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Who Should I Draft?

Luis Castillo or Charlie Morton (2020)

Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Luis Castillo
SP - CIN
Luis Castillo
Charlie Morton
SP - TB
Charlie Morton
Expert
Recommendation
55%
Recommended by
28 of 51 experts
45%
Recommended by
23 of 51 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 12# 13
Best Rank# 7# 7
Worst Rank# 41# 44
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 38# 46
Best Rank# 33# 42
Worst Rank# 52# 58
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts7577
Wins55
Saves00
ERA3.903.41
WHIP1.241.17
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 11# 21
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 7# 33
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 8# 21
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 10# 12
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 10# 15
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 11# 14
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 9# 15
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 41# 44
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 12# 14
   
Chet Gresham
The Fake Baseball
# 9# 13
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 11# 14
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 10# 12
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 11# 12
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 10# 18
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 18# 19
   
Mark Ross
Athlon Sports
# 12# 14
   
Matt Brandon
Matt Brandon
# 10# 17
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 11# 18
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 12# 21
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 11# 17
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 8# 14
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 13# 17
   
M. Starks Powell
New Life Fantasy
# 12# 14
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 7# 16
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 13# 14
   
Chris Mitchell
FantasyData
# 13# 22
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 10# 13
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 11# 12
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 11# 8
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 12# 11
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 13# 11
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 13# 11
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 13# 8
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 14# 12
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 14# 13
   
George Kurtz
SportsGrid
# 14# 12
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 14# 7
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 14# 7
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 14# 10
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 14# 13
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 15# 13
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 15# 12
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 16# 7
   
Brendan Tuma
BettingPros
# 16# 10
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 16# 12
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 17# 11
   
Sean Zerillo
The Action Network
# 18# 10
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 19# 10
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 25# 14
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 36# 10
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 37# 9
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Luis Castillo
SP - CIN
Luis Castillo
Charlie Morton
SP - TB
Charlie Morton
2019 Stats 
   
   
Games Played3233
   
Games Started3233
   
Innings Pitched191.2195.3
   
Wins1516
   
Losses86
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed139154
   
Earned Runs7366
   
Home Runs Allowed2215
   
Strikeouts226240
   
Walks7957
   
ERA3.453.05
   
WHIP1.141.08
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Luis Castillo
SP - CIN
Luis Castillo
Charlie Morton
SP - TB
Charlie Morton
2020 Projections 
   
   
Games Played1211
   
Games Started1211
   
Innings Pitched67.866.6
   
Wins55
   
Losses43
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed5956
   
Earned Runs2925
   
Home Runs Allowed97
   
Strikeouts7577
   
Walks2522
   
ERA3.903.41
   
WHIP1.241.17
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Luis Castillo
SP - CIN
Luis Castillo
Charlie Morton
SP - TB
Charlie Morton
News 
 Luis Castillo (0-2) allowed three runs on four hits and four walks while striking out nine across five innings in Thursday's 13-0 loss to the Indians. He earned his second loss of the year.
Brad Camara
Fri, Aug 7th
Updating a previous item, Charlie Morton was removed from Sunday's start against the Yankees due to right shoulder inflammation.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sun, Aug 9th
 Luis Castillo (0-1) surrendered five runs on eight hits and one walk while striking out six across six innings in Friday's 7-2 loss to the Tigers.
Brad Camara
Sat, Aug 1st
Charlie Morton departed Sunday's start against the Yankees with an apparent injury.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sun, Aug 9th
 Luis Castillo will start Friday's game against the Tigers after the contest versus the Cubs was postponed due to inclement weather.
Brad Camara
Fri, Jul 31st
Charlie Morton improved to 1-1 on Tuesday against the Red Sox, allowing one run on five hits over 5 2/3 innings pitched.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Wed, Aug 5th
 Luis Castillo allowed one run on six hits and one walk while striking out 11 in Saturday's 6-4 loss to the Tigers. He did not factor into the decision.
Brad Camara
Sun, Jul 26th
Charlie Morton rebounded from an ugly first start of the year to throw five innings of two-run ball while striking out seven on Wednesday against the Braves.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Thu, Jul 30th
  Charlie Morton was hit hard in Friday's loss to the Blue Jays, giving up six runs on seven hits over four innings.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Fri, Jul 24th
Notes 
 Luis Castillo in 2020 is similar to Jose Berrios in 2019. He's ranked as if he took that next step into ace territory. The thought was off for Berrios, but it's spot-on for Castillo. While it's better to look at a full season's worth of stats compared to splitting it up to get a full view of the performance, it's the stretches of dominance that Castillo showed in his first 20 starts that has people so excited about him in 2020. With elite strikeout numbers and an improved GB rate, Castillo could give you a second top-10 pitcher on your staff if you take him here.
Michael Waterloo - FantasyPros
He's no longer Ground Chuck, as the Astros and Rays were able to tap into the electric stuff that Morton has. It's hard to argue with the success that he's had over the past few seasons, but what hurts Morton - and fantasy managers - is that the breakout came late in his career. He's 35, and he said he "fully expects" to hang up his cleats at the end of his current contract. If he's the same pitcher as he has been the past few years, you're getting a steal here. But age and durability concerns have to be on your mind if you draft him.
Michael Waterloo - FantasyPros
 Regression just never really hit for Castillo last year, despite a walk rate of 10.1%, fourth-worst in the league among qualified pitchers. There's no doubting Castillo's stuff, particularly his devastating changeup, and the Reds should be more competitive than they have been in years. But he simply has to cut down on the free passes if he wants to build on his breakout 2019. There's every reason to think he will as he continue to grow as a pitcher, and should make a reliable second fantasy starter.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Morton only got better after leaving the Astros, setting career bests in innings pitched, ERA, WHIP, and strikeout percentage. Batters simply don't hit his curveball, which he throws more than a third of the time, and his fastball is nearly equally as effective. In a dynasty or keeper format, things may be different, as Morton speaks of retirement often. For this year, however, there is zero reason for concern.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 Struggled down the stretch but looked like one of the best pitchers in baseball to begin the year
Brendan Tuma - BettingPros
Had the best season of his career in 2019. If he comes close to matching it his ADP will make him a big-time value
Brendan Tuma - BettingPros