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Who Should I Draft?

Lance Lynn or Yordan Alvarez (2021)

Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Lance Lynn
SP - CWS
Lance Lynn
Yordan Alvarez
LF,DH - HOU
Yordan Alvarez
Expert
Recommendation
56%
Recommended by
5 of 9 experts
44%
Recommended by
4 of 9 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 66# 54
Best Rank# 37# 33
Worst Rank# 123# 87
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 51# 77
Best Rank# 44# 74
Worst Rank# 58# 84
   
Projections 
   
Runs73
Home Runs2930
RBI86
Stolen Bases3
Batting Avg.284
Strikeouts206122
Wins13
Saves0
ERA3.99
WHIP1.25
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 40# 65
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 54# 87
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 54# 70
   
Brendan Tuma
BettingPros
# 37# 79
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 54# 57
   
SportsLine - Computer Simulation
CBS Sports
# 101# 33
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 108# 33
   
Frank Stampfl
CBS Sports
# 108# 46
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 123# 53
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Lance Lynn
SP - CWS
Lance Lynn
Yordan Alvarez
LF,DH - HOU
Yordan Alvarez
2020 Stats 
   
   
Runs2
   
Home Runs131
   
RBI4
   
Stolen Bases0
   
Batting Avg.250
   
Strikeouts891
   
Wins6
   
Saves0
   
ERA3.32
   
WHIP1.06
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Lance Lynn
SP - CWS
Lance Lynn
Yordan Alvarez
LF,DH - HOU
Yordan Alvarez
2021 Projections 
   
   
Runs73
   
Home Runs2930
   
RBI86
   
Stolen Bases3
   
Batting Avg.284
   
Strikeouts206122
   
Wins13
   
Saves0
   
ERA3.99
   
WHIP1.25
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Lance Lynn
SP - CWS
Lance Lynn
Yordan Alvarez
LF,DH - HOU
Yordan Alvarez
News 
There are no recent news for these players
Notes 
 Lynn turned in another stellar year in 2020, leading MLB with 84 innings pitched, striking out plenty of batters, and keeping his walk rate and overall numbers in check. But there are a few warning signs under the hood, including his 4.19 FIP, his 4.34 xFIP, and his career-high 79.4% LOB rate. Of bigger concern is his trade to the White Sox and hitter-friendly Guaranteed Rate Field, particularly because Lynn had a 38.3% fly-ball rate in 2019 and a 42.3% fly-ball rate last year. That led to the worst HR/9 rate of his career and second-worst HR/FB rate (13.8%) in 2020. Countering those troublesome warning signs, however, is the fact that he'll be caught by perhaps the best pitch framer in baseball in Yasmani Grandal, and that will generally help with his numbers which, again, were excellent last year. Add it all up and Lynn's ERA should likely increase simply because of the additional home runs he'll allow if he can't turn around his trend in fly-ball rate, but Grandal's presence and Lynn's general aptitude on the mound should allow for another strong season and make him worthy of a selection as an SP2.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros