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Who Should I Draft?

Lucas Giolito or Aaron Nola (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Lucas Giolito
SP - CWS
Lucas Giolito
Aaron Nola
SP - PHI
Aaron Nola
Expert
Recommendation
60%
Recommended by
30 of 50 experts
40%
Recommended by
20 of 50 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 6# 8
Best Rank# 4# 3
Worst Rank# 23# 13
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 19# 22
Best Rank# 17# 22
Worst Rank# 24# 25
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts220222
Wins1313
Saves00
ERA3.713.56
WHIP1.131.17
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 6# 7
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 5# 9
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 8# 9
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 5# 7
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 4# 7
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 6# 7
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 6# 9
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 6# 13
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 5# 8
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 5# 7
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 5# 6
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 5# 7
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 4# 6
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 6# 7
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 6# 8
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 6# 7
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 6# 8
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 6# 7
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 5# 7
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 6# 12
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 5# 7
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 5# 6
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 4# 9
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 6# 10
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 4# 7
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 7# 9
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 6# 8
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 4# 8
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 7# 8
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 6# 12
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 5# 4
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 5# 4
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 6# 5
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 7# 5
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 7# 6
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 8# 3
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 8# 7
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 9# 7
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 9# 8
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 9# 6
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 10# 8
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 11# 8
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 11# 10
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 12# 9
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 12# 11
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 13# 7
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 13# 12
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 14# 9
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 16# 7
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 23# 9
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Lucas Giolito
SP - CWS
Lucas Giolito
Aaron Nola
SP - PHI
Aaron Nola
2020 Stats 
   
   
Games Played1212
   
Games Started1212
   
Innings Pitched72.071.2
   
Wins45
   
Losses35
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed4754
   
Earned Runs2826
   
Home Runs Allowed89
   
Strikeouts9796
   
Walks2823
   
ERA3.483.28
   
WHIP1.041.08
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Lucas Giolito
SP - CWS
Lucas Giolito
Aaron Nola
SP - PHI
Aaron Nola
2021 Projections 
   
   
Games Played3031
   
Games Started3031
   
Innings Pitched180.2190.0
   
Wins1313
   
Losses99
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed143161
   
Earned Runs7475
   
Home Runs Allowed2624
   
Strikeouts220222
   
Walks6160
   
ERA3.713.56
   
WHIP1.131.17
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Lucas Giolito
SP - CWS
Lucas Giolito
Aaron Nola
SP - PHI
Aaron Nola
News 
 Lucas Giolito (1-1) allowed eight runs (seven earned) on eight hits and two walks while striking out none across one inning during Monday’s 11-4 loss to the Red Sox. He picked up his first loss of the season.
Brad Camara
Mon, Apr 19th
Phillies ace Aaron Nola tossed a complete game shutout in Sunday's win over the St. Louis Cardinals, striking out ten while allowing to hits and no walks.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Mon, Apr 19th
 Lucas Giolito allowed three runs and two walks while striking out eight across seven innings during Tuesday’s 2-0 extra-inning loss to the Cleveland. He did not factor into the decision.
Brad Camara
Wed, Apr 14th
Phillies starter Aaron Nola allowed three earned runs on seven hits and one walk while striking out seven over five innings in Tuesday's loss to the New York Mets.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Wed, Apr 14th
 Lucas Giolito (1-0) allowed three runs on four hits and one walk while striking out 10 across five 1/3 innings during Tuesday’s 10-4 win over the Mariners. He picked up his first win of the season.
Brad Camara
Wed, Apr 7th
Phillies starter Aaron Nola allowed one earned run on six hits and two walks while striking out five over four innings in a no-decision against the New York Mets on Wednesday.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Thu, Apr 8th
 Lucas Giolito allowed two runs on two hits and two walks while striking out eight over five 1/3 innings in Thursday's loss to the Angels.
Brad Camara
Fri, Apr 2nd
Phillies starter Aaron Nola allowed two earned runs on six hits and no walks while striking out six over 6 2/3 innings in Thursday's no-decision against the Atlanta Braves on Opening Day.
Mike Maher - The Birds Blitz
Fri, Apr 2nd
 Chicago White Sox starting pitcher Lucas Giolito will start Opening Day vs. the Los Angeles of Anaheim on April 1.
Jon Mathisen
Mon, Mar 15th
The Phillies announced RHP Aaron Nola as their Opening Day starter.
Brad Camara
Mon, Mar 22nd
Notes 
 Giolito followed up his breakout 2019 season with a nearly identical 2020 season. His ERA was within .07, his WHIP within .02, and his strikeout percentage within a point and a half. Despite pitching in a homer-friendly park, Giolito has managed to limit home runs, which is a key to his continued success with the White Sox. He won't face quite an easy schedule this year (AL and NL Central pitchers had plenty of sub-par offenses to feast on in 2019), but entering his age-27 season, he should only continue to improve from a skills standpoint. Draft him as an SP1, albeit a low-end one.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Nola bounced back from his disappointing 2019 campaign, and looked much closer to the 2018 breakout version of himself last year. His set a career mark in strikeout rate (33.2%, which ranked in the top nine percent in the league) and swinging strike rate (13.4%), and brought his walk rate down to just eight percent. Nola also got batters to swing at pitches outside the strike zone at a rate of 38.1%, far better than he had ever done in his career, and they made contact less than ever, at a rate of only 59.1%. The reason for the change was Nola relying far less on his fastball and more on his changeup, which kept hitters off balance and made both pitches more effective. Nola doesn't throw particularly hard, so his success relies much more on command and finding the right pitch mix, both of which he excelled at in 2020. If he can keep that going in 2021, and it's a good bet he will, he should be considered a fantasy ace.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros