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Who Should I Draft?

Liam Hendriks or Corbin Burnes (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Liam Hendriks
RP - CWS
Liam Hendriks
Corbin Burnes
SP,RP - MIL
Corbin Burnes
Expert
Recommendation
53%
Recommended by
27 of 51 experts
47%
Recommended by
24 of 51 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 19# 20
Best Rank# 14# 14
Worst Rank# 57# 46
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 55# 56
Best Rank# 49# 51
Worst Rank# 62# 60
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts91174
Wins49
Saves310
ERA2.933.63
WHIP1.021.20
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 15# 16
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 21# 24
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 20# 42
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 16# 24
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 19# 46
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 23# 24
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 29# 38
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 20# 22
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 19# 20
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 21# 26
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 17# 26
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 20# 23
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 17# 38
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 17# 19
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 16# 20
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 22# 25
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 25# 32
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 19# 20
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 18# 22
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 18# 27
   
Jorge B. Edwards
Fantasy In Frames
# 31# 40
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 17# 18
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 21# 25
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 21# 22
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 14# 20
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 19# 20
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 19# 24
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 18# 17
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 18# 14
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 19# 16
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 20# 19
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 20# 19
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 20# 14
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 20# 15
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 20# 14
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 21# 19
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 21# 18
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 22# 18
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 22# 18
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 22# 18
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 22# 20
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 22# 16
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 22# 21
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 23# 16
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 24# 20
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 24# 17
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 24# 21
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 25# 18
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 31# 24
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 37# 23
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 57# 19
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Liam Hendriks
RP - CWS
Liam Hendriks
Corbin Burnes
SP,RP - MIL
Corbin Burnes
2020 Stats 
   
   
Games Played2412
   
Games Started09
   
Innings Pitched25.160.3
   
Wins34
   
Losses11
   
Saves140
   
Blown Saves10
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed1437
   
Earned Runs514
   
Home Runs Allowed12
   
Strikeouts3788
   
Walks324
   
ERA1.782.11
   
WHIP0.671.02
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Liam Hendriks
RP - CWS
Liam Hendriks
Corbin Burnes
SP,RP - MIL
Corbin Burnes
2021 Projections 
   
   
Games Played6329
   
Games Started027
   
Innings Pitched66.0142.1
   
Wins49
   
Losses37
   
Saves310
   
Blown Saves70
   
Holds20
   
Hits Allowed51120
   
Earned Runs2157
   
Home Runs Allowed818
   
Strikeouts91174
   
Walks1651
   
ERA2.933.63
   
WHIP1.021.20
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Liam Hendriks
RP - CWS
Liam Hendriks
Corbin Burnes
SP,RP - MIL
Corbin Burnes
News 
 Liam Hendricks allowed just one hit, an infield single, in the inning as he secured the victory for the White Sox.
Ethan Biddle - The Work of Ethan Biddle
Sat, Sep 11th
Corbin Burnes did not factor into the decision Saturday against the Cubs, allowing three runs on six hits across six innings. He walked three and struck out 11.
Connor Rooney
Sun, Sep 19th
 Liam Hendricks has an easy 1-2-3 ninth inning against Oakland on Tuesday, striking out one batter in the process.
Ethan Biddle - The Work of Ethan Biddle
Wed, Sep 8th
Corbin Burnes (10-4) earned the win in a masterpiece Saturday against Cleveland. He threw eight no-hit innings while issuing one walk and striking out 14.
Connor Rooney
Sat, Sep 11th
 Liam Hendricks pitched a 1-2-3 ninth on Saturday, striking out one batter to earn his 32nd save of the season.
Ethan Biddle - The Work of Ethan Biddle
Sun, Sep 5th
Corbin Burnes did not factor into the decision Sunday against the Cardinals, allowing three runs on six hits across five innings. He walked two and struck out seven.
Connor Rooney
Sun, Sep 5th
 Liam Hendricks recorded five outs on just 18 pitches Wednesday, allowing one hit and striking out two batters.
Ethan Biddle - The Work of Ethan Biddle
Thu, Sep 2nd
Corbin Burnes (9-4) picked up the win Monday against the Giants, allowing one run on four hits across six innings. He walked none and struck out nine.
Connor Rooney
Tue, Aug 31st
 Liam Hendricks gave up a one-out single in the ninth, but quickly got a double play to escape the inning and secure the victory for Chicago.
Ethan Biddle - The Work of Ethan Biddle
Wed, Sep 1st
Corbin Burnes did not factor into the decision in Tuesday's win over Cincinnati, allowing four runs on seven hits and three walks in six innings. He struck out five.
Connor Rooney
Wed, Aug 25th
Notes 
 Hendriks showed last year that his 2019 breakout season was not a fluke, as he improved on just about all of his numbers. Not only did he put up 14 saves in the shortened season, but he dropped his ERA to 1.78, his WHIP to 0.67, and his walk rate to just 3.3%. In short, there's nothing negative you can possibly take away from his 2020 season. Despite moving to a worse park with the White Sox, Hendriks is, without question one of the top closers in fantasy, and should be either the first or second (behind only Josh Hader) relief pitcher drafted.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Burnes's raw stuff was apparent to anyone who saw him pitch in 2019, but he simply couldn't stop giving up home runs (17 in 49 innings). The culprit was largely his four-seam fastball, which he threw more than half of the time and against which batters hit .425 with an .823 slugging percentage. In 2020, however, Corbin cut his four-seam fastball usage from 52.5% to just 2.5%. In its place, he relied heavily on a sinker and cutter, both of which worked better for the natural action on his pitches and which were highly effective. Considering that his slider, changeup, and curveball are also huge swing and miss pitches, Burnes's 36.7% strikeout rate from last year shouldn't be considered fluky. Even coming off a Cy Young-caliber season, there's still upside for the 26-year-old, and you should ignore entirely his 2019 disaster.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 Hendriks has the most fWAR among relievers over the past two seasons. He got even better in 2020 as both his walk-rate and strikeout-rate ranked within the 98th percentile. Set to exclusively handle the ninth inning for one of the best teams in the American League, Hendriks can confidently be drafted as a top-three closer for 2021 fantasy baseball drafts.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros
Similar to Zach Plesac, Burnes completely altered his pitch mix en route to a breakout season. The right-hander ditched his four-seam/slider combo in exchange for a plethora of sinkers and cutters. The decision worked to perfection as Burnes' 2.11 ERA was backed up by a 2.99 xFIP and a 3.18 xERA. His HR/FB rate appears to be wildly unsustainable, but Burnes has always been talented and he now has the blueprint to excel with. He's an exciting SP2 entering draft season.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros