a five-year, "slightly north of $100 million" deal on the table from the Philadelphia Phillies, per Jayson Stark of The Athletic.
Jon Mathisen
Fri, Jan 15th
 
Notes 
  Lynn turned in another stellar year in 2020, leading MLB with 84 innings pitched, striking out plenty of batters, and keeping his walk rate and overall numbers in check. But there are a few warning signs under the hood, including his 4.19 FIP, his 4.34 xFIP, and his career-high 79.4% LOB rate. Of bigger concern is his trade to the White Sox and hitter-friendly Guaranteed Rate Field, particularly because Lynn had a 38.3% fly-ball rate in 2019 and a 42.3% fly-ball rate last year. That led to the worst HR/9 rate of his career and second-worst HR/FB rate (13.8%) in 2020. Countering those troublesome warning signs, however, is the fact that he'll be caught by perhaps the best pitch framer in baseball in Yasmani Grandal, and that will generally help with his numbers which, again, were excellent last year. Add it all up and Lynn's ERA should likely increase simply because of the additional home runs he'll allow if he can't turn around his trend in fly-ball rate, but Grandal's presence and Lynn's general aptitude on the mound should allow for another strong season and make him worthy of a selection as an SP2.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros