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Who Should I Draft?

Lucas Giolito or Max Scherzer (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Lucas Giolito
SP - CWS
Lucas Giolito
Max Scherzer
SP - LAD
Max Scherzer
Expert
Recommendation
73%
Recommended by
37 of 51 experts
27%
Recommended by
14 of 51 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 6# 9
Best Rank# 4# 4
Worst Rank# 23# 14
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 19# 23
Best Rank# 17# 21
Worst Rank# 24# 25
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts220232
Wins1313
Saves00
ERA3.713.36
WHIP1.131.11
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 6# 10
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 5# 10
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 6# 10
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 8# 13
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 5# 6
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 4# 8
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 6# 8
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 6# 8
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 7# 8
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 6# 10
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 5# 9
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 8# 9
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 5# 11
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 5# 9
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 5# 9
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 4# 10
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 6# 9
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 6# 9
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 6# 9
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 8# 11
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 5# 13
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 6# 7
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 6# 9
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 5# 12
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 6# 7
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 5# 8
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 5# 10
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 5# 8
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 4# 11
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 6# 7
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 4# 9
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 7# 12
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 6# 9
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 4# 14
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 7# 11
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 7# 12
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 6# 7
   
Jorge B. Edwards
Fantasy In Frames
# 9# 8
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 9# 8
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 9# 6
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 9# 4
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 10# 7
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 11# 7
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 11# 6
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 12# 4
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 12# 7
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 13# 10
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 13# 11
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 14# 6
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 16# 9
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 23# 4
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Lucas Giolito
SP - CWS
Lucas Giolito
Max Scherzer
SP - LAD
Max Scherzer
2020 Stats 
   
   
Games Played1212
   
Games Started1212
   
Innings Pitched72.067.1
   
Wins45
   
Losses34
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed4770
   
Earned Runs2828
   
Home Runs Allowed810
   
Strikeouts9792
   
Walks2823
   
ERA3.483.74
   
WHIP1.041.38
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Lucas Giolito
SP - CWS
Lucas Giolito
Max Scherzer
SP - LAD
Max Scherzer
2021 Projections 
   
   
Games Played3030
   
Games Started3030
   
Innings Pitched180.2179.4
   
Wins1313
   
Losses98
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed143152
   
Earned Runs7467
   
Home Runs Allowed2625
   
Strikeouts220232
   
Walks6147
   
ERA3.713.36
   
WHIP1.131.11
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Lucas Giolito
SP - CWS
Lucas Giolito
Max Scherzer
SP - LAD
Max Scherzer
News 
 Lucas Giolito went six innings on Sunday, allowing no earned runs on five hits and one walk while striking out six.
Ethan Biddle - The Work of Ethan Biddle
Mon, Sep 27th
RHP Max Scherzer took a no-decision on Thursday when he allowed five runs on six hits with one walk and six strikeouts over five innings in the Dodgers' 7-5 win over the Rockies.
Jon Mathisen
Thu, Sep 23rd
 Lucas Giolito struck out eight but was limited to four innings in his return from a hamstring injury on Tuesday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Wed, Sep 15th
RHP Max Scherzer blanked the Reds on Saturday when he allowed just two hits with two walks and seven strikeouts over seven scoreless innings in the Dodgers' 5-1 win.
Jon Mathisen
Sun, Sep 19th
 Starting pitcher Lucas Giolito (hamstring) has been activated from the 10-day injured list by the White Sox.
Chris Schommer
Tue, Sep 14th
Max Scherzer went eight innings on Sunday, seven of them being perfect before giving up a hit in the eighth inning. He also struck out nine batters on his way to the 3,000 strikeout milestone.
Ethan Biddle - The Work of Ethan Biddle
Mon, Sep 13th
 White Sox starter Lucas Giolito, who is currently on the injured list with a strained left hamstring, should return to make a start next Tuesday.
Andersen Pickard
Thu, Sep 9th
RHP Max Scherzer earned his 13th win of the season on Monday when he surrendered one unearned run on six hits with 13 strikeouts over eight innings as the Dodgers beat the Cardinals 5-1.
Jon Mathisen
Mon, Sep 6th
 Lucas Giolito threw at full effort with no reported issues on Tuesday.
Ari Koslow
Wed, Sep 8th
RHP Max Scherzer was dominant on Wednesday, allowing just three hits with zero walks and nine strikeouts over six innings as the Dodgers took out the Braves by a score of 4-3.
Jon Mathisen
Thu, Sep 2nd
Notes 
 Giolito followed up his breakout 2019 season with a nearly identical 2020 season. His ERA was within .07, his WHIP within .02, and his strikeout percentage within a point and a half. Despite pitching in a homer-friendly park, Giolito has managed to limit home runs, which is a key to his continued success with the White Sox. He won't face quite an easy schedule this year (AL and NL Central pitchers had plenty of sub-par offenses to feast on in 2019), but entering his age-27 season, he should only continue to improve from a skills standpoint. Draft him as an SP1, albeit a low-end one.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Scherzer had a decent season for a mortal, but for someone with his career track record, it was a major disappointment. His 3.74 ERA was his highest since 2012, his 1.38 WHIP the highest of his career, and his 7.8% walk percentage his worst in a decade. Scherzer still struck out plenty of batters but entering his age-37 season and with a ton of mileage on his arm, it's only fair to accept that the old Scherzer is gone for good. But though he may not be a consensus top-three starter anymore, he's still perfectly capable of being a fantasy ace. After all, Scherzer's velocity hasn't declined much, and his 31.2% strikeout rate was tied for 10th among starters. Scherzer likely won't reach 200 innings pitched again and his ERA seems destined to remain above 3.00 going forward, but he's far from someone to avoid in fantasy drafts.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
  Scherzer's 4.21 xERA from the 2020 season was the first time that he didn't rate out well since Statcast began tracking this data in 2015. His surface level numbers didn't suffer all that much, especially when it came to strikeouts, which makes this a dangerous profile to bet on. And that's before we mention the fact that Scherzer will turn 37 this summer. Can we trust him to stay healthy over the course of a full season? It never feels good betting against Scherzer, but there are some safer options going around his ADP right now.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros