Who Should I Draft?

Luis Severino or Charlie Morton (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Luis Severino
SP - NYY
Luis Severino
Charlie Morton
SP - TB
Charlie Morton
Expert
Recommendation
78%
Recommended by
46 of 59 experts
22%
Recommended by
13 of 59 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 26# 36
Best Rank# 7# 19
Worst Rank# 65# 80
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 68# 114
Best Rank# 55# 97
Worst Rank# 121# 117
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts178176
Wins1312
Saves00
ERA3.323.41
WHIP1.131.21
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 27# 38
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 19# 50
   
Brad Richter
DailyOverlay
# 16# 24
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 22# 41
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 27# 53
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 12# 51
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 31# 36
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 19# 27
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 21# 69
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 13# 40
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 24# 43
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 31# 34
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 15# 46
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 25# 80
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 20# 28
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 13# 36
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 33# 36
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 31# 46
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 18# 40
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 24# 28
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 19# 29
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 34# 36
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 10# 66
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 18# 32
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 24# 34
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 34# 44
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 11# 58
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 12# 24
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 19# 37
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 19# 28
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 23# 38
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 40# 43
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 37# 38
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 33# 57
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 11# 37
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 28# 46
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 26# 36
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 10# 40
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 7# 30
   
Bart Wheeler
Hail to Fantasy Football
# 18# 55
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 24# 27
   
Jason Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 12# 34
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 29# 41
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 20# 25
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 13# 44
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 24# 34
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 27# 19
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 28# 23
   
Michael Beller
The Athletic
# 33# 32
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 34# 29
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 35# 33
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 39# 28
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 41# 40
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 43# 30
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 43# 42
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 45# 37
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 50# 40
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 56# 38
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 65# 36
   
  Luis Severino
SP - NYY
Luis Severino
Charlie Morton
SP - TB
Charlie Morton
2018 Stats 
   
   
Games Played3230
   
Games Started3230
   
Innings Pitched191.2167.2
   
Wins1915
   
Losses83
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed173130
   
Earned Runs7258
   
Home Runs Allowed1918
   
Strikeouts220201
   
Walks4664
   
ERA3.393.13
   
WHIP1.141.16
   
  Luis Severino
SP - NYY
Luis Severino
Charlie Morton
SP - TB
Charlie Morton
2019 Projections 
   
   
Games Played2727
   
Games Started2627
   
Innings Pitched155.9157.3
   
Wins1312
   
Losses67
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed136132
   
Earned Runs5860
   
Home Runs Allowed1916
   
Strikeouts178176
   
Walks4058
   
ERA3.323.41
   
WHIP1.131.21
   
  Luis Severino
SP - NYY
Luis Severino
Charlie Morton
SP - TB
Charlie Morton
News 
 Luis Severino allowed two runs on a hit and four walks while striking out four over three innings, taking the loss against the Rangers on Saturday.
John Aubin
Sun, Sep 29th
Rays manager Kevin Cash announced Charlie Morton will start Wednesday's American League Wild Card game versus the Athletics.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, Sep 28th
 Luis Severino pitched four scoreless innings, struck out two and allowed only two hits as the Yankees defeated the Angels 8-0.
Brandon Plutner
Tue, Sep 17th
Charlie Morton gave up just one hit with three walks and nine strikeouts as he pitched six innings combined with four relievers on a one-hit shutout of the Yankees on Wednesday.
John Aubin
Thu, Sep 26th
 Luis Severino (shoulder) is scheduled to make his 2019 debut on Tuesday against the Angels.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Thu, Sep 12th
Charlie Morton allowed two runs on five hits and a walk while striking out eight over 6 1/3 innings Friday against the Red Sox. He didn't factor into the decision.
John Aubin
Sat, Sep 21st
 Luis Severino (lat) will throw 45-50 pitches over about three innings in his rehab appearance with Double-A Trenton on Friday, Greg Johnson of The Trentonian reports.
John Aubin
Fri, Sep 6th
Charlie Morton earned the win Friday, holding the Angels to three runs on six hits and a walk while striking out four across six innings.
John Aubin
Sat, Sep 14th
 Luis Severino (lat) gave up two runs on three hits while striking out two over one inning in his rehab start Sunday for Triple-A Scranton/Wilkes-Barre.
John Aubin
Mon, Sep 2nd
Charlie Morton struck out 10 while allowing three runs on five hits with two walks across six innings during a no-decision against the Blue Jays on Saturday.
John Aubin
Sun, Sep 8th
Notes 
 A Cy Young Award contender though June, Severino imploded with a 5.20 ERA over the final three months. That inconsistency is perilous for a staff headliner, but he still finished 2018 with a 3.39 ERA, 2.95 FIP, and 220 strikeouts. Despite his start-by-start inconsistency, he has delivered on a macro level in consecutive seasons. However, he will miss at least all of April with a shoulder injury, Previously a viable top-10 candidate, he's now too risky to draft as a top-25 starter.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
After nearly a decade of mediocrity, the Astros turned Morton into a high-end starter in 2017, and he was even better in 2018. At this point, he feels relatively safe to pencil in for a mid-3.00s ERA, 10.0 K/9 rate, and WHIP in the 1.15-1.20 range. The concerns are his advancing age and durability -- he's never thrown more than 172 innings in a season. The move to Tampa Bay is also a mild concern, less so for the change of division than for the move away from a Houston team that seemingly knew how to get the best out of him.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 At first glance, Severino's 2018 numbers look just about as good as his excellent 2017 season, but the real story is that he was completely dominant in the first half and completely awful in the second half. That kind of inconsistency is a red flag, as is the rotator cuff inflammation that could cause him to miss the first month of the season or more. The sky is the limit for Severino in terms of long-term upside, but he's shaping up as a boom-or-bust pick for 2019.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
Morton followed an improbable late-career renaissance with an even better 2018. In his most innings pitched (167) since 2011, he etched out a 3.13 ERA and 201 strikeouts. Yet he wore down as the season transpired, as his K rate dropped seven points to 24.2% after the All-Star break. Given his durability concerns and struggles when facing a batting order for the third time, the Rays will likely keep limiting him to five innings per start (or even have him follow an opener). Morton will perform on a per-inning basis, but investors should probably expect results closer to 2017's 3.62 ERA and 163 strikeouts in 146.2 innings.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
 Over the past two seasons, only Scherzer, Sale, Verlander, deGrom and Kluber have a better ERA and more strikeouts than Severino, who is quickly becoming a true durable ace. He doesn't belong in that first tier, but may already lead the next group.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros