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Who Should I Draft?

Luis Castillo or Jack Flaherty (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
Experts' Pick
  Luis Castillo
SP - CIN
Luis Castillo
Jack Flaherty
SP - STL
Jack Flaherty
Expert
Recommendation
50%
Recommended by
25 of 50 experts
50%
Recommended by
25 of 50 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 11# 10
Best Rank# 6# 7
Worst Rank# 17# 18
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 27# 32
Best Rank# 24# 27
Worst Rank# 38# 34
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts216205
Wins1312
Saves00
ERA3.523.48
WHIP1.181.11
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 12# 9
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 14# 13
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 11# 8
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 14# 7
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 12# 10
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 15# 12
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 12# 8
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 11# 10
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 12# 10
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 11# 8
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 11# 10
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 12# 11
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 14# 8
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 13# 10
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 14# 8
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 11# 10
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 11# 10
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 9# 8
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 17# 9
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 13# 11
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 14# 13
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 13# 8
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 13# 8
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 13# 11
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 15# 8
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 6# 8
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 6# 11
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 7# 10
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 7# 11
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 7# 11
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 8# 10
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 8# 16
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 8# 13
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 8# 12
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 8# 13
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 8# 11
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 8# 11
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 8# 10
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 9# 11
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 9# 12
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 10# 11
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 10# 11
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 10# 11
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 10# 11
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 10# 11
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 10# 15
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 11# 18
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 11# 12
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 12# 14
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 12# 13
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Luis Castillo
SP - CIN
Luis Castillo
Jack Flaherty
SP - STL
Jack Flaherty
2020 Stats 
   
   
Games Played129
   
Games Started129
   
Innings Pitched70.140.1
   
Wins44
   
Losses63
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed6233
   
Earned Runs2622
   
Home Runs Allowed56
   
Strikeouts8949
   
Walks2416
   
ERA3.344.91
   
WHIP1.231.21
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Luis Castillo
SP - CIN
Luis Castillo
Jack Flaherty
SP - STL
Jack Flaherty
2021 Projections 
   
   
Games Played3131
   
Games Started3131
   
Innings Pitched183.9173.0
   
Wins1312
   
Losses98
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed154138
   
Earned Runs7267
   
Home Runs Allowed2123
   
Strikeouts216205
   
Walks6354
   
ERA3.523.48
   
WHIP1.181.11
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Luis Castillo
SP - CIN
Luis Castillo
Jack Flaherty
SP - STL
Jack Flaherty
News 
 Luis Castillo allowed four runs on seven hits -- including two home runs -- over five innings in a no-decision against the Giants on Tuesday. He struck out seven and walked none.
Connor Rooney
Wed, Apr 14th
Jack Flaherty pitched six innings in a victory over the Nationals on Monday, giving up six hits, five runs (two earned), two walks and notching five strikeouts to improve to 3-0 on the season.
Lucas Spence
Mon, Apr 19th
 Luis Castillo (1-1) earned the win Wednesday against the Pirates. He threw seven scoreless innings while allowing four hits and one walk. He struck out five.
Connor Rooney
Wed, Apr 7th
Cardinals ace Jack Flaherty got the better of Stephen Strasburg on Tuesday night, pitching five innings (96 pitches) of one-run ball while yielding only three hits and striking out six.
Lucas Spence
Wed, Apr 14th
 Luis Castillo (0-1) allowed 10 runs (8 earned) on eight hits and two walks over 3.1 innings in a loss to the Cardinals on Thursday. He did not record a strikeout.
Connor Rooney
Fri, Apr 2nd
After struggling in his season debut, Cardinals ace Jack Flaherty pitched six scoreless innings against the Marlins on Wednesday, yielding only one hit while issuing four walks to go along with six strikeouts while picking up his first win of the season.
Lucas Spence
Wed, Apr 7th
 Reds RHP Luis Castillo threw live batting practice on Monday for the first time this spring.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Mon, Mar 8th
Cardinals ace Jack Flaherty had a rocky season debut on Thursday, lasting only 4.1 innings while surrendering six hits, six earned runs, and two walks to go along with four strikeouts.
Lucas Spence
Fri, Apr 2nd
 Luis Castillo agreed to a one-year, $4.2 million deal with the Reds to avoid arbitration.
Jon Mathisen
Fri, Jan 15th
MLB Network's Jon Heyman reports that Cardinals manager Mike Shildt has confirmed Jack Flaherty will be the team's Opening Day starter against Cincinnati.
Lucas Spence
Thu, Feb 25th
Notes 
 Castillo turned in another excellent season last year, cutting his walk rate and striking out batters at a higher rate than he ever had in his career. His WHIP increased to a career-worst 1.23, but that was largely due to bad luck, as batters hit .232 against him despite an expected batting average of just .212. Nevertheless, Castillo kept runs off the board, largely because he was able to avoid home runs (just five in 70 innings) and limit free passes. Castillo is capable of fronting a fantasy pitching staff, though he's more of a low-end ace, and there are plenty of trade rumors following him around. But, given his reliable production and increased strikeout rate the past two seasons, he can be drafted with confidence.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Flaherty ended up with a 4.91 ERA, but that hardly represents his actual performance, given that he allowed nine runs in a three-inning start in September. If you take out that outing, Flaherty had just a 3.13 ERA, and he didn't allow more than three earned runs in any of his eight other starts. Given that Flaherty's season was shorter than most due to the Cardinals' COVID-19 issues, it's fair to essentially throw out at that one abysmal outing, considering his other numbers were relatively consistent from 2019. Indeed, his swinging strike rate improved, as did his K/9 rate and ground ball percentage. With his devastating slider, Flaherty should still be considered one of the top pitchers in the real and fantasy game, and is capable of fronting a fantasy staff.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
  The word that keeps coming up for Flaherty's fantasy analysis is rhythm. In the second half of 2019, which is when Flaherty put together one of the most impressive second halves in baseball history, he had rhythm. Meanwhile, the Cardinals' 2020 season lacked anything resembling a routine. Flaherty and his teammates dealt with a COVID-19 outbreak as well as a plethora of doubleheaders late in the year to make up for lost time. And yet, if it wasn't for one disastrous start, Flaherty still would've been a borderline ace last summer. When you take out his worst start of the year, Flaherty's ERA drops from 4.91 to 3.13. I'm betting that 2021 goes more smoothly for St. Louis.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros