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Who Should I Draft?

Lourdes Gurriel Jr. or Matt Olson (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Matt Olson
1B - OAK
Matt Olson
Lourdes Gurriel Jr.
2B,LF - TOR
Lourdes Gurriel Jr.
Expert
Recommendation
62%
Recommended by
31 of 50 experts
38%
Recommended by
19 of 50 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 56# 59
Best Rank# 24# 44
Worst Rank# 94# 94
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 80# 88
Best Rank# 66# 84
Worst Rank# 91# 98
   
Projections 
   
Runs8174
Home Runs3627
RBI9883
Stolen Bases27
Batting Average.244.276
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 56# 78
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 47# 59
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 57# 62
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 24# 57
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 57# 58
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 52# 94
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 64# 72
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 60# 71
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 52# 53
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 57# 59
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 54# 61
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 52# 62
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 53# 59
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 54# 65
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 38# 54
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 53# 63
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 53# 57
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 53# 65
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 55# 61
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 49# 62
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 61# 72
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 53# 67
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 57# 61
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 53# 68
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 55# 62
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 48# 61
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 45# 57
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 57# 59
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 51# 55
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 46# 75
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 60# 72
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 53# 44
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 58# 44
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 91# 45
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 70# 45
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 47# 45
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 51# 46
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 78# 47
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 62# 47
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 58# 48
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 51# 48
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 55# 49
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 60# 51
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 64# 53
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 59# 55
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 65# 59
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 60# 59
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 75# 64
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 89# 71
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 94# 86
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Matt Olson
1B - OAK
Matt Olson
Lourdes Gurriel Jr.
2B,LF - TOR
Lourdes Gurriel Jr.
2020 Stats 
   
   
At Bats210208
   
Runs2828
   
Hits4164
   
Singles2239
   
Doubles414
   
Triples10
   
Home Runs1411
   
RBI4233
   
Stolen Bases13
   
Caught Stealing01
   
Walks3414
   
Strikeouts7748
   
Batting Average.195.308
   
On Base Pct.310.348
   
Slugging Pct.424.534
   
On-base Plus Slugging.734.882
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Matt Olson
1B - OAK
Matt Olson
Lourdes Gurriel Jr.
2B,LF - TOR
Lourdes Gurriel Jr.
2021 Projections 
   
   
At Bats538531
   
Runs8174
   
Hits130146
   
Singles6887
   
Doubles2429
   
Triples11
   
Home Runs3627
   
RBI9883
   
Stolen Bases27
   
Caught Stealing14
   
Walks7132
   
Strikeouts168129
   
Batting Average.244.276
   
On Base Pct.332.318
   
Slugging Pct.492.490
   
On-base Plus Slugging.825.808
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Matt Olson
1B - OAK
Matt Olson
Lourdes Gurriel Jr.
2B,LF - TOR
Lourdes Gurriel Jr.
News 
 Matt Olson (thumb) is absent from Tuesday's lineup against Arizona.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Tue, Apr 13th
The Blue Jays activated OF Lourdes Gurriel Jr. from the COVID-19 injured list.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Mon, Apr 12th
 Matt Olson suffered a left thumb contusion after a hit by pitch. He's currently day-to-day.
Corbin Young
Tue, Apr 13th
The Blue Jays have placed infielder Lourdes Gurriel Jr. on the COVID-19 list. He was forced out of Friday's game after just two innings due to side effects from receiving the vaccine.
Andersen Pickard
Sat, Apr 10th
 Matt Olson went 1-for-4 with one RBI in the Athletics 7-3 win Saturday over Houston.
Ari Koslow
Sat, Apr 10th
Blue Jays OF Lourdes Gurriel Jr. was removed from Friday's game against the Angels due to vaccine-related symptoms.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Fri, Apr 9th
 Matt Olson went 2-for-4 with three RBIs and one run scored in the Athletics 6-2 win Friday over the Astros.
Ari Koslow
Sat, Apr 10th
Blue Jays OF Lourdes Gurriel Jr. exited Friday's game against the Angels.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Fri, Apr 9th
 Matt Olson (knee) is once again absent from Wednesday's lineup against the Dodgers.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Wed, Apr 7th
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. went 1-for-4 at the plate and scored a run on Tuesday night as the Blue Jays lost to the Rangers by a 7-4 score.
John Aubin
Wed, Apr 7th
Notes 
 Olson again hit for a ton of power last year, and ranked in the top nine percent of the league in average exit velocity for the third straight season. But he struck out 31.4% of the time, which contributed to a massive average drop to just .195. Olson had a bit of bad luck, as his xBA was .224, but still, it was by far his worst career mark. Although he'll never be a high average hitter, it's a good bet that he'll return something this year closer to his .245 career mark. Combine that with his likely near-40 home run season, and he'll make a fine mid-round selection and starting first baseman for any fantasy team.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Gurriel Jr. has developed into an extremely strong major league hitter, showing far more power than he did in the minors. He makes consistently strong (though not elite) contact, and although he swings a ton, his strikeout rate isn't prohibitive. Gurriel isn't going to be elite in any category, but he's going to provide some value in all five. Batting in an excellent lineup and hitter's park (whichever one it may be), Gurriel should be a fine pick in drafts in all formats.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 Olson's Statcast profile was a bit all over the place last year. However, the biggest reason to buy back in this season is the disastrous .227 BABIP he posted (compared to .292 and .300 marks from the previous two campaigns). Olson still managed to hit 14 homers in the shortened season, which means the power is still there. The expectation of some better luck means he might be my single biggest first base target in drafts this spring.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. is yet to play in over 84 games in a season due to injuries and the shortened season, so his numbers do not jump off the page on first glance. That is likely why his ADP is not a couple rounds higher. If you look at his past two seasons combined, a total of 149 games, we are looking at a .280 hitter with 82 runs, 31 HRs and 7 SBs. Now he gets an improved lineup around him as well. Very nice pick at ADP. Just have to hope he stays healthy.
Michael Petropoulos - BRoto Fantasy