Who Should I Draft?

Luis Severino or Roberto Osuna (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Luis Severino
SP - NYY
Luis Severino
Roberto Osuna
RP - HOU
Roberto Osuna
Expert
Recommendation
63%
Recommended by
37 of 59 experts
37%
Recommended by
22 of 59 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 26# 29
Best Rank# 7# 19
Worst Rank# 65# 53
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 68# 77
Best Rank# 55# 69
Worst Rank# 121# 92
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts17867
Wins134
Saves036
ERA3.323.11
WHIP1.131.04
   
Misc 
   
Injury AlertIL60-
   
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Yahoo! Sports
# 27# 41
   
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DailyOverlay
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The Athletic
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Razzball
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# 12# 36
   
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The Athletic
# 19# 42
   
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Beast Dome
# 21# 30
   
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The Athletic
# 13# 33
   
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CBS Sports
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Fantasy Team Advice
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The Athletic
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RotoBaller
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FantasyPros
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FanGraphs
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Understanding Fantasy Baseball
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Hail to Fantasy Football
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Fake Teams
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FantasyPros
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The Fake Baseball
# 27# 24
   
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Razzball
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Fantasy Football Empire
# 31# 28
   
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CBS Sports
# 31# 20
   
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RotoBaller
# 33# 22
   
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Fake Teams
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The Athletic
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The Fantasy Fix
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Razzball
# 40# 35
   
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Expand The Boxscore
# 41# 26
   
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RotoBaller
# 43# 31
   
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USA Today
# 43# 37
   
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Yahoo! Sports
# 45# 21
   
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The Fake Baseball
# 50# 30
   
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Fantrax
# 56# 29
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 65# 29
   
  Luis Severino
SP - NYY
Luis Severino
Roberto Osuna
RP - HOU
Roberto Osuna
2018 Stats 
   
   
Games Played3238
   
Games Started320
   
Innings Pitched191.238.2
   
Wins192
   
Losses82
   
Saves021
   
Blown Saves01
   
Holds02
   
Hits Allowed17333
   
Earned Runs7210
   
Home Runs Allowed191
   
Strikeouts22032
   
Walks464
   
ERA3.392.37
   
WHIP1.140.97
   
  Luis Severino
SP - NYY
Luis Severino
Roberto Osuna
RP - HOU
Roberto Osuna
2019 Projections 
   
   
Games Played2762
   
Games Started260
   
Innings Pitched155.962.4
   
Wins134
   
Losses63
   
Saves036
   
Blown Saves07
   
Holds02
   
Hits Allowed13653
   
Earned Runs5822
   
Home Runs Allowed197
   
Strikeouts17867
   
Walks4012
   
ERA3.323.11
   
WHIP1.131.04
   
  Luis Severino
SP - NYY
Luis Severino
Roberto Osuna
RP - HOU
Roberto Osuna
News 
 Luis Severino pitched four scoreless innings, struck out two and allowed only two hits as the Yankees defeated the Angels 8-0.
Brandon Plutner
Tue, Sep 17th
Roberto Osuna allowed a hit and struck out one in a scoreless ninth inning in Friday's 4-1 win over the Royals. He earned his 33rd save of the season.
Brad Camara
Sat, Sep 14th
 Luis Severino (shoulder) is scheduled to make his 2019 debut on Tuesday against the Angels.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Thu, Sep 12th
Roberto Osuna struck out one through a perfect inning to earn the save in Friday's 7-4 win over the Mariners.
Brad Camara
Sat, Sep 7th
 Luis Severino (lat) will throw 45-50 pitches over about three innings in his rehab appearance with Double-A Trenton on Friday, Greg Johnson of The Trentonian reports.
John Aubin
Fri, Sep 6th
Roberto Osuna surrendered a game-tying home run in the ninth inning to blow the save in Monday's 4-3 extra-inning win over the Brewers. He did pick up his fourth win of the season.
Brad Camara
Tue, Sep 3rd
 Luis Severino (lat) gave up two runs on three hits while striking out two over one inning in his rehab start Sunday for Triple-A Scranton/Wilkes-Barre.
John Aubin
Mon, Sep 2nd
Roberto Osuna allowed two runs on one hit and a walk through one inning in Wednesday's 8-6 win over the Rays. He did not factor into the decision.
Brad Camara
Thu, Aug 29th
 Luis Severino is expected to start for the Scranton Railriders on Sunday in his first rehab appearance of 2019 per Aaron Boone.
Brandon Plutner
Wed, Aug 28th
Roberto Osuna struck out one across a perfect ninth inning in Friday's 5-4 win over the Angels. He earned his 31st save of the season.
Brad Camara
Sat, Aug 24th
Notes 
 A Cy Young Award contender though June, Severino imploded with a 5.20 ERA over the final three months. That inconsistency is perilous for a staff headliner, but he still finished 2018 with a 3.39 ERA, 2.95 FIP, and 220 strikeouts. Despite his start-by-start inconsistency, he has delivered on a macro level in consecutive seasons. However, he will miss at least all of April with a shoulder injury, Previously a viable top-10 candidate, he's now too risky to draft as a top-25 starter.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
Astros manager A.J. Hinch has affirmed that Osuna will again serve as the team's closer, a role he inherited last year upon returning from a 75-game suspension and getting traded from the Blue Jays. Osuna was a dominant closer from 2015-2017, but his K/9 rate alarmingly fell to 7.58 between Toronto and Houston last year. The good news is that he maintained an above-average 14.7 percent swinging-strike rate, indicating that he should return to striking out over a batter per inning while maintaining elite control. Save opportunities should also be plentiful on the World Series-contending Astros, so it makes sense for Osuna to get drafted as one of the first 10, if not five, closers off the board.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 At first glance, Severino's 2018 numbers look just about as good as his excellent 2017 season, but the real story is that he was completely dominant in the first half and completely awful in the second half. That kind of inconsistency is a red flag, as is the rotator cuff inflammation that could cause him to miss the first month of the season or more. The sky is the limit for Severino in terms of long-term upside, but he's shaping up as a boom-or-bust pick for 2019.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
After serving a suspension for a domestic violence charge, Osuna got traded to the Astros and was closing within a month. Those still comfortable drafting the 24-year-old should expect his 21.3% strikeout rate to rise back to his career 28.4% clip. A smaller sample size isn't as trustworthy, but he also maintained a 14.7% swinging-strike rate during that time. While there's fear that Ryan Pressly and a deep Astros bullpen will give him competition, Ken Giles had to pitch his way out of the ninth inning. Osuna, who owns a career 2.78 ERA and 0.97 WHIP, shouldn't lose the job for any on-field reasons.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
 Over the past two seasons, only Scherzer, Sale, Verlander, deGrom and Kluber have a better ERA and more strikeouts than Severino, who is quickly becoming a true durable ace. He doesn't belong in that first tier, but may already lead the next group.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
Osuna didn't accomplish much last year because of his legal issues and the time missed as a result, but he as still extremely efficient, driving a 2.37 ERA with a 0.97 WHIP. Assuming he stays on the field, you can bank on 30 saves and plenty of strikeouts on top of the strong ratios.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros