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Who Should I Draft?

Luis Castillo or Aaron Judge (2020)

Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Aaron Judge
RF - NYY
Aaron Judge
Luis Castillo
SP - CIN
Luis Castillo
Expert
Recommendation
51%
Recommended by
28 of 55 experts
49%
Recommended by
27 of 55 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 50# 45
Best Rank# 2# 26
Worst Rank# 179# 116
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 41# 38
Best Rank# 40# 33
Worst Rank# 60# 52
   
Projections 
   
Runs34
Home Runs139
RBI30
Stolen Bases2
Batting Avg.272
Strikeouts6675
Wins5
Saves0
ERA3.90
WHIP1.24
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 24# 48
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 67# 116
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 32# 45
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 24# 46
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 2
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 48# 84
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 23# 45
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 57# 114
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 36# 45
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 22# 35
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 24# 34
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 48# 72
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 52# 61
   
Mark Ross
Athlon Sports
# 24# 45
   
Matt Brandon
Matt Brandon
# 40# 49
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 29# 65
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 44# 55
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 45# 48
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 24# 48
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 33# 52
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 29# 62
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 24# 45
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 39# 51
   
M. Starks Powell
New Life Fantasy
# 28# 50
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 30# 38
   
Brendan Tuma
BettingPros
# 40# 48
   
George Kurtz
SportsGrid
# 22# 48
   
Chris Mitchell
FantasyData
# 35# 48
   
Site Rankings
Sports Illustrated
# 143# 26
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 80# 27
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 41# 29
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 69# 30
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 87# 35
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 41# 35
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 47# 37
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 59# 37
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 38# 37
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 59# 38
   
Chet Gresham
The Fake Baseball
# 61# 39
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 72# 41
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 47# 41
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 60# 41
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 59# 44
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 55# 46
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 70# 47
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 66# 50
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 66# 51
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 58# 54
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 87# 55
   
Josh Shepardson
FantasyPros
# 106# 56
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 99# 57
   
Sean Zerillo
The Action Network
# 82# 60
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 104# 66
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 179# 69
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 87# 80
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Aaron Judge
RF - NYY
Aaron Judge
Luis Castillo
SP - CIN
Luis Castillo
2019 Stats 
   
   
Runs75
   
Home Runs2722
   
RBI55
   
Stolen Bases3
   
Batting Avg.273
   
Strikeouts141226
   
Wins15
   
Saves0
   
ERA3.45
   
WHIP1.14
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Aaron Judge
RF - NYY
Aaron Judge
Luis Castillo
SP - CIN
Luis Castillo
2020 Projections 
   
   
Runs34
   
Home Runs139
   
RBI30
   
Stolen Bases2
   
Batting Avg.272
   
Strikeouts6675
   
Wins5
   
Saves0
   
ERA3.90
   
WHIP1.24
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Aaron Judge
RF - NYY
Aaron Judge
Luis Castillo
SP - CIN
Luis Castillo
News 
 Aaron Judge went 1-for-3 with a home run and one walk during Friday's 2-1 win in Game 5 of the ALDS. The Yankees lost the series to the Rays 3-2.
Brad Camara
Sat, Oct 10th
Reds starter Luis Castillo allowed one earned run on six hits and one walk while striking out seven over 5 1/3 innings in Thursday's loss to the Atlanta Braves in Game 2 of the Wild Card Round on Thursday. The Reds are eliminated from the postseason with this loss.
Mike Maher
Thu, Oct 1st
 Aaron Judge went 1-for-5 with a solo home run in Monday's 9-3 Game 1 win over the Rays.
Brad Camara
Tue, Oct 6th
Luis Castillo (4-6) allowed four runs on six hits and no walks while striking out four over four innings in Saturday's 7-3 loss to the Twins. He earned his sixth loss of the year.
Brad Camara
Sun, Sep 27th
 Aaron Judge hit a two-run homer in the Yankees' Game 1 victory over the Indians on Tuesday night.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Wed, Sep 30th
Luis Castillo (4-5) allowed one run on four hits and three walks while striking out nine over six 2/3 innings in Monday's 6-3 win over the Brewers.
Brad Camara
Tue, Sep 22nd
 Aaron Judge went 2-for-4 with an RBI single and a run scored in Friday‚Äôs extra-inning loss to the Marlins by a 4-3 score.
John Aubin
Sat, Sep 26th
Luis Castillo (3-5) allowed three hits and one walk while striking out over seven scoreless innings in Wednesday's 1-0 win over the Pirates. He picked up his third win of the year.
Brad Camara
Thu, Sep 17th
 Aaron Judge went 3-for-5 with three runs scored and one RBI during Tuesday's 12-1 win over the Blue Jays.
John Aubin
Wed, Sep 23rd
Luis Castillo (2-5) allowed one run on two hits and three walks while striking out six over nine innings in Friday's 3-1 win against the Cardinals. He picked up his second win of the year.
Brad Camara
Sat, Sep 12th
Notes 
 Staying healthy is a skill, and it's one that Aaron Judge hasn't possessed over the past couple of seasons. Could his size contribute to that? He's missed significant portions of the past two seasons, and he was dealing with an injury that caused his stock to drop during draft season. There's no denying the power and overall contributions that he brings, but he, like teammate Giancarlo Stanton, gives owners pause about taking them thanks to durability concerns. The tried and true rule is to not take injured players in the draft as there is enough risk baked into players already. Pass on Judge unless he has a clean bill of health.
Michael Waterloo - FantasyPros
Luis Castillo in 2020 is similar to Jose Berrios in 2019. He's ranked as if he took that next step into ace territory. The thought was off for Berrios, but it's spot-on for Castillo. While it's better to look at a full season's worth of stats compared to splitting it up to get a full view of the performance, it's the stretches of dominance that Castillo showed in his first 20 starts that has people so excited about him in 2020. With elite strikeout numbers and an improved GB rate, Castillo could give you a second top-10 pitcher on your staff if you take him here.
Michael Waterloo - FantasyPros
 Judge has a stress fracture in his rib, which showed "slight improvement" based on a CT scan in mid-April. But he is also dealing with a collapsed lung, and there is still no timetable for when he may be ready for baseball activity. Even with the postponement of the season, there's no guarantee that Judge will be ready to play at any point this season. Draft him with a heavy dose of pessimism and you should be fine.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Regression just never really hit for Castillo last year, despite a walk rate of 10.1%, fourth-worst in the league among qualified pitchers. There's no doubting Castillo's stuff, particularly his devastating changeup, and the Reds should be more competitive than they have been in years. But he simply has to cut down on the free passes if he wants to build on his breakout 2019. There's every reason to think he will as he continue to grow as a pitcher, and should make a reliable second fantasy starter.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 Has played over 112 games once in four year. Very good player, but not taking on that injury risk in the second or third round.
Michael Petropoulos - BRoto Fantasy
Struggled down the stretch but looked like one of the best pitchers in baseball to begin the year
Brendan Tuma - BettingPros
 Ranked in the top 1% in baseball in barrel%, hard hit rate, and exit velocity in 2019
Brendan Tuma - BettingPros