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Who Should I Draft?

Lance Lynn or Nelson Cruz (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Lance Lynn
SP - CWS
Lance Lynn
Nelson Cruz
DH - MIN
Nelson Cruz
Expert
Recommendation
62%
Recommended by
34 of 55 experts
38%
Recommended by
21 of 55 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 57# 60
Best Rank# 34# 33
Worst Rank# 130# 117
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 52# 85
Best Rank# 43# 64
Worst Rank# 65# 92
   
Projections 
   
Runs76
Home Runs2734
RBI89
Stolen Bases1
Batting Avg.269
Strikeouts198143
Wins12
Saves0
ERA3.95
WHIP1.22
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 45# 60
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 81# 102
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 62# 90
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 68# 75
   
Josh Shepardson
FantasyPros
# 54# 58
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 59# 71
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 44# 62
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 59# 113
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 76# 117
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 62# 73
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 72# 111
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 39# 51
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 58# 59
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 53# 78
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 53# 59
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 57# 60
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 47# 56
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 55# 62
   
Frank Stampfl
CBS Sports
# 47# 74
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 47# 71
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 34# 51
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 48# 69
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 52# 59
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 54# 56
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 52# 63
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 54# 59
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 88# 90
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 58# 63
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 55# 59
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 58# 60
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 47# 54
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 54# 61
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 54# 92
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 49# 51
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 49# 44
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 50# 43
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 51# 44
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 57# 53
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 59# 48
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 60# 56
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 63# 60
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 64# 59
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 65# 64
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 65# 61
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 68# 50
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 69# 63
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 69# 49
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 72# 71
   
SportsLine - Computer Simulation
CBS Sports
# 74# 59
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 81# 33
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 84# 47
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 88# 68
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 90# 81
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 113# 58
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 130# 66
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Lance Lynn
SP - CWS
Lance Lynn
Nelson Cruz
DH - MIN
Nelson Cruz
2020 Stats 
   
   
Runs33
   
Home Runs1316
   
RBI33
   
Stolen Bases0
   
Batting Avg.303
   
Strikeouts8958
   
Wins6
   
Saves0
   
ERA3.32
   
WHIP1.06
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Lance Lynn
SP - CWS
Lance Lynn
Nelson Cruz
DH - MIN
Nelson Cruz
2021 Projections 
   
   
Runs76
   
Home Runs2734
   
RBI89
   
Stolen Bases1
   
Batting Avg.269
   
Strikeouts198143
   
Wins12
   
Saves0
   
ERA3.95
   
WHIP1.22
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Lance Lynn
SP - CWS
Lance Lynn
Nelson Cruz
DH - MIN
Nelson Cruz
News 
 Lance Lynn (hand) underwent X-rays on his right hand/forearm after Thursday's win over the Twins that came back negative. He allowed one run (zero earned) on two hits and three walks while striking out nine across five innings earning the win during Thursday’s 4-2 victory over the Tigers.
Brad Camara
Thu, May 13th
Minnesota Twins DH Nelson Cruz went 2-for-5 with a solo homer and two runs in a 13-8 loss to the White Sox on Wednesday.
Matthew Terelle
Thu, May 13th
 Lance Lynn (3-1) allowed one hit and four walks while striking out six across five scoreless innings in Saturday’s 9-1 win over the Royals. He picked up his third win of the season.
Brad Camara
Sun, May 9th
Minnesota Twins DH Nelson Cruz went 2-for-5 with two singles in a 9-3 loss to the White Sox on Tuesday.
Matthew Terelle
Wed, May 12th
 Lance Lynn (2-1) allowed three runs on four hits and two walks while striking out two across five innings during Saturday’s 7-3 win over Cleveland. He picked up his second win of the season.
Brad Camara
Sat, May 1st
Minnesota Twins DH Nelson Cruz went 2-for-4 in a 3-1 loss to the Rangers on Wednesday.
Matthew Terelle
Thu, May 6th
 The White Sox activated RHP Lance Lynn (trapezius) from the 10-day IL.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, May 1st
Minnesota Twins DH Nelson Cruz went 1-for-4 with a two-run homer in an 11-3 loss to the Royals on Saturday.
Matthew Terelle
Sat, May 1st
 RHP Lance Lynn, who's on the injured list with a right trapezius strain, is scheduled to start on Saturday vs. the Cleveland Indians.
Jon Mathisen
Tue, Apr 27th
Minnesota DH Nelson Cruz went 0-for-2 with a run, an RBI, and two walks in a 9-1 win over the Royals on Friday.
Matthew Terelle
Sat, May 1st
Notes 
 Lynn turned in another stellar year in 2020, leading MLB with 84 innings pitched, striking out plenty of batters, and keeping his walk rate and overall numbers in check. But there are a few warning signs under the hood, including his 4.19 FIP, his 4.34 xFIP, and his career-high 79.4% LOB rate. Of bigger concern is his trade to the White Sox and hitter-friendly Guaranteed Rate Field, particularly because Lynn had a 38.3% fly-ball rate in 2019 and a 42.3% fly-ball rate last year. That led to the worst HR/9 rate of his career and second-worst HR/FB rate (13.8%) in 2020. Countering those troublesome warning signs, however, is the fact that he'll be caught by perhaps the best pitch framer in baseball in Yasmani Grandal, and that will generally help with his numbers which, again, were excellent last year. Add it all up and Lynn's ERA should likely increase simply because of the additional home runs he'll allow if he can't turn around his trend in fly-ball rate, but Grandal's presence and Lynn's general aptitude on the mound should allow for another strong season and make him worthy of a selection as an SP2.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
If you ascribe to the "I'd rather jump off a year too early than too late" philosophy, then you probably haven't been drafting Cruz for the last several years. But if not, then you've not only drafted one of the most underrated fantasy bats in recent memory, but you're probably going to do so again this year. Cruz is back on a one-year deal with the Twins, and he's coming off another utterly dominant season. Fine, his strikeout rate rose again a bit, he didn't hit the ball quite as hard, and he's eligible at utility only. But other than the fact that he will be 41 years old this season, there's nothing in his profile that should cause you to expect significant decline. Prepare to be having the same debate next year, after Crus puts up another 35-homer season this year.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros