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Who Should I Draft?

Lance McCullers Jr. or Zac Gallen (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Lance McCullers Jr.
SP - HOU
Lance McCullers Jr.
Zac Gallen
SP - ARI
Zac Gallen
Expert
Recommendation
51%
Recommended by
26 of 51 experts
49%
Recommended by
25 of 51 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 37# 41
Best Rank# 22# 10
Worst Rank# 67# 97
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 124# 83
Best Rank# 109# 58
Worst Rank# 132# 146
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts152160
Wins109
Saves00
ERA3.723.54
WHIP1.211.16
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 46# 70
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 40# 59
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 31# 60
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 45# 95
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 32# 75
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 23# 78
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 49# 59
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 28# 63
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 40# 57
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 32# 47
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 35# 56
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 22# 53
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 37# 44
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 25# 53
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 34# 44
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 37# 50
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 48# 52
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 38# 41
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 36# 43
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 28# 44
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 32# 40
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 67# 92
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 32# 49
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 44# 51
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 44# 97
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 30# 62
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 32# 17
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 36# 35
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 36# 26
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 37# 10
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 39# 34
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 39# 31
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 39# 31
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 40# 14
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 40# 37
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 41# 30
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 41# 15
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 41# 16
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 43# 15
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 43# 30
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 43# 32
   
Jorge B. Edwards
Fantasy In Frames
# 44# 15
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 44# 29
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 44# 25
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 47# 45
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 48# 29
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 49# 18
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 49# 22
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 51# 15
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 51# 42
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 52# 48
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Lance McCullers Jr.
SP - HOU
Lance McCullers Jr.
Zac Gallen
SP - ARI
Zac Gallen
2020 Stats 
   
   
Games Played1112
   
Games Started1112
   
Innings Pitched55.172.0
   
Wins33
   
Losses32
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed4455
   
Earned Runs2422
   
Home Runs Allowed59
   
Strikeouts5682
   
Walks2025
   
ERA3.932.75
   
WHIP1.161.11
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Lance McCullers Jr.
SP - HOU
Lance McCullers Jr.
Zac Gallen
SP - ARI
Zac Gallen
2021 Projections 
   
   
Games Played2624
   
Games Started2623
   
Innings Pitched144.2141.0
   
Wins109
   
Losses77
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed126117
   
Earned Runs6055
   
Home Runs Allowed1618
   
Strikeouts152160
   
Walks4846
   
ERA3.723.54
   
WHIP1.211.16
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Lance McCullers Jr.
SP - HOU
Lance McCullers Jr.
Zac Gallen
SP - ARI
Zac Gallen
News 
 Astros starter Lance McCullers Jr. allowed three runs (two earned) over six innings of work against the Diamondbacks on Saturday. His final line included seven hits, two walks, eight strikeouts, and the no-decision. Houston ultimately fell to Arizona by a score of 6-4 in 10 innings.
Andersen Pickard
Sun, Sep 19th
RHP Zac Gallen took the loss on Tuesday when he allowed three runs on six hits with eight strikeouts over 6 2/3 innings as the Diamondbacks lost to the Rangers 3-1.
Jon Mathisen
Wed, Sep 8th
 Astros starter Lance McCullers Jr. allowed one run (a solo homer) over six innings of work against the Angels on Sunday. His final line included three hits, two walks, seven strikeouts, and the win. Houston ultimately defeated Los Angeles by a score of 3-1.
Andersen Pickard
Sun, Sep 12th
RHP Zac Gallen took a loss on Tuesday when he surrendered three runs on five hits with four walks and four strikeouts over six innings as the D-Backs lost to the Rangers.
Jon Mathisen
Wed, Sep 1st
 Astros starter Lance McCullers Jr. allowed two runs over six innings of work against the Mariners on Sunday evening. His final line included four hits, four walks, and seven strikeouts. Houston ultimately defeated Seattle by a score of 11-2.
Andersen Pickard
Tue, Sep 7th
RHP Zac Gallen earned the win on Thursday when he surrendered two unearned runs on three hits with two walks and six strikeouts over five innings as the D-Backs beat the Phillies 8-7.
Jon Mathisen
Thu, Aug 26th
 Astros starter Lance McCullers Jr. threw five scoreless innings en route to earning the no-decision against the Mariners on Tuesday. His final line included four hits, three walks, and three strikeouts. Houston ultimately fell to Seattle by a score of 4-0.
Andersen Pickard
Wed, Sep 1st
RHP Zac Gallen took a no-decision on Saturday when he allowed just three hits and one walk to go along with nine strikeouts over seven scoreless innings as the Diamondbacks lost to the Rockies 5-2.
Jon Mathisen
Sun, Aug 22nd
 Astros starting pitcher Lance McCullers Jr. allowed four runs on five hits over 6.2 innings of work against the Royals on Wednesday afternoon. His final line also included four walks, seven strikeouts, and the no-decision as Houston ultimately defeated Kansas City by a score of 6-5 in 10 innings.
Andersen Pickard
Wed, Aug 25th
RHP Zac Gallen took the loss on Sunday when he allowed four runs on eight hits with three walks and five strikeouts over five innings in the Diamondbacks' 8-2 loss to the Padres.
Jon Mathisen
Sun, Aug 15th
Notes 
 McCullers made a successful return from Tommy John surgery after missing the 2019 season and looked almost exactly like the 2018 version of himself. His ERA (3.93) and WHIP (1.16) were within seven-tenths of a point of his 2018 numbers, and his walk and strikeout rates fell just slightly. McCullers relied a bit more on his sinker and less on his curveball than in past years, but the two work well together and he continued to throw them in combination about 80% of the time. In short, what you thought of McCullers heading into 2018 is pretty much what you should think of him now. Unfortunately, that includes concerns about his innings, because after a missed year and 55 innings last year, the chances of him topping 150 innings this season are remote. Buy him at his production, but understand that there's likely a hard cap on his innings total.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Gallen has a hairline stress fracture of his right forearm at the radial head. He's reportedly going to be able to continue playing catch at a "low stress level" while recovering, though there's no indication of how much time he'll miss. When healthy, he's a solid SP2. He built on his excellent 2019 season with an even more impressive 2020 campaign. Not only did he drop his ERA slightly to 2.75, but he cut way down on his walks (10.8% to 8.6%), which led to a much-improved 1.11 WHIP. Gallen has a 28.5% strikeout rate in 152 MLB innings, and an excellent fastball, curveball, and changeup. There's just not much negative you can say about him when he's healthy other than he might again struggle for wins playing for a mediocre team in a good division. Because of the injury and surrounding uncertainty, you shouldn't draft him as anything higher than an SP4, but he should perform extremely well when he does recover.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
  Gallen has been undergoing treatment for lateral forearm soreness since mid-March, which isn't what fantasy managers want to hear. Even worse, the young right-hander first felt the injury while swinging a bat. His timeline to return is completely up in the air, so we need to move him down the rankings until we learn more. Once healthy, Gallen has four above average pitches that he can use to flummox hitters. The WHIP won't be as pristine as most of the true SP1s, but this is a young pitcher who has a 2.81 ERA over his first 27 big league starts. Hopefully he gets right soon.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros