Who Should I Draft?

Luis Severino or Charlie Morton (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Luis Severino
SP - NYY
Luis Severino
Charlie Morton
SP - TB
Charlie Morton
Expert
Recommendation
77%
Recommended by
43 of 56 experts
23%
Recommended by
13 of 56 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 26# 34
Best Rank# 7# 19
Worst Rank# 65# 80
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 68# 114
Best Rank# 55# 97
Worst Rank# 121# 117
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts178176
Wins1312
Saves00
ERA3.323.41
WHIP1.131.21
   
Misc 
   
Injury AlertIL60-
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 27# 38
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 19# 50
   
Brad Richter
Going For 2
# 16# 24
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 22# 41
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 27# 53
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 12# 51
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 31# 36
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 19# 27
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 21# 69
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 13# 40
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 24# 43
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 31# 34
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 15# 46
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 25# 80
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 20# 28
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 13# 36
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 33# 36
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 31# 46
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 18# 40
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 24# 28
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 19# 29
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 34# 36
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 10# 66
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 18# 32
   
Chris Meyers
Athlon Sports
# 8# 38
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 24# 34
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 34# 44
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 11# 58
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 12# 24
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 19# 37
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 19# 28
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 23# 38
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 40# 43
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 37# 38
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 33# 57
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 11# 37
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 28# 46
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 26# 36
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 7# 30
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 29# 41
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 20# 25
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 13# 44
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 24# 34
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 27# 19
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 28# 23
   
Michael Beller
Sports Illustrated
# 33# 32
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 34# 29
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 35# 33
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 39# 28
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 41# 40
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 43# 30
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 43# 42
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 45# 37
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 50# 40
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 56# 38
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 65# 36
   
  Luis Severino
SP - NYY
Luis Severino
Charlie Morton
SP - TB
Charlie Morton
2018 Stats 
   
   
Games Played3230
   
Games Started3230
   
Innings Pitched191.2167.2
   
Wins1915
   
Losses83
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed173130
   
Earned Runs7258
   
Home Runs Allowed1918
   
Strikeouts220201
   
Walks4664
   
ERA3.393.13
   
WHIP1.141.16
   
  Luis Severino
SP - NYY
Luis Severino
Charlie Morton
SP - TB
Charlie Morton
2019 Projections 
   
   
Games Played2727
   
Games Started2627
   
Innings Pitched155.9157.3
   
Wins1312
   
Losses67
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed136132
   
Earned Runs5860
   
Home Runs Allowed1916
   
Strikeouts178176
   
Walks4058
   
ERA3.323.41
   
WHIP1.131.21
   
  Luis Severino
SP - NYY
Luis Severino
Charlie Morton
SP - TB
Charlie Morton
News 
 Luis Severino (shoulder) again threw from a distance of 60 feet on Tuesday according to Bryan Hoch of MLB.com.
John Aubin
Tue, Jun 11th
Charlie Morton limited the Athletics to one run on four hits while striking out six batters over 6 1/3 innings Thursday, ending up with a no-decision.
John Aubin
Fri, Jun 21st
 Luis Severino (lat) was throwing off flat ground again Friday, Coley Harvey of ESPN.com reports.
John Aubin
Fri, May 31st
Charlie Morton gave up four runs on five hits while walking two and striking out nine batters through six innings and was charged with a loss to the Angels on Saturday.
John Aubin
Sat, Jun 15th
 Luis Severino (shoulder) is hoping to be cleared for throwing workouts after a checkup with a team doctor on Monday according to Lindsey Adler of the Athletic.
John Aubin
Mon, May 27th
Charlie Morton allowed two hits and two walks while firing seven scoreless innings Monday, striking out seven batters and earning the win over the Athletics.
John Aubin
Tue, Jun 11th
 Yankees GM Brian Cashman says Luis Severino (shoulder) won't pitch until after the All-Star break.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sun, May 5th
Charlie Morton picked up the win Wednesday, allowing five hits over seven scoreless innings while striking out eight as the Rays handed the Tigers a 4-0 defeat.
John Aubin
Thu, Jun 6th
 Luis Severino (lat) was transferred to the 60-day injured list by the Yankees on Thursday.
John Aubin
Thu, Apr 25th
Charlie Morton (6-0) earned the win Thursday against the Twins by allowing two runs on four hits and no walks across seven innings. He struck out six.
John Aubin
Fri, May 31st
Notes 
 A Cy Young Award contender though June, Severino imploded with a 5.20 ERA over the final three months. That inconsistency is perilous for a staff headliner, but he still finished 2018 with a 3.39 ERA, 2.95 FIP, and 220 strikeouts. Despite his start-by-start inconsistency, he has delivered on a macro level in consecutive seasons. However, he will miss at least all of April with a shoulder injury, Previously a viable top-10 candidate, he's now too risky to draft as a top-25 starter.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
After nearly a decade of mediocrity, the Astros turned Morton into a high-end starter in 2017, and he was even better in 2018. At this point, he feels relatively safe to pencil in for a mid-3.00s ERA, 10.0 K/9 rate, and WHIP in the 1.15-1.20 range. The concerns are his advancing age and durability -- he's never thrown more than 172 innings in a season. The move to Tampa Bay is also a mild concern, less so for the change of division than for the move away from a Houston team that seemingly knew how to get the best out of him.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 At first glance, Severino's 2018 numbers look just about as good as his excellent 2017 season, but the real story is that he was completely dominant in the first half and completely awful in the second half. That kind of inconsistency is a red flag, as is the rotator cuff inflammation that could cause him to miss the first month of the season or more. The sky is the limit for Severino in terms of long-term upside, but he's shaping up as a boom-or-bust pick for 2019.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
Morton followed an improbable late-career renaissance with an even better 2018. In his most innings pitched (167) since 2011, he etched out a 3.13 ERA and 201 strikeouts. Yet he wore down as the season transpired, as his K rate dropped seven points to 24.2% after the All-Star break. Given his durability concerns and struggles when facing a batting order for the third time, the Rays will likely keep limiting him to five innings per start (or even have him follow an opener). Morton will perform on a per-inning basis, but investors should probably expect results closer to 2017's 3.62 ERA and 163 strikeouts in 146.2 innings.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
 Over the past two seasons, only Scherzer, Sale, Verlander, deGrom and Kluber have a better ERA and more strikeouts than Severino, who is quickly becoming a true durable ace. He doesn't belong in that first tier, but may already lead the next group.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros