Who Should I Draft?

Luis Castillo or Kyle Hendricks (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Luis Castillo
SP - CIN
Luis Castillo
Kyle Hendricks
SP - CHC
Kyle Hendricks
Expert
Recommendation
63%
Recommended by
37 of 59 experts
37%
Recommended by
22 of 59 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 41# 43
Best Rank# 22# 14
Worst Rank# 78# 97
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 128# 126
Best Rank# 114# 116
Worst Rank# 846# 144
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts169155
Wins1113
Saves00
ERA3.863.67
WHIP1.221.20
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 38# 45
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 44# 47
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 38# 57
   
Michael Beller
The Athletic
# 22# 25
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 56# 61
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 34# 40
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 40# 52
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 30# 33
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 46# 48
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 46# 73
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 42# 66
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 38# 52
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 41# 49
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 45# 51
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 38# 42
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 35# 41
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 34# 45
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 54# 56
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 35# 49
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 33# 46
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 42# 60
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 38# 53
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 39# 42
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 41# 44
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 33# 48
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 37# 68
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 39# 48
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 44# 47
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 39# 50
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 25# 48
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 41# 44
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 43# 46
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 37# 44
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 28# 97
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 28# 38
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 39# 52
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 39# 40
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 30# 17
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 35# 14
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 39# 36
   
Bart Wheeler
Hail to Fantasy Football
# 41# 38
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 42# 38
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 44# 29
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 44# 41
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 45# 41
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 46# 39
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 47# 37
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 48# 37
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 53# 51
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 54# 39
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 54# 45
   
Brad Richter
DailyOverlay
# 56# 26
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 59# 33
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 60# 44
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 61# 57
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 66# 21
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 67# 18
   
Jason Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 75# 63
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 78# 58
   
  Luis Castillo
SP - CIN
Luis Castillo
Kyle Hendricks
SP - CHC
Kyle Hendricks
2018 Stats 
   
   
Games Played3133
   
Games Started3133
   
Innings Pitched170.2199.1
   
Wins1014
   
Losses1211
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed158184
   
Earned Runs8176
   
Home Runs Allowed2822
   
Strikeouts165161
   
Walks4944
   
ERA4.303.44
   
WHIP1.221.15
   
  Luis Castillo
SP - CIN
Luis Castillo
Kyle Hendricks
SP - CHC
Kyle Hendricks
2019 Projections 
   
   
Games Played3031
   
Games Started3031
   
Innings Pitched169.9184.3
   
Wins1113
   
Losses109
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed156175
   
Earned Runs7375
   
Home Runs Allowed2421
   
Strikeouts169155
   
Walks5247
   
ERA3.863.67
   
WHIP1.221.20
   
  Luis Castillo
SP - CIN
Luis Castillo
Kyle Hendricks
SP - CHC
Kyle Hendricks
News 
 Luis Castillo (15-8) took the loss Thursday against the Brewers, allowing five runs on five hits and four walks across five innings. He struck out eight.
Connor Rooney
Thu, Sep 26th
Kyle Hendricks (11-10) allowed six runs (five earned) over six innings, taking the loss against the Pirates on Tuesday. He struck out five.
Connor Rooney
Wed, Sep 25th
 Luis Castillo (15-7) was saddled with the loss Friday against the Mets, allowing three runs on three hits and three walks over seven innings. He struck out seven.
Connor Rooney
Sat, Sep 21st
Kyle Hendricks did not factor into the decision Thursday against the Cardinals, allowing four runs on eight hits over 5.1 innings. He struck out six and walked one.
Connor Rooney
Fri, Sep 20th
 Luis Castillo (15-6) earned the win Friday against the Diamondbacks, allowing two runs on four hits and three walks across five innings. He struck out three.
Connor Rooney
Sat, Sep 14th
Kyle Hendricks (11-9) earned the win Saturday against the Pirates, allowing one run on seven hits and no walks across six innings. He struck out two.
Connor Rooney
Sat, Sep 14th
 Luis Castillo (14-6) took the loss Saturday against the Diamondbacks, allowing two runs on three hits and three walks across 7.2 innings. He struck out 10.
Connor Rooney
Sun, Sep 8th
Kyle Hendricks (10-9) earned the win Monday against the Padres, allowing two runs (one earned) on seven hits over 5.2 innings. He struck out five and walked one.
Connor Rooney
Tue, Sep 10th
 Luis Castillo (14-5) earned the win Sunday against the Cardinals, allowing three runs on five hits and three walks over six innings. He struck out eight.
Connor Rooney
Mon, Sep 2nd
Kyle Hendricks allowed one run on three hits and one walk through six innings Monday against the Mariners. He struck out seven and did not factor into the decision.
Connor Rooney
Mon, Sep 2nd
Notes 
 Castillo quickly became a darling of the analytics community last season but failed to meet the expectations of those who reached for him in fantasy. He is still plenty young and talented, however, so don't give up on him less the breakout comes a year later than everyone planned for.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
His success defies common convention, but how many times does Hendricks have to prove himself as a sustainable anomaly? He boasts a 3.07 career ERA in 789 innings, only once going over 3.45 (3.95 in 2015). He has made at least 30 starts in three of the last four seasons, and a stellar 5.4% walk rate led to a 1.15 WHIP in 2018. Despite his lacking velocity, The Professor typically records 160-170 strikeouts over a full season of work. He's a boring, but effective SP3 to pair with high-upside strikeout pitchers.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
 Castillo was a trendy breakout pick last season, but instead his strikeout rate fell and he was victimized by the home run ball. However, just as many fantasy managers' attention turned to football, Castillo dominated his way through September, delivering a 1.09 ERA and 0.85 WHIP over the season's final month. In other words, there is plenty of post-hype sleeper appeal here as long as his draft price remains reasonable.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 
 One of last spring's top breakout candidates, Castillo posted an underwhelming 4.30 ERA. This year's version of Castillo is … still Castillo. While he started strong, the hard-throwing righty belatedly met the hype with a 2.44 ERA, 69 strikeouts, and 14 walks in 66.1 second-half frames. A 13.5% swinging-strike rate points to elite strikeout potential, so there's still an ace looming if he can curtail last year's home-run woes. While this could be a case of doubling down on the same mistake, Castillo is once a desirable high-upside SP3 target.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros