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Who Should I Draft?

Luis Castillo or Clayton Kershaw (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Luis Castillo
SP - CIN
Luis Castillo
Clayton Kershaw
SP - LAD
Clayton Kershaw
Expert
Recommendation
57%
Recommended by
29 of 51 experts
43%
Recommended by
22 of 51 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 11# 12
Best Rank# 6# 5
Worst Rank# 17# 17
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 27# 30
Best Rank# 24# 26
Worst Rank# 38# 33
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts216176
Wins1314
Saves00
ERA3.523.24
WHIP1.181.06
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 8# 11
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 8# 11
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 11# 17
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 7# 13
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 11# 12
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 10# 12
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 8# 14
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 12# 14
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 10# 13
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 11# 12
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 11# 12
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 10# 12
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 8# 10
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 8# 16
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 11# 14
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 11# 13
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 7# 16
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 6# 12
   
Jorge B. Edwards
Fantasy In Frames
# 11# 12
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 9# 12
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 10# 12
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 8# 15
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 13# 14
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 7# 12
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 9# 10
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 8# 10
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 10# 12
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 6# 10
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 8# 12
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 9# 7
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 10# 7
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 11# 10
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 11# 9
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 12# 10
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 12# 6
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 12# 10
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 12# 11
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 12# 9
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 12# 9
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 13# 9
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 13# 10
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 13# 12
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 13# 11
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 14# 11
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 14# 5
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 14# 12
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 14# 12
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 14# 6
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 15# 11
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 15# 14
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 17# 10
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Luis Castillo
SP - CIN
Luis Castillo
Clayton Kershaw
SP - LAD
Clayton Kershaw
2020 Stats 
   
   
Games Played1210
   
Games Started1210
   
Innings Pitched70.158.1
   
Wins46
   
Losses62
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed6241
   
Earned Runs2614
   
Home Runs Allowed58
   
Strikeouts8962
   
Walks248
   
ERA3.342.16
   
WHIP1.230.84
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Luis Castillo
SP - CIN
Luis Castillo
Clayton Kershaw
SP - LAD
Clayton Kershaw
2021 Projections 
   
   
Games Played3128
   
Games Started3128
   
Innings Pitched183.9167.2
   
Wins1314
   
Losses97
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed154142
   
Earned Runs7260
   
Home Runs Allowed2123
   
Strikeouts216176
   
Walks6335
   
ERA3.523.24
   
WHIP1.181.06
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Luis Castillo
SP - CIN
Luis Castillo
Clayton Kershaw
SP - LAD
Clayton Kershaw
News 
 Luis Castillo (8-16) took the loss Thursday against the Nationals, allowing two runs on three hits across six innings. He walked three and struck out six.
Connor Rooney
Thu, Sep 23rd
LHP Clayton Kershaw earned the win on Sunday when he allowed one run on three hits with eight strikeouts in the Dodgers' 8-5 win over the Reds.
Jon Mathisen
Mon, Sep 20th
 Luis Castillo (8-15) earned the win Friday against the Dodgers, tossing six shutout innings while allowing five hits and two walks. He struck out 10.
Connor Rooney
Fri, Sep 17th
Dodgers LHP Clayton Kershaw (forearm) threw a bullpen session on Friday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, Sep 11th
 Luis Castillo did not factor into the decision in Saturday's loss to the Cardinals, allowing four runs on eight hits across seven innings. He walked one and struck out five.
Connor Rooney
Sat, Sep 11th
Clayton Kershaw allowed two runs on four hits over three innings with three strikeouts in his rehab stint on Tuesday for Triple-A Oklahoma City.
Ari Koslow
Wed, Sep 8th
 Luis Castillo (7-15) was saddled with his league-leading 15th loss Sunday against the Tigers, allowing three runs (one earned) on four hits in six innings. He walked two and struck out seven.
Connor Rooney
Sun, Sep 5th
Dodgers manager Dave Roberts says that Clayton Kershaw (forearm) might need just one rehab start before rejoining the rotation.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Mon, Sep 6th
 Luis Castillo (7-14) took the loss Monday against the Cardinals, allowing three runs on five hits across six innings. He walked two and struck out eight.
Connor Rooney
Mon, Aug 30th
Dodgers' SP Clayton Kershaw (forearm) will make a rehab appearance in Triple-A Oklahoma City on Tuesday.
Jack Mannis
Sun, Sep 5th
Notes 
 Castillo turned in another excellent season last year, cutting his walk rate and striking out batters at a higher rate than he ever had in his career. His WHIP increased to a career-worst 1.23, but that was largely due to bad luck, as batters hit .232 against him despite an expected batting average of just .212. Nevertheless, Castillo kept runs off the board, largely because he was able to avoid home runs (just five in 70 innings) and limit free passes. Castillo is capable of fronting a fantasy pitching staff, though he's more of a low-end ace, and there are plenty of trade rumors following him around. But, given his reliable production and increased strikeout rate the past two seasons, he can be drafted with confidence.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Kershaw turned back the clock a bit in 2020, as the shortened season allowed him to let things go a bit more and add some of the velocity he had lost over the previous two seasons. The result was his best WHIP and ERA since 2016 and best strikeout rate since 2017. Kershaw isn't going to reach 200 innings pitched at this stage of his career, not with his injury history and the Dodgers' depth in their rotation and World Series aspirations. But even entering his age-33 season, he offers next to no downside. Consider this: Kershaw had probably the worst season of his career in 2019 and pitched to a 3.03 ERA and a 1.04 WHIP with more than a strikeout per inning. Draft him as a strong SP2 but bank on 160 innings. Anything more is gravy.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
  Fresh off his first ever World Series championship, Kershaw continues to graciously ride the aging curve. In fact, he has actually combated a decline in fastball velocity by adding 1 mph in 2020 (90.8 to 90.3 to 91.6 over the past three years). Fantasy managers should also find comfort in the fact that Kershaw has literally never been bad. His highest ERA since 2009 is 3.03 and his highest WHIP since 2011 is 1.04. If seeking safety in the early rounds, Kershaw is your guy.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros