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Who Should I Draft?

Lucas Giolito or Zack Greinke (2020)

Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Lucas Giolito
SP - CWS
Lucas Giolito
Zack Greinke
SP - HOU
Zack Greinke
Expert
Recommendation
56%
Recommended by
28 of 50 experts
44%
Recommended by
22 of 50 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 16# 18
Best Rank# 8# 9
Worst Rank# 41# 33
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 52# 50
Best Rank# 44# 42
Worst Rank# 64# 65
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts7967
Wins55
Saves00
ERA3.953.90
WHIP1.211.16
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 11# 15
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 8# 20
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 12# 18
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 17# 20
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 15# 19
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 14# 18
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 16# 18
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 19# 24
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 16# 17
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 11# 17
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 12# 24
   
Mark Ross
Athlon Sports
# 17# 20
   
Matt Brandon
Matt Brandon
# 13# 15
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 17# 28
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 17# 18
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 23# 29
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 16# 19
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 14# 33
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 21# 22
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 12# 19
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 18# 19
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 14# 15
   
M. Starks Powell
New Life Fantasy
# 11# 13
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 12# 28
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 14# 18
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 14# 16
   
George Kurtz
SportsGrid
# 18# 19
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 12# 25
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 16# 10
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 16# 15
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 17# 15
   
Site Rankings
Sports Illustrated
# 17# 15
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 17# 14
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 17# 16
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 18# 17
   
Chet Gresham
The Fake Baseball
# 18# 17
   
Brendan Tuma
BettingPros
# 18# 17
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 19# 15
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 19# 17
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 19# 17
   
Chris Mitchell
FantasyData
# 20# 16
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 20# 15
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 20# 16
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 20# 10
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 23# 15
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 24# 21
   
Sean Zerillo
The Action Network
# 26# 17
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 30# 9
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 30# 29
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 41# 12
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Lucas Giolito
SP - CWS
Lucas Giolito
Zack Greinke
SP - HOU
Zack Greinke
2019 Stats 
   
   
Games Played2933
   
Games Started2933
   
Innings Pitched177.3209.2
   
Wins1418
   
Losses95
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed131176
   
Earned Runs6771
   
Home Runs Allowed2421
   
Strikeouts228187
   
Walks5730
   
ERA3.413.06
   
WHIP1.060.99
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Lucas Giolito
SP - CWS
Lucas Giolito
Zack Greinke
SP - HOU
Zack Greinke
2020 Projections 
   
   
Games Played1112
   
Games Started1112
   
Innings Pitched67.371.1
   
Wins55
   
Losses43
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed5767
   
Earned Runs3031
   
Home Runs Allowed1011
   
Strikeouts7967
   
Walks2516
   
ERA3.953.90
   
WHIP1.211.16
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Lucas Giolito
SP - CWS
Lucas Giolito
Zack Greinke
SP - HOU
Zack Greinke
News 
 Lucas Giolito grabbed the win in Game 1 of Chicago's Wild Card series on Tuesday when he allowed just one run on two hits while striking out eight and walking one as the White Sox took down the A's 4-1.
Jon Mathisen
Tue, Sep 29th
Zack Greinke allowed two runs on five hits and one walk while striking out seven during Wednesday's 4-3 win over the Rays in Game 4 of the ALCS.
Brad Camara
Thu, Oct 15th
 Chicago White Sox right-hander Lucas Giolito allowed two runs over six innings in a 3-2 loss to Cleveland on Wednesday. Giolito struck out 11 and walked three in the loss.
Matthew Terelle
Wed, Sep 23rd
Astros' manager Dusty Baker announced that Zack Greinke will start Game 4 of the ALCS against the Rays.
Brad Camara
Mon, Oct 12th
 Chicago White Sox right-hander Lucas Giolito turned in a quality start in a 5-1 loss to the Twins on Wednesday. Giolito allowed three runs over six innings while striking out four and walking three.
Matthew Terelle
Thu, Sep 17th
Zack Greinke was handed a no-decision on Thursday when he allowed four runs on five hits with four strikeouts and one walk across 4 2/3 innings in the Astros Game 4 ALDS win over the A's.
Jon Mathisen
Thu, Oct 8th
 Chicago White Sox right-hander Lucas Giolito allowed three runs in 5 2/3 innings in a 4-3 win over the Tigers on Friday. Giolito struck out seven and walked four.
Matthew Terelle
Sat, Sep 12th
The Astros announce that Zack Greinke will start Game 4 of the ALDS Thursday afternoon.
Andy Zimmerman
Thu, Oct 8th
 Chicago White Sox right-hander Lucas Giolito allowed three runs over six innings in a 5-3 win over the Royals on Saturday. He struck out nine on the way to his fourth win.
Matthew Terelle
Sun, Sep 6th
Zack Greinke (arm) isn’t dealing with any structural damage, said Astros manager Zack Greinke.
Brad Camara
Wed, Oct 7th
Notes 
 There's a reason that you hear fantasy analysts say that you should target post-hype players: baseball is hard, man, and it takes time for players to fully figure it out. With his prospect pedigree, it took longer than most thought for Lucas Giolito to figure things out. But boy did he ever in 2019, with his 25-start dominating stretch to end the season. He looked like a totally different pitcher - but one who mowed down the league. Hitters are more often to click sooner than pitchers are in the big leagues, and if you look at his peripherals, there's not much to question about Giolito's breakout performance. As long as he keeps his increased velocity on his fastball, he'll continue to be a solid SP2 for fantasy managers.
Michael Waterloo - FantasyPros
Quality guy without the nasty flash. Safe pick ranked safely.
Chris Mitchell - FantasyData
 Giolito earned every bit of his breakout season, putting up an ERA that we nearly identical to his FIP and xFIP and a major gain in control. Most impressive for Giolito was his ability to limit contact on pitches in the strike zone - just 77.3%, second best in MLB behind Gerrit Cole. His raw stuff is elite, and another fantastic season should follow in 2020.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
One of these years, it's going to happen. Zack Greinke is going to get rocked as his velocity continues to decline. There's little upside here, with more downside that the end is here at age 36. Greinke has been the model of consistency, but at a position where strikeouts are the most valuable result that a pitcher can give you, Greinke doesn't help you at all. If you're looking at pure volume in a short season, he's worth the pick here.
Michael Waterloo - FantasyPros
 2019 breakout can be attributed to an uptick in velocity and an improved changeup. Can he do it again?
Brendan Tuma - BettingPros
Greinke didn't see the patented Astros bump after a mid-season trade, as his overall numbers actually declined a bit after his move from the Diamondbacks. His ERA and WHIP remain outstanding, but his strikeout rate continues to decline, such that it now actively does not help fantasy owners. Still, he's nearly a lock for 200 innings, plenty of wins, and solid peripherals, making him a fine addition to any fantasy staff. But with his advancing age, don't bank on him necessarily being a top-20 pitcher.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
  Has become a boring pick but there's plenty of upside in his first full season with the Astros. A lot of potential for wins, which are often overlooked when analyzing SPs
Brendan Tuma - BettingPros