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Who Should I Draft?

Lucas Giolito or Max Scherzer (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Lucas Giolito
SP - CWS
Lucas Giolito
Max Scherzer
SP - WSH
Max Scherzer
Expert
Recommendation
74%
Recommended by
37 of 50 experts
26%
Recommended by
13 of 50 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 6# 9
Best Rank# 4# 4
Worst Rank# 23# 14
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 19# 23
Best Rank# 17# 21
Worst Rank# 24# 25
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts220232
Wins1313
Saves00
ERA3.713.36
WHIP1.131.11
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 6# 10
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 5# 10
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 6# 10
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 8# 13
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 5# 6
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 4# 8
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 6# 8
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 6# 8
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 7# 8
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 6# 10
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 5# 9
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 8# 9
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 5# 11
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 5# 9
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 5# 9
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 4# 10
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 6# 9
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 6# 9
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 6# 9
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 8# 11
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 5# 13
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 6# 7
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 6# 9
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 5# 12
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 6# 7
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 5# 8
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 5# 10
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 5# 8
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 4# 11
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 6# 7
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 4# 9
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 7# 12
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 6# 9
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 4# 14
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 7# 11
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 7# 12
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 6# 7
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 9# 8
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 9# 6
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 9# 4
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 10# 7
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 11# 7
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 11# 6
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 12# 4
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 12# 7
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 13# 10
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 13# 11
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 14# 6
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 16# 9
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 23# 4
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Lucas Giolito
SP - CWS
Lucas Giolito
Max Scherzer
SP - WSH
Max Scherzer
2020 Stats 
   
   
Games Played1212
   
Games Started1212
   
Innings Pitched72.067.1
   
Wins45
   
Losses34
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed4770
   
Earned Runs2828
   
Home Runs Allowed810
   
Strikeouts9792
   
Walks2823
   
ERA3.483.74
   
WHIP1.041.38
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Lucas Giolito
SP - CWS
Lucas Giolito
Max Scherzer
SP - WSH
Max Scherzer
2021 Projections 
   
   
Games Played3030
   
Games Started3030
   
Innings Pitched180.2179.4
   
Wins1313
   
Losses98
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed143152
   
Earned Runs7467
   
Home Runs Allowed2625
   
Strikeouts220232
   
Walks6147
   
ERA3.713.36
   
WHIP1.131.11
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Lucas Giolito
SP - CWS
Lucas Giolito
Max Scherzer
SP - WSH
Max Scherzer
News 
 Lucas Giolito allowed three runs and two walks while striking out eight across seven innings during Tuesday’s 2-0 extra-inning loss to the Cleveland. He did not factor into the decision.
Brad Camara
Wed, Apr 14th
In Friday's 1-0 win against the Diamondbacks, Max Scherzer looked dominant. Scherzer struck out ten while allowing two hits and two walks across seven scoreless innings.
Corbin Young
Fri, Apr 16th
 Lucas Giolito (1-0) allowed three runs on four hits and one walk while striking out 10 across five 1/3 innings during Tuesday’s 10-4 win over the Mariners. He picked up his first win of the season.
Brad Camara
Wed, Apr 7th
Max Scherzer allowed one earned run, three hits, and one walk with five strikeouts across six innings pitched. He took the loss against the Dodgers since the Nationals didn't score a run.
Corbin Young
Sun, Apr 11th
 Lucas Giolito allowed two runs on two hits and two walks while striking out eight over five 1/3 innings in Thursday's loss to the Angels.
Brad Camara
Fri, Apr 2nd
In the Nationals Opening Day game, Max Scherzer went six innings for a no-decision. He gave up four home runs and allowed five hits, four earned runs, and zero walks with nine strikeouts.
Corbin Young
Tue, Apr 6th
 Chicago White Sox starting pitcher Lucas Giolito will start Opening Day vs. the Los Angeles of Anaheim on April 1.
Jon Mathisen
Mon, Mar 15th
The Washington Nationals will host the Atlanta Braves in a doubleheader Wednesday.
Brad Camara
Mon, Apr 5th
 Lucas Giolito avoids arbitration with the Chicago White Sox, agreeing to a deal worth $4.15 million for the 2021 season.
Ryan Evans - Baseballogy
Fri, Jan 15th
The Nationals will play their first game of the season on Tuesday against the Braves.
AJ Schullo
Sun, Apr 4th
Notes 
 Giolito followed up his breakout 2019 season with a nearly identical 2020 season. His ERA was within .07, his WHIP within .02, and his strikeout percentage within a point and a half. Despite pitching in a homer-friendly park, Giolito has managed to limit home runs, which is a key to his continued success with the White Sox. He won't face quite an easy schedule this year (AL and NL Central pitchers had plenty of sub-par offenses to feast on in 2019), but entering his age-27 season, he should only continue to improve from a skills standpoint. Draft him as an SP1, albeit a low-end one.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Scherzer had a decent season for a mortal, but for someone with his career track record, it was a major disappointment. His 3.74 ERA was his highest since 2012, his 1.38 WHIP the highest of his career, and his 7.8% walk percentage his worst in a decade. Scherzer still struck out plenty of batters but entering his age-37 season and with a ton of mileage on his arm, it's only fair to accept that the old Scherzer is gone for good. But though he may not be a consensus top-three starter anymore, he's still perfectly capable of being a fantasy ace. After all, Scherzer's velocity hasn't declined much, and his 31.2% strikeout rate was tied for 10th among starters. Scherzer likely won't reach 200 innings pitched again and his ERA seems destined to remain above 3.00 going forward, but he's far from someone to avoid in fantasy drafts.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
  Scherzer's 4.21 xERA from the 2020 season was the first time that he didn't rate out well since Statcast began tracking this data in 2015. His surface level numbers didn't suffer all that much, especially when it came to strikeouts, which makes this a dangerous profile to bet on. And that's before we mention the fact that Scherzer will turn 37 this summer. Can we trust him to stay healthy over the course of a full season? It never feels good betting against Scherzer, but there are some safer options going around his ADP right now.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros