Who Should I Draft?

Luis Castillo or Yu Darvish (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Luis Castillo
SP - CIN
Luis Castillo
Yu Darvish
SP - CHC
Yu Darvish
Expert
Recommendation
63%
Recommended by
35 of 56 experts
38%
Recommended by
21 of 56 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 41# 46
Best Rank# 22# 8
Worst Rank# 78# 93
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 128# 143
Best Rank# 114# 137
Worst Rank# 846# 148
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts169160
Wins119
Saves00
ERA3.863.79
WHIP1.221.23
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 38# 60
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 39# 44
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 38# 56
   
Michael Beller
Sports Illustrated
# 22# 48
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 34# 56
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 40# 67
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 45# 49
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 44# 49
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 46# 93
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 30# 48
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 42# 45
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 48# 55
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 45# 57
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 38# 45
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 35# 46
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 34# 42
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 54# 60
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 35# 44
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 33# 47
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 46# 48
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 42# 46
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 59# 93
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 35# 61
   
Chris Meyers
Athlon Sports
# 40# 45
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 41# 49
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 44# 45
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 33# 42
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 39# 51
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 25# 37
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 41# 46
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 37# 49
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 28# 39
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 28# 52
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 39# 42
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 39# 52
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 30# 29
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 37# 36
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 38# 23
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 38# 36
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 39# 38
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 39# 27
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 41# 8
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 42# 31
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 44# 35
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 44# 42
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 46# 44
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 53# 52
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 54# 32
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 54# 49
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 56# 40
   
Brad Richter
Going For 2
# 56# 55
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 60# 41
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 61# 25
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 66# 55
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 67# 65
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 78# 35
   
  Luis Castillo
SP - CIN
Luis Castillo
Yu Darvish
SP - CHC
Yu Darvish
2018 Stats 
   
   
Games Played318
   
Games Started318
   
Innings Pitched170.240.1
   
Wins101
   
Losses123
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed15836
   
Earned Runs8122
   
Home Runs Allowed287
   
Strikeouts16549
   
Walks4921
   
ERA4.304.95
   
WHIP1.221.43
   
  Luis Castillo
SP - CIN
Luis Castillo
Yu Darvish
SP - CHC
Yu Darvish
2019 Projections 
   
   
Games Played3024
   
Games Started3024
   
Innings Pitched169.9140.6
   
Wins119
   
Losses108
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed156122
   
Earned Runs7359
   
Home Runs Allowed2418
   
Strikeouts169160
   
Walks5252
   
ERA3.863.79
   
WHIP1.221.23
   
  Luis Castillo
SP - CIN
Luis Castillo
Yu Darvish
SP - CHC
Yu Darvish
News 
 Luis Castillo allowed two runs on two hits over six innings in the Reds' 3-2 win over the Astros on Monday. He walked six and struck out seven while improving to 7-1.
Elliott Baas
Mon, Jun 17th
Yu Darvish allowed one run on two hits over seven innings in the Cubs' 2-1 win over the Dodgers on Saturday. He walked one and struck out ten in the no-decision.
Elliott Baas
Sun, Jun 16th
 Luis Castillo allowed one run on four hits over six innings in the Reds' 2-1 extra innings loss to the Indians on Tuesday. He walked two and struck out six in the no-decision.
Elliott Baas
Wed, Jun 12th
Yu Darvish allowed four runs on six hits over six innings in the Cubs' 6-5 loss to the Rockies on Monday. He walked none and struck out three in the no-decision.
Elliott Baas
Tue, Jun 11th
 Luis Castillo allowed (three runs) two earned on six hits over 5 1/3 innings in the Reds' 8-5 loss to the Pirates on Sunday. He walked four and struck out four in the no decision.
Elliott Baas
Tue, May 28th
Yu Darvish allowed three runs (two earned) on three hits over 5.1 innings in the Cubs' 9-8 win over the Rockies on Wednesday. He walked three and struck out five in the no-decision.
Elliott Baas
Wed, Jun 5th
 Luis Castillo allowed four runs on five hits over 2.2 innings in the Reds' 11-9 loss to the Brewers on Wednesday. He walked three and struck out two in the no decision.
Elliott Baas
Thu, May 23rd
Yu Darvish allowed one run on three hits over six innings in the Cubs' 2-1 loss to the Cardinals on Friday. He walked three and struck out six in the no-decision.
Elliott Baas
Sat, Jun 1st
 Luis Castillo allowed two runs on two hits over 5.1 innings in the Reds' 4-2 win over the Cubs on Thursday. He walked one and struck out six while improving to 5-1.
Elliott Baas
Fri, May 17th
Yu Darvish allowed six runs on 12 hits over seven innings in the Cubs' 8-6 win over the Reds on Saturday. He walked two and struck out five in the no decision.
Elliott Baas
Sun, May 26th
Notes 
 Castillo quickly became a darling of the analytics community last season but failed to meet the expectations of those who reached for him in fantasy. He is still plenty young and talented, however, so don't give up on him less the breakout comes a year later than everyone planned for.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
Darvish missed most of the 2018 season due to elbow and triceps injuries, and he was clearly not himself for the 40 innings he was able to pitch. Health has been a constant concern for Darvish, but he's been a consistently dominant strikeout pitcher, and last year was the first time in his Major League career that he's had an ERA over 3.90 or WHIP above 1.28. His team context in Chicago remains great, so the chance of a big bounce back season is there if he can just stay off of the DL.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 Castillo was a trendy breakout pick last season, but instead his strikeout rate fell and he was victimized by the home run ball. However, just as many fantasy managers' attention turned to football, Castillo dominated his way through September, delivering a 1.09 ERA and 0.85 WHIP over the season's final month. In other words, there is plenty of post-hype sleeper appeal here as long as his draft price remains reasonable.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
Arthroscopic elbow surgery limited Darvish to eight starts in 2018. Adding insult to injury, he wasn't even good (4.95 ERA) in his brief time on the mound. He has now pitched 327 innings over the last four seasons combined. Darvish reportedly added 10-15 pounds of muscle during the offseason, and he said he feels far more comfortable in Chicago after dealing with pressure from signing a hefty contract. There's always the chance he stays healthy and drafters steal an ace with a career 3.49 ERA and 11.04 K/9. There's also, however, enough risk to proceed with caution. He's the ultimate boom-or-bust SP3.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
 One of last spring's top breakout candidates, Castillo posted an underwhelming 4.30 ERA. This year's version of Castillo is … still Castillo. While he started strong, the hard-throwing righty belatedly met the hype with a 2.44 ERA, 69 strikeouts, and 14 walks in 66.1 second-half frames. A 13.5% swinging-strike rate points to elite strikeout potential, so there's still an ace looming if he can curtail last year's home-run woes. While this could be a case of doubling down on the same mistake, Castillo is once a desirable high-upside SP3 target.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros