Who Should I Draft?

Luis Castillo or Josh Hader (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Luis Castillo
SP - CIN
Luis Castillo
Josh Hader
RP - MIL
Josh Hader
Expert
Recommendation
57%
Recommended by
32 of 56 experts
43%
Recommended by
24 of 56 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 41# 42
Best Rank# 22# 19
Worst Rank# 78# 117
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 128# 105
Best Rank# 114# 101
Worst Rank# 846# 129
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts169115
Wins114
Saves013
ERA3.862.69
WHIP1.221.04
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 38# 44
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 39# 42
   
Michael Beller
Sports Illustrated
# 22# 40
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 34# 39
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 30# 38
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 46# 52
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 46# 59
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 30# 56
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 42# 48
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 38# 40
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 41# 116
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 38# 49
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 35# 51
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 34# 82
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 35# 42
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 33# 34
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 42# 45
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 35# 117
   
Chris Meyers
Athlon Sports
# 40# 46
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 38# 62
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 39# 55
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 33# 46
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 37# 41
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 39# 57
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 44# 53
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 42# 55
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 25# 51
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 37# 52
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 28# 34
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 28# 35
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 39# 47
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 39# 49
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 38# 36
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 39# 29
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 40# 39
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 41# 38
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 41# 35
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 44# 38
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 44# 19
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 44# 32
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 45# 38
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 45# 42
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 46# 33
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 48# 23
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 53# 19
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 54# 23
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 54# 32
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 54# 21
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 56# 46
   
Brad Richter
Going For 2
# 56# 42
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 59# 55
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 60# 35
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 61# 38
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 66# 61
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 67# 35
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 78# 31
   
  Luis Castillo
SP - CIN
Luis Castillo
Josh Hader
RP - MIL
Josh Hader
2018 Stats 
   
   
Games Played3155
   
Games Started310
   
Innings Pitched170.281.0
   
Wins106
   
Losses121
   
Saves012
   
Blown Saves05
   
Holds021
   
Hits Allowed15836
   
Earned Runs8122
   
Home Runs Allowed289
   
Strikeouts165143
   
Walks4930
   
ERA4.302.43
   
WHIP1.220.81
   
  Luis Castillo
SP - CIN
Luis Castillo
Josh Hader
RP - MIL
Josh Hader
2019 Projections 
   
   
Games Played3060
   
Games Started300
   
Innings Pitched169.973.0
   
Wins114
   
Losses103
   
Saves013
   
Blown Saves02
   
Holds015
   
Hits Allowed15646
   
Earned Runs7322
   
Home Runs Allowed249
   
Strikeouts169115
   
Walks5230
   
ERA3.862.69
   
WHIP1.221.04
   
  Luis Castillo
SP - CIN
Luis Castillo
Josh Hader
RP - MIL
Josh Hader
News 
 Luis Castillo allowed two runs on two hits over six innings in the Reds' 3-2 win over the Astros on Monday. He walked six and struck out seven while improving to 7-1.
Elliott Baas
Mon, Jun 17th
Josh Hader fired two perfect innings to secure his 17th save in the Brewers' 5-3 win over the Giants on Sunday. He struck out three.
Elliott Baas
Mon, Jun 17th
 Luis Castillo allowed one run on four hits over six innings in the Reds' 2-1 extra innings loss to the Indians on Tuesday. He walked two and struck out six in the no-decision.
Elliott Baas
Wed, Jun 12th
Josh Hader pitched a scoreless ninth for his 16th save in the Brewers' 5-2 win over the Pirates on Sunday. He walked one and struck out three.
Elliott Baas
Mon, Jun 10th
 Luis Castillo allowed (three runs) two earned on six hits over 5 1/3 innings in the Reds' 8-5 loss to the Pirates on Sunday. He walked four and struck out four in the no decision.
Elliott Baas
Tue, May 28th
Josh Hader pitched a perfect ninth and struck out the side to pick up his 15th save in the Brewers' 5-3 win over the Pirates on Saturday.
Elliott Baas
Sun, Jun 9th
 Luis Castillo allowed four runs on five hits over 2.2 innings in the Reds' 11-9 loss to the Brewers on Wednesday. He walked three and struck out two in the no decision.
Elliott Baas
Thu, May 23rd
Josh Hader picked up a four-out save in the Brewers' 5-1 win over the Marlins on Thursday. He allowed no hits, one walk, and struck out four.
Elliott Baas
Thu, Jun 6th
 Luis Castillo allowed two runs on two hits over 5.1 innings in the Reds' 4-2 win over the Cubs on Thursday. He walked one and struck out six while improving to 5-1.
Elliott Baas
Fri, May 17th
Josh Hader struck out five over two innings of relief, but gave up a three-run blast to Starling Marte and was charged with a blown save in the Brewers' 12-10 win over the Pirates on Saturday.
Elliott Baas
Sun, Jun 2nd
Notes 
 Castillo quickly became a darling of the analytics community last season but failed to meet the expectations of those who reached for him in fantasy. He is still plenty young and talented, however, so don't give up on him less the breakout comes a year later than everyone planned for.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
Hader registered three fewer strikeouts (143) than Miles Mikolas last season and eight more than Kenley Jansen and Ken Giles combined. Although not Milwaukee's full-time closer, he notched 12 saves and six wins with a 2.43 ERA and 0.81 WHIP. He led all relievers in strikeout % (46.7) and swinging-strike rate (19.0%). As a result, he's an anomaly who should get drafted above middling closers even in standard five-by-five leagues. Despite his clear dominance, it's awfully tough paying such a steep price for a middle reliever who's no guarantee to vulture as many saves and wins. With a consensus ADP above Sean Doolittle, Kirby Yates, and Jose Leclerc, drafters should instead try to find the next Hader in the final rounds or on the waiver wire. This could all change, however, if injuries to Jeremy Jeffress and Corey Knebel clear a path to saves. (The Brewers have also been linked to Craig Kimbrel.) Hader is a top-five stud in saves-plus-holds format who'd garner that same elite status in all leagues if given the closer's role.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
 Castillo was a trendy breakout pick last season, but instead his strikeout rate fell and he was victimized by the home run ball. However, just as many fantasy managers' attention turned to football, Castillo dominated his way through September, delivering a 1.09 ERA and 0.85 WHIP over the season's final month. In other words, there is plenty of post-hype sleeper appeal here as long as his draft price remains reasonable.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
Hader has dominant stuff and a proven ability to succeed in the ninth inning, but it remains to be seen whether he'll see as many save opportunities as he did last season. Regardless, he can help enough in other areas (Ks, ERA, WHIP) to be worth rostering in many formats even if he isn't closing. If you're skeptical, consider this: Hader and Jeffress finished as the third and fourth most-valuable relievers in standard 5
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 One of last spring's top breakout candidates, Castillo posted an underwhelming 4.30 ERA. This year's version of Castillo is … still Castillo. While he started strong, the hard-throwing righty belatedly met the hype with a 2.44 ERA, 69 strikeouts, and 14 walks in 66.1 second-half frames. A 13.5% swinging-strike rate points to elite strikeout potential, so there's still an ace looming if he can curtail last year's home-run woes. While this could be a case of doubling down on the same mistake, Castillo is once a desirable high-upside SP3 target.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
You may not get a dozen saves out of Hader again, but the 143 strikeouts and lights out ratios are here to stay. Those video game numbers make him a top 10 fantasy relief pitcher, as you won't find anyone more apt to help you in those three big categories.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros