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Who Should I Draft?

Lucas Giolito or Xander Bogaerts (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Lucas Giolito
SP - CWS
Lucas Giolito
Xander Bogaerts
SS - BOS
Xander Bogaerts
Expert
Recommendation
55%
Recommended by
30 of 55 experts
45%
Recommended by
25 of 55 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 20# 24
Best Rank# 11# 15
Worst Rank# 79# 56
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 19# 31
Best Rank# 17# 23
Worst Rank# 24# 33
   
Projections 
   
Runs94
Home Runs2628
RBI93
Stolen Bases10
Batting Avg.292
Strikeouts220115
Wins13
Saves0
ERA3.71
WHIP1.13
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 17# 41
   
Josh Shepardson
FantasyPros
# 19# 32
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 25# 26
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 19# 43
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 17# 38
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 11# 51
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 20# 28
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 19# 21
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 19# 27
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 16# 25
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 18# 24
   
Frank Stampfl
CBS Sports
# 18# 39
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 27# 29
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 20# 36
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 20# 35
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 19# 27
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 22# 33
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 21# 23
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 19# 27
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 18# 24
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 19# 28
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 15# 24
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 19# 22
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 14# 21
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 20# 25
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 12# 34
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 22# 56
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 20# 25
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 15# 43
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 20# 27
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 19# 15
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 21# 19
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 21# 19
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 21# 18
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 22# 21
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 22# 21
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 23# 19
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 24# 22
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 24# 21
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 24# 21
   
SportsLine - Computer Simulation
CBS Sports
# 25# 19
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 26# 21
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 28# 21
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 29# 20
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 31# 22
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 34# 20
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 34# 27
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 35# 23
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 35# 23
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 36# 28
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 42# 21
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 45# 30
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 47# 28
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 78# 17
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 79# 18
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Lucas Giolito
SP - CWS
Lucas Giolito
Xander Bogaerts
SS - BOS
Xander Bogaerts
2020 Stats 
   
   
Runs36
   
Home Runs811
   
RBI28
   
Stolen Bases8
   
Batting Avg.301
   
Strikeouts9741
   
Wins4
   
Saves0
   
ERA3.48
   
WHIP1.04
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Lucas Giolito
SP - CWS
Lucas Giolito
Xander Bogaerts
SS - BOS
Xander Bogaerts
2021 Projections 
   
   
Runs94
   
Home Runs2628
   
RBI93
   
Stolen Bases10
   
Batting Avg.292
   
Strikeouts220115
   
Wins13
   
Saves0
   
ERA3.71
   
WHIP1.13
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Lucas Giolito
SP - CWS
Lucas Giolito
Xander Bogaerts
SS - BOS
Xander Bogaerts
News 
 Lucas Giolito (1-3) allowed two runs (one earned) on five hits and three walks while striking out eight across five 1/3 innings in Sunday’s 5-0 loss to Cleveland. He was tagged with his third loss of the season.
Brad Camara
Sun, May 2nd
Xander Bogaerts went 2-for-3 with a walk, one RBI, and one run in the Red Sox victory on Friday.
Liam Gibney
Fri, May 7th
 Lucas Giolito (1-2) allowed four runs on five hits and three walks while striking out seven across six 2/3 innings during Tuesday’s 5-2 loss to the Tigers. He picked up his second loss of the season.
Brad Camara
Wed, Apr 28th
Xander Bogaerts went 1-for-4 with two runs scored as the Red Sox fell to the Tigers in extra innings on Wednesday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Thu, May 6th
 Lucas Giolito said after Saturday's game that his start has been pushed back due to a cut on his right middle finger.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sun, Apr 25th
Xander Bogaerts continued to rake on Sunday. He produced a home run, two singles, and he scored twice.
Liam Gibney
Sun, May 2nd
 White Sox manager Tony La Russa says Lucas Giolito's next scheduled start could come on Tuesday instead of Sunday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, Apr 24th
Xander Bogaerts went 1-for-4 with a double and a run scored as the Red Sox beat Jacob deGrom and the Mets 1-0 on Wednesday night.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Thu, Apr 29th
 Lucas Giolito (1-1) allowed eight runs (seven earned) on eight hits and two walks while striking out none across one inning during Monday’s 11-4 loss to the Red Sox. He picked up his first loss of the season.
Brad Camara
Mon, Apr 19th
Xander Bogaerts hit his third homer in four games as the Red Sox beat the Mariners 6-5 on Friday night at Fenway.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, Apr 24th
Notes 
 Giolito followed up his breakout 2019 season with a nearly identical 2020 season. His ERA was within .07, his WHIP within .02, and his strikeout percentage within a point and a half. Despite pitching in a homer-friendly park, Giolito has managed to limit home runs, which is a key to his continued success with the White Sox. He won't face quite an easy schedule this year (AL and NL Central pitchers had plenty of sub-par offenses to feast on in 2019), but entering his age-27 season, he should only continue to improve from a skills standpoint. Draft him as an SP1, albeit a low-end one.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Bogaerts largely backed up his excellent 2019 season with a strong 2020 campaign. He didn't hit the ball quite as hard and his launch angle dropped, but he did manage to maintain his .300 average and put up a similar home run pace. Two things from last year stand out and probably shouldn't be written off entirely: first, Bogaerts' RBI pace dropped significantly, and considering that the Red Sox lineup went from a relative strength to a weakness, it seems unlikely he'll approach 100 RBI in 2021. Second, after dropping for three consecutive seasons, Bogaerts' steal pace increased to the highest of his career. The drop in RBI and increase in steals may be related, as Bogaerts likely looked to manufacture runs with less help around him. Both trends are worth projecting going forward, and while Bogaerts' value doesn't change much, fantasy managers will likely take the increase in steals going forward.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
  The biggest story of Bogaerts' 2020 season came in the form of going 8-for-8 on stolen base attempts. This, after the All-Star shortstop swiped just four bags in 2019. Steals are so hard to find these days that getting 10-15 from bats who help in the other four offensive categories is going to be a goldmine this season. Bogaerts' Baseball Savant page isn't flooded with red like other premium hitters being drafted around him, but we have enough of a sample size to remain confident in his lofty projections moving forward.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros