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Who Should I Draft?

Lucas Giolito or Xander Bogaerts (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Lucas Giolito
SP - CWS
Lucas Giolito
Xander Bogaerts
SS - BOS
Xander Bogaerts
Expert
Recommendation
54%
Recommended by
30 of 56 experts
46%
Recommended by
26 of 56 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 20# 24
Best Rank# 11# 15
Worst Rank# 79# 56
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 19# 31
Best Rank# 17# 23
Worst Rank# 24# 33
   
Projections 
   
Runs94
Home Runs2628
RBI93
Stolen Bases10
Batting Avg.292
Strikeouts220115
Wins13
Saves0
ERA3.71
WHIP1.13
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 17# 41
   
Josh Shepardson
FantasyPros
# 19# 32
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 25# 26
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 19# 43
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 17# 38
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 11# 51
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 20# 28
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 19# 21
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 19# 27
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 16# 25
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 18# 24
   
Frank Stampfl
CBS Sports
# 18# 39
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 27# 29
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 20# 36
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 20# 35
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 19# 27
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 22# 33
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 21# 23
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 19# 27
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 18# 24
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 19# 28
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 15# 24
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 19# 22
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 14# 21
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 20# 25
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 12# 34
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 22# 56
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 20# 25
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 15# 43
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 20# 27
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 19# 15
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 21# 19
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 21# 19
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 21# 18
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 22# 21
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 22# 21
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 23# 19
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 24# 22
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 24# 21
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 24# 21
   
SportsLine - Computer Simulation
CBS Sports
# 25# 19
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 26# 21
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 28# 21
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 29# 20
   
Jorge B. Edwards
Fantasy In Frames
# 31# 17
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 31# 22
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 34# 20
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 34# 27
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 35# 23
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 35# 23
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 36# 28
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 42# 21
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 45# 30
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 47# 28
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 78# 17
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 79# 18
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Lucas Giolito
SP - CWS
Lucas Giolito
Xander Bogaerts
SS - BOS
Xander Bogaerts
2020 Stats 
   
   
Runs36
   
Home Runs811
   
RBI28
   
Stolen Bases8
   
Batting Avg.301
   
Strikeouts9741
   
Wins4
   
Saves0
   
ERA3.48
   
WHIP1.04
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Lucas Giolito
SP - CWS
Lucas Giolito
Xander Bogaerts
SS - BOS
Xander Bogaerts
2021 Projections 
   
   
Runs94
   
Home Runs2628
   
RBI93
   
Stolen Bases10
   
Batting Avg.292
   
Strikeouts220115
   
Wins13
   
Saves0
   
ERA3.71
   
WHIP1.13
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Lucas Giolito
SP - CWS
Lucas Giolito
Xander Bogaerts
SS - BOS
Xander Bogaerts
News 
 Lucas Giolito went six innings on Sunday, allowing no earned runs on five hits and one walk while striking out six.
Ethan Biddle - The Work of Ethan Biddle
Mon, Sep 27th
Xander Bogaerts went 2-for-3 with a home run, a walk, four RBIs, and a run scored in Tuesday's win over the Mets.
Liam Gibney
Wed, Sep 22nd
 Lucas Giolito struck out eight but was limited to four innings in his return from a hamstring injury on Tuesday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Wed, Sep 15th
Xander Bogaerts went 3-for-5 with a home run, four RBIs, and two runs scored in Saturday's win over Baltimore.
Liam Gibney
Sun, Sep 19th
 Starting pitcher Lucas Giolito (hamstring) has been activated from the 10-day injured list by the White Sox.
Chris Schommer
Tue, Sep 14th
Xander Bogaerts went 2-for-5 with a triple and two runs scored in Tuesday's win over Seattle.
Liam Gibney
Wed, Sep 15th
 White Sox starter Lucas Giolito, who is currently on the injured list with a strained left hamstring, should return to make a start next Tuesday.
Andersen Pickard
Thu, Sep 9th
Xander Bogaerts went 2-for-4 on the day, hitting a double and a homer while also striking out once.
Ethan Biddle - The Work of Ethan Biddle
Tue, Sep 14th
 Lucas Giolito threw at full effort with no reported issues on Tuesday.
Ari Koslow
Wed, Sep 8th
Xander Bogaerts went 2-for-3 with a walk in Friday's loss to the White Sox.
Liam Gibney
Sat, Sep 11th
Notes 
 Giolito followed up his breakout 2019 season with a nearly identical 2020 season. His ERA was within .07, his WHIP within .02, and his strikeout percentage within a point and a half. Despite pitching in a homer-friendly park, Giolito has managed to limit home runs, which is a key to his continued success with the White Sox. He won't face quite an easy schedule this year (AL and NL Central pitchers had plenty of sub-par offenses to feast on in 2019), but entering his age-27 season, he should only continue to improve from a skills standpoint. Draft him as an SP1, albeit a low-end one.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Bogaerts largely backed up his excellent 2019 season with a strong 2020 campaign. He didn't hit the ball quite as hard and his launch angle dropped, but he did manage to maintain his .300 average and put up a similar home run pace. Two things from last year stand out and probably shouldn't be written off entirely: first, Bogaerts' RBI pace dropped significantly, and considering that the Red Sox lineup went from a relative strength to a weakness, it seems unlikely he'll approach 100 RBI in 2021. Second, after dropping for three consecutive seasons, Bogaerts' steal pace increased to the highest of his career. The drop in RBI and increase in steals may be related, as Bogaerts likely looked to manufacture runs with less help around him. Both trends are worth projecting going forward, and while Bogaerts' value doesn't change much, fantasy managers will likely take the increase in steals going forward.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
  The biggest story of Bogaerts' 2020 season came in the form of going 8-for-8 on stolen base attempts. This, after the All-Star shortstop swiped just four bags in 2019. Steals are so hard to find these days that getting 10-15 from bats who help in the other four offensive categories is going to be a goldmine this season. Bogaerts' Baseball Savant page isn't flooded with red like other premium hitters being drafted around him, but we have enough of a sample size to remain confident in his lofty projections moving forward.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros