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Who Should I Draft?

Lance Lynn or Stephen Strasburg (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Lance Lynn
SP - CWS
Lance Lynn
Stephen Strasburg
SP - WSH
Stephen Strasburg
Expert
Recommendation
80%
Recommended by
41 of 51 experts
20%
Recommended by
10 of 51 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 17# 22
Best Rank# 12# 8
Worst Rank# 38# 122
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 52# 59
Best Rank# 43# 54
Worst Rank# 65# 74
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts198169
Wins1211
Saves00
ERA3.953.72
WHIP1.221.18
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert-IL60
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 18# 20
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 21# 33
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 14# 16
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 16# 45
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 18# 24
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 17# 40
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 19# 29
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 16# 21
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 20# 25
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 19# 36
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 12# 14
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 18# 24
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 18# 23
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 17# 45
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 18# 30
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 18# 20
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 17# 27
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 28# 29
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 18# 29
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 15# 25
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 17# 21
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 12# 51
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 20# 28
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 16# 23
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 23# 26
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 16# 24
   
Jorge B. Edwards
Fantasy In Frames
# 14# 20
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 18# 25
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 17# 20
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 17# 33
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 17# 31
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 18# 20
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 26# 30
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 15# 20
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 17# 21
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 15# 17
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 18# 33
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 17# 21
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 17# 122
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 21# 26
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 15# 18
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 20# 15
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 20# 19
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 20# 17
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 23# 20
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 24# 8
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 24# 20
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 25# 15
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 28# 21
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 30# 21
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 38# 18
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Lance Lynn
SP - CWS
Lance Lynn
Stephen Strasburg
SP - WSH
Stephen Strasburg
2020 Stats 
   
   
Games Played132
   
Games Started132
   
Innings Pitched84.05.2
   
Wins60
   
Losses31
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed648
   
Earned Runs316
   
Home Runs Allowed131
   
Strikeouts892
   
Walks251
   
ERA3.3210.80
   
WHIP1.061.80
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Lance Lynn
SP - CWS
Lance Lynn
Stephen Strasburg
SP - WSH
Stephen Strasburg
2021 Projections 
   
   
Games Played3027
   
Games Started3027
   
Innings Pitched184.1152.8
   
Wins1211
   
Losses97
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed167137
   
Earned Runs8163
   
Home Runs Allowed2720
   
Strikeouts198169
   
Walks5744
   
ERA3.953.72
   
WHIP1.221.18
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Lance Lynn
SP - CWS
Lance Lynn
Stephen Strasburg
SP - WSH
Stephen Strasburg
News 
 Lance Lynn allowed just two hits in his five innings of work, striking out nine and not allowing a single earned run.
Ethan Biddle - The Work of Ethan Biddle
Mon, Sep 13th
Washington Nationals pitcher Stephen Strasburg (neck) will undergo neurogenic thoracic outlet surgery. He will miss the rest of the 2021 season.
Brad Camara
Tue, Jul 27th
 The White Sox reinstated RHP Lance Lynn (knee) from the 10-day injured list.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, Sep 11th
Washington Nationals pitcher Stephen Strasburg (neck) had an “uncomfortable” feeling in his neck following Wednesday’s bullpen session.
Brad Camara
Fri, Jul 23rd
 White Sox pitcher Lance Lynn is expected to start on Sunday against Boston. It will be his first outing since landing on the 10-day injured list with right knee inflammation at the end of August.
Andersen Pickard
Thu, Sep 9th
Nationals RHP Stephen Strasburg (neck) threw from the bullpen mound on Monday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Mon, Jul 19th
 Lance Lynn is scheduled to throw a bullpen session on Friday.
Ari Koslow
Wed, Sep 8th
Nationals starter Stephen Strasburg has suffered a setback after throwing a sim game recently. He felt some discomfort in his neck shortly after the outing.
Andersen Pickard
Sat, Jul 17th
 The White Sox placed Lance Lynn on the 10-day injured list with a knee injury.
Corbin Young
Wed, Sep 1st
Nationals' starting pitcher Stephen Strasburg threw a 60-pitch bullpen session on Monday. Strasburg hasn't pitched since June 1.
Corbin Young
Tue, Jul 6th
Notes 
 Lynn turned in another stellar year in 2020, leading MLB with 84 innings pitched, striking out plenty of batters, and keeping his walk rate and overall numbers in check. But there are a few warning signs under the hood, including his 4.19 FIP, his 4.34 xFIP, and his career-high 79.4% LOB rate. Of bigger concern is his trade to the White Sox and hitter-friendly Guaranteed Rate Field, particularly because Lynn had a 38.3% fly-ball rate in 2019 and a 42.3% fly-ball rate last year. That led to the worst HR/9 rate of his career and second-worst HR/FB rate (13.8%) in 2020. Countering those troublesome warning signs, however, is the fact that he'll be caught by perhaps the best pitch framer in baseball in Yasmani Grandal, and that will generally help with his numbers which, again, were excellent last year. Add it all up and Lynn's ERA should likely increase simply because of the additional home runs he'll allow if he can't turn around his trend in fly-ball rate, but Grandal's presence and Lynn's general aptitude on the mound should allow for another strong season and make him worthy of a selection as an SP2.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Strasburg was limited to just five innings in 2020, with an injury that eventually required carpal tunnel syndrome. Although that's a minor surgery, the truth is that fantasy managers have very little data as to the impact and/or successful recovery rate after that surgery for pitchers. Strasburg's a tricky draft pick in any given year - he always provides strong value when he's on the mound, but has only topped 200 innings pitched twice in his career. Now entering his age-33 season, Strasburg will likely again provide excellent overall numbers assuming he is healthy. He looks great in the spring, though he's currently battling a minor calf injury, though it shouldn't keep him out for long. Draft him as an SP2, but anything more than 160 innings is gravy.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros