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Who Should I Draft?

Lance Lynn or Madison Bumgarner (2020)

Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Lance Lynn
SP - TEX
Lance Lynn
Madison Bumgarner
SP - ARI
Madison Bumgarner
Expert
Recommendation
72%
Recommended by
31 of 43 experts
28%
Recommended by
12 of 43 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 36# 42
Best Rank# 23# 21
Worst Rank# 74# 79
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 116# 119
Best Rank# 107# 101
Worst Rank# 136# 133
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts7463
Wins54
Saves00
ERA4.044.47
WHIP1.301.26
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 37# 40
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 29# 32
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 28# 43
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 31# 52
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 39# 51
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 38# 79
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 36# 50
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 38# 50
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 32# 53
   
Chet Gresham
The Fake Baseball
# 38# 44
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 32# 43
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 38# 57
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 37# 50
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 35# 37
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 53# 64
   
Mark Ross
Athlon Sports
# 38# 45
   
Matt Brandon
Matt Brandon
# 44# 49
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 36# 53
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 28# 49
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 37# 54
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 45# 51
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 36# 39
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 53# 56
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 30# 37
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 30# 44
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 53# 65
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 48# 56
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 23# 37
   
Sean Zerillo
The Action Network
# 24# 59
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 29# 45
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 42# 49
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 28# 27
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 32# 28
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 36# 30
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 45# 44
   
George Kurtz
FantasyData
# 45# 44
   
Chris Mitchell
FantasyData
# 46# 21
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 48# 38
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 51# 30
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 53# 36
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 53# 45
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 63# 53
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 74# 44
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Lance Lynn
SP - TEX
Lance Lynn
Madison Bumgarner
SP - ARI
Madison Bumgarner
2019 Stats 
   
   
Games Played3334
   
Games Started3334
   
Innings Pitched208.1208.1
   
Wins169
   
Losses119
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed195191
   
Earned Runs8590
   
Home Runs Allowed2130
   
Strikeouts246203
   
Walks5943
   
ERA3.673.90
   
WHIP1.221.13
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Lance Lynn
SP - TEX
Lance Lynn
Madison Bumgarner
SP - ARI
Madison Bumgarner
2020 Projections 
   
   
Games Played1111
   
Games Started1111
   
Innings Pitched68.568.3
   
Wins54
   
Losses44
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed6568
   
Earned Runs3134
   
Home Runs Allowed911
   
Strikeouts7463
   
Walks2418
   
ERA4.044.47
   
WHIP1.301.26
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Lance Lynn
SP - TEX
Lance Lynn
Madison Bumgarner
SP - ARI
Madison Bumgarner
News 
 Lance Lynn struck out eight over six scoreless innings in a simulated game on Tuesday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Tue, Jul 7th
Madison Bumgarner was not present for the Diamondbacks' first workout on Friday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, Jul 4th
 The Rangers announced that Lance Lynn will be the team's Opening Day starter.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Thu, Jun 25th
Madison Bumgarner allowed three hits and a walk over 3.2 innings Monday against the Royals. He struck out four.
Connor Rooney
Tue, Mar 10th
  Madison Bumgarner allowed five runs (four earned) on four hits and one walk in 2.2 innings against the Indians on Wednesday. He struck out two.
Connor Rooney
Thu, Mar 5th
  Madison Bumgarner allowed one run on one hit while striking out four over two innings Thursday against the Reds.
Connor Rooney
Fri, Feb 28th
Notes 
 If you're playing the volume game and quantity over quality, Lynn is your guys. What he did in 2019 seems legit, based on the numbers, but it's hard to shake what he's done over his career in comparison.
Michael Waterloo - FantasyPros
Bumgarner is attractive this year if you're looking for solid volume from your pitchers opposed to high upside. He won't need to be built up, so you can count on consistent production from him all year.
Michael Waterloo - FantasyPros
 Lynn was truly phenomenal last season, turning his velocity gains into both an increase in strikeout rate and a massive drop in walk rate. Everything Lynn did in 2019 was backed up by his underlying metrics, so there's plenty of reason for optimism in 2020. But it's fair to consider how out of character Lynn's year was, an add just a wee bit of caution to your projections.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Bumgarner's ERA approached 4.00 last year, but he stayed healthy all year and saw a velocity bump after two injury-plagued years. The move to Arizona is a downgrade considering the park change, but it's not quite as drastic as it would have been without the humidor. Still, Bumgarner's numbers were significantly worse away from Oracle Park last year (2.93 ERA at home, 5.29 away), so it's fair to exercise caution with Bumgarner. But, so long as you recognize him for what he is at this point in his career, he'll likely give you what you expect.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 If he can replicate his 2019 season he will be a tremendous value at ADP. A 200+ K pitcher with a strong ERA and Whip in the 9th-10th round is very alluring. Had an FIP even better than his ERA in 2019, so there is reason for optimism.
Michael Petropoulos - BRoto Fantasy