Who Should I Draft?

Luis Severino or German Marquez (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Luis Severino
SP - NYY
Luis Severino
German Marquez
SP - COL
German Marquez
Expert
Recommendation
63%
Recommended by
35 of 56 experts
38%
Recommended by
21 of 56 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 26# 32
Best Rank# 7# 11
Worst Rank# 65# 96
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 68# 82
Best Rank# 55# 73
Worst Rank# 121# 112
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts178200
Wins1313
Saves00
ERA3.323.88
WHIP1.131.26
   
Misc 
   
Injury AlertIL60-
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 27# 54
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 19# 22
   
Brad Richter
Going For 2
# 16# 57
   
Michael Beller
Sports Illustrated
# 33# 47
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 34# 35
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 27# 37
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 12# 24
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 31# 33
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 19# 38
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 21# 96
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 13# 27
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 31# 32
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 25# 77
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 20# 23
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 13# 32
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 18# 55
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 24# 46
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 19# 28
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 10# 17
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 18# 85
   
Chris Meyers
Athlon Sports
# 8# 33
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 24# 48
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 11# 22
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 12# 48
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 19# 32
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 19# 30
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 23# 30
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 33# 40
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 27# 66
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 11# 25
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 26# 38
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 7# 31
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 20# 36
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 13# 22
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 24# 31
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 15# 14
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 22# 19
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 24# 19
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 28# 19
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 28# 19
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 29# 21
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 31# 21
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 33# 25
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 34# 26
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 34# 29
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 35# 31
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 37# 34
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 39# 23
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 40# 11
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 41# 27
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 43# 23
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 43# 32
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 45# 41
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 50# 26
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 56# 42
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 65# 39
   
  Luis Severino
SP - NYY
Luis Severino
German Marquez
SP - COL
German Marquez
2018 Stats 
   
   
Games Played3233
   
Games Started3233
   
Innings Pitched191.2196.1
   
Wins1914
   
Losses811
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed173179
   
Earned Runs7282
   
Home Runs Allowed1924
   
Strikeouts220230
   
Walks4657
   
ERA3.393.77
   
WHIP1.141.20
   
  Luis Severino
SP - NYY
Luis Severino
German Marquez
SP - COL
German Marquez
2019 Projections 
   
   
Games Played2732
   
Games Started2632
   
Innings Pitched155.9185.7
   
Wins1313
   
Losses610
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed136179
   
Earned Runs5880
   
Home Runs Allowed1924
   
Strikeouts178200
   
Walks4055
   
ERA3.323.88
   
WHIP1.131.26
   
  Luis Severino
SP - NYY
Luis Severino
German Marquez
SP - COL
German Marquez
News 
 Luis Severino (shoulder) again threw from a distance of 60 feet on Tuesday according to Bryan Hoch of MLB.com.
John Aubin
Tue, Jun 11th
German Marquez earned the win despite giving up seven earned runs on Saturday versus the Padres.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sun, Jun 16th
 Luis Severino (lat) was throwing off flat ground again Friday, Coley Harvey of ESPN.com reports.
John Aubin
Fri, May 31st
German Marquez received a no-decision on Monday versus the Cubs, striking out seven while allowing four runs over six innings pitched.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Tue, Jun 11th
 Luis Severino (shoulder) is hoping to be cleared for throwing workouts after a checkup with a team doctor on Monday according to Lindsey Adler of the Athletic.
John Aubin
Mon, May 27th
German Marquez took the loss on Wednesday versus the Cubs, giving up eight runs on seven hits in 5 1/3 innings.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Wed, Jun 5th
 Yankees GM Brian Cashman says Luis Severino (shoulder) won't pitch until after the All-Star break.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sun, May 5th
German Marquez earned the win on Friday versus Toronto, throwing seven innings of two-run ball while striking out seven.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, Jun 1st
 Luis Severino (lat) was transferred to the 60-day injured list by the Yankees on Thursday.
John Aubin
Thu, Apr 25th
German Marquez received a no-decision on Sunday versus Baltimore, giving up four runs on seven hits over 6 1/3 innings pitched.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Mon, May 27th
Notes 
 A Cy Young Award contender though June, Severino imploded with a 5.20 ERA over the final three months. That inconsistency is perilous for a staff headliner, but he still finished 2018 with a 3.39 ERA, 2.95 FIP, and 220 strikeouts. Despite his start-by-start inconsistency, he has delivered on a macro level in consecutive seasons. However, he will miss at least all of April with a shoulder injury, Previously a viable top-10 candidate, he's now too risky to draft as a top-25 starter.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
Marquez had a terrific strikeout-to-walk ratio last season, but still finished with an ERA of 3.77, which feels like a best-case scenario for a pitcher who calls Coors Field home. Marquez should provide plenty of innings and strikeouts and his fair share of wins, but he's not likely to be of much help when it comes to ERA and WHIP.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 At first glance, Severino's 2018 numbers look just about as good as his excellent 2017 season, but the real story is that he was completely dominant in the first half and completely awful in the second half. That kind of inconsistency is a red flag, as is the rotator cuff inflammation that could cause him to miss the first month of the season or more. The sky is the limit for Severino in terms of long-term upside, but he's shaping up as a boom-or-bust pick for 2019.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
Marquez discovered top-tier ace form during 14 second-half starts, during which he recorded a 2.61 ERA and 2.25 FIP with the fourth-best K-BB% (28.4) behind Justin Verlander, Max Scherzer, and Jacob deGrom. So why isn't he a consensus top-20 starter? Opponents tattooed his four-seam fastball (.315/.390/.508) last season, so his curveball and slider would have to remain other-worldly elite in elevated usage rates. Oh yeah, he pitches for the Rockies. He's an attractive upside selection if Coors Field tempers his price.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
 Over the past two seasons, only Scherzer, Sale, Verlander, deGrom and Kluber have a better ERA and more strikeouts than Severino, who is quickly becoming a true durable ace. He doesn't belong in that first tier, but may already lead the next group.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros