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Who Should I Draft?

Luis Castillo or Jose Abreu (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Luis Castillo
SP - CIN
Luis Castillo
Jose Abreu
1B,DH - CWS
Jose Abreu
Expert
Recommendation
54%
Recommended by
30 of 56 experts
46%
Recommended by
26 of 56 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 31# 32
Best Rank# 18# 15
Worst Rank# 58# 54
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 27# 38
Best Rank# 24# 29
Worst Rank# 38# 39
   
Projections 
   
Runs86
Home Runs2133
RBI111
Stolen Bases2
Batting Avg.281
Strikeouts216141
Wins13
Saves0
ERA3.52
WHIP1.18
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 25# 35
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 22# 34
   
Josh Shepardson
FantasyPros
# 26# 27
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 33# 34
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 26# 43
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 38# 54
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 37# 40
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 30# 37
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 36# 43
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 27# 37
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 29# 38
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 42# 46
   
Frank Stampfl
CBS Sports
# 21# 35
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 25# 39
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 23# 49
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 29# 37
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 24# 45
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 22# 24
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 31# 36
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 23# 40
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 25# 48
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 29# 37
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 23# 30
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 26# 36
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 20# 40
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 20# 35
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 29# 35
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 18# 27
   
SportsLine - Computer Simulation
CBS Sports
# 24# 49
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 26# 44
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 24# 23
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 32# 29
   
Jorge B. Edwards
Fantasy In Frames
# 33# 30
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 33# 31
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 34# 31
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 34# 31
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 35# 30
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 36# 28
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 36# 29
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 37# 30
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 39# 31
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 39# 34
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 40# 33
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 41# 15
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 41# 19
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 42# 24
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 44# 26
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 45# 24
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 46# 30
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 47# 26
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 47# 38
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 48# 44
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 50# 26
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 53# 36
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 56# 21
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 58# 16
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Luis Castillo
SP - CIN
Luis Castillo
Jose Abreu
1B,DH - CWS
Jose Abreu
2020 Stats 
   
   
Runs43
   
Home Runs519
   
RBI60
   
Stolen Bases0
   
Batting Avg.317
   
Strikeouts8959
   
Wins4
   
Saves0
   
ERA3.34
   
WHIP1.23
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Luis Castillo
SP - CIN
Luis Castillo
Jose Abreu
1B,DH - CWS
Jose Abreu
2021 Projections 
   
   
Runs86
   
Home Runs2133
   
RBI111
   
Stolen Bases2
   
Batting Avg.281
   
Strikeouts216141
   
Wins13
   
Saves0
   
ERA3.52
   
WHIP1.18
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Luis Castillo
SP - CIN
Luis Castillo
Jose Abreu
1B,DH - CWS
Jose Abreu
News 
 Luis Castillo did not factor into the decision Friday against the Pirates, allowing one run on six hits in 5.1 innings. He walked three and struck out five.
Connor Rooney
Fri, Oct 1st
Jose Abreu went 2-for-4 on Friday, hitting his 30th double and 30th home run while also drawing a walk.
Ethan Biddle - The Work of Ethan Biddle
Sat, Oct 2nd
 Luis Castillo will make his next scheduled start Friday the Cincinnati Reds announced.
Chris Schommer
Mon, Sep 27th
Jose Abreu went 1-for-3 on Sunday, hitting a single while also drawing two walks. He would score once in the game.
Ethan Biddle - The Work of Ethan Biddle
Mon, Sep 27th
 Luis Castillo (8-16) took the loss Thursday against the Nationals, allowing two runs on three hits across six innings. He walked three and struck out six.
Connor Rooney
Thu, Sep 23rd
Jose Abreu went 2-for-5 on the day, hitting a single and a double.
Ethan Biddle - The Work of Ethan Biddle
Tue, Sep 21st
 Luis Castillo (8-15) earned the win Friday against the Dodgers, tossing six shutout innings while allowing five hits and two walks. He struck out 10.
Connor Rooney
Fri, Sep 17th
Jose Abreu was just 1-for-4 on the day, but his lone hit was a three-run blast to open the scoring for the White Sox. He also drew a walk and struck out twice.
Ethan Biddle - The Work of Ethan Biddle
Sat, Sep 11th
 Luis Castillo did not factor into the decision in Saturday's loss to the Cardinals, allowing four runs on eight hits across seven innings. He walked one and struck out five.
Connor Rooney
Sat, Sep 11th
Jose Abreu went 2-for-4 on Thursday, hitting two singles and driving in a run in the process.
Ethan Biddle - The Work of Ethan Biddle
Fri, Sep 10th
Notes 
 Castillo turned in another excellent season last year, cutting his walk rate and striking out batters at a higher rate than he ever had in his career. His WHIP increased to a career-worst 1.23, but that was largely due to bad luck, as batters hit .232 against him despite an expected batting average of just .212. Nevertheless, Castillo kept runs off the board, largely because he was able to avoid home runs (just five in 70 innings) and limit free passes. Castillo is capable of fronting a fantasy pitching staff, though he's more of a low-end ace, and there are plenty of trade rumors following him around. But, given his reliable production and increased strikeout rate the past two seasons, he can be drafted with confidence.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
For most players, fantasy managers need to consider whether to discount a highly out-of-character dip in their numbers given the shortened season. For Abreu, it's the opposite - whether fantasy managers should give credence to an outstanding MVP season, during which Abreu vastly outperformed his numbers from every other season of his career. Everything was good for Abreu in 2020, everything. He hit the ball harder than ever and consistently. He got on base more. He had career-high paces in every category. Abreu will be entering his age-34 season, so there's no way you should expect a repeat performance, but it's worth noting that he has increased his average exit velocity and hard-hit percentage in each of the last five seasons. Abreu's cost doesn't match his numbers last year, of course, but you'll still have to pay a hefty price in drafts. Given his safety and and his newly-discovered upside, however, it's worth it.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros