Who Should I Draft?

Luis Castillo or Yu Darvish (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Luis Castillo
SP - CIN
Luis Castillo
Yu Darvish
SP - CHC
Yu Darvish
Expert
Recommendation
63%
Recommended by
37 of 59 experts
37%
Recommended by
22 of 59 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 41# 46
Best Rank# 22# 8
Worst Rank# 78# 93
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 128# 143
Best Rank# 114# 137
Worst Rank# 846# 148
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts169160
Wins119
Saves00
ERA3.863.79
WHIP1.221.23
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 38# 60
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 39# 44
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 38# 56
   
Michael Beller
The Athletic
# 22# 48
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 34# 56
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 40# 67
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 45# 49
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 44# 49
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 46# 93
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 30# 48
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 42# 45
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 48# 55
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 45# 57
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 38# 45
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 35# 46
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 34# 42
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 54# 60
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 35# 44
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 33# 47
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 46# 48
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 42# 46
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 59# 93
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 35# 61
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 41# 49
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 44# 45
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 33# 42
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 39# 51
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 25# 37
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 41# 46
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 43# 48
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 37# 49
   
Bart Wheeler
Hail to Fantasy Football
# 41# 46
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 47# 62
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 28# 39
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 28# 52
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 39# 42
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 39# 52
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 30# 29
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 37# 36
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 38# 23
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 38# 36
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 39# 38
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 39# 27
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 41# 8
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 42# 31
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 44# 35
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 44# 42
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 46# 44
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 53# 52
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 54# 32
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 54# 49
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 56# 40
   
Brad Richter
DailyOverlay
# 56# 55
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 60# 41
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 61# 25
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 66# 55
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 67# 65
   
Jason Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 75# 44
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 78# 35
   
  Luis Castillo
SP - CIN
Luis Castillo
Yu Darvish
SP - CHC
Yu Darvish
2018 Stats 
   
   
Games Played318
   
Games Started318
   
Innings Pitched170.240.1
   
Wins101
   
Losses123
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed15836
   
Earned Runs8122
   
Home Runs Allowed287
   
Strikeouts16549
   
Walks4921
   
ERA4.304.95
   
WHIP1.221.43
   
  Luis Castillo
SP - CIN
Luis Castillo
Yu Darvish
SP - CHC
Yu Darvish
2019 Projections 
   
   
Games Played3024
   
Games Started3024
   
Innings Pitched169.9140.6
   
Wins119
   
Losses108
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed156122
   
Earned Runs7359
   
Home Runs Allowed2418
   
Strikeouts169160
   
Walks5252
   
ERA3.863.79
   
WHIP1.221.23
   
  Luis Castillo
SP - CIN
Luis Castillo
Yu Darvish
SP - CHC
Yu Darvish
News 
 Luis Castillo (15-6) earned the win Friday against the Diamondbacks, allowing two runs on four hits and three walks across five innings. He struck out three.
Connor Rooney
Sat, Sep 14th
Yu Darvish threw five scoreless frames Saturday against the Brewers, allowing three hits and a walk while striking out seven.
Connor Rooney
Sun, Sep 8th
 Luis Castillo (14-6) took the loss Saturday against the Diamondbacks, allowing two runs on three hits and three walks across 7.2 innings. He struck out 10.
Connor Rooney
Sun, Sep 8th
Chicago Cubs starting pitcher Yu Darvish has been scratched from his scheduled Sunday start against the Milwaukee Brewers with right forearm tightness, the team announced. He is expected to be able to make his next start.
Mike Maher
Sun, Sep 1st
 Luis Castillo (14-5) earned the win Sunday against the Cardinals, allowing three runs on five hits and three walks over six innings. He struck out eight.
Connor Rooney
Mon, Sep 2nd
Yu Darvish (5-6) pitched eight innings of one-run ball to earn the win Tuesday against the Mets. He allowed five hits and one walk, while striking out seven.
Connor Rooney
Wed, Aug 28th
 Luis Castillo (13-5) allowed five runs on seven hits and two walks while striking out 11 to earn the win Tuesday against the Marlins.
Connor Rooney
Wed, Aug 28th
Yu Darvish did not factor into the decision in Wednesday's win over the Giants, allowing seven runs (six earned) on seven hits while striking out eight over 5.1 innings.
Connor Rooney
Thu, Aug 22nd
 Luis Castillo (12-5) picked up the win Wednesday against the Padres, allowing one run on five hits and no walks across six innings, while punching out four.
Connor Rooney
Wed, Aug 21st
Yu Darvish pitched seven shutout innings while striking out 10 in the Cubs’ 7-5 loss to the Phillies.
Brandon Plutner
Fri, Aug 16th
Notes 
 Castillo quickly became a darling of the analytics community last season but failed to meet the expectations of those who reached for him in fantasy. He is still plenty young and talented, however, so don't give up on him less the breakout comes a year later than everyone planned for.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
Darvish missed most of the 2018 season due to elbow and triceps injuries, and he was clearly not himself for the 40 innings he was able to pitch. Health has been a constant concern for Darvish, but he's been a consistently dominant strikeout pitcher, and last year was the first time in his Major League career that he's had an ERA over 3.90 or WHIP above 1.28. His team context in Chicago remains great, so the chance of a big bounce back season is there if he can just stay off of the DL.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 Castillo was a trendy breakout pick last season, but instead his strikeout rate fell and he was victimized by the home run ball. However, just as many fantasy managers' attention turned to football, Castillo dominated his way through September, delivering a 1.09 ERA and 0.85 WHIP over the season's final month. In other words, there is plenty of post-hype sleeper appeal here as long as his draft price remains reasonable.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
Arthroscopic elbow surgery limited Darvish to eight starts in 2018. Adding insult to injury, he wasn't even good (4.95 ERA) in his brief time on the mound. He has now pitched 327 innings over the last four seasons combined. Darvish reportedly added 10-15 pounds of muscle during the offseason, and he said he feels far more comfortable in Chicago after dealing with pressure from signing a hefty contract. There's always the chance he stays healthy and drafters steal an ace with a career 3.49 ERA and 11.04 K/9. There's also, however, enough risk to proceed with caution. He's the ultimate boom-or-bust SP3.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
 One of last spring's top breakout candidates, Castillo posted an underwhelming 4.30 ERA. This year's version of Castillo is … still Castillo. While he started strong, the hard-throwing righty belatedly met the hype with a 2.44 ERA, 69 strikeouts, and 14 walks in 66.1 second-half frames. A 13.5% swinging-strike rate points to elite strikeout potential, so there's still an ace looming if he can curtail last year's home-run woes. While this could be a case of doubling down on the same mistake, Castillo is once a desirable high-upside SP3 target.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros