Who Should I Draft?

Luis Severino or Roberto Osuna (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Luis Severino
SP - NYY
Luis Severino
Roberto Osuna
RP - HOU
Roberto Osuna
Expert
Recommendation
63%
Recommended by
35 of 56 experts
38%
Recommended by
21 of 56 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 26# 29
Best Rank# 7# 19
Worst Rank# 65# 53
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 68# 77
Best Rank# 55# 69
Worst Rank# 121# 92
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts17867
Wins134
Saves036
ERA3.323.11
WHIP1.131.04
   
Misc 
   
Injury AlertIL60-
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 27# 41
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 19# 25
   
Brad Richter
Going For 2
# 16# 45
   
Michael Beller
Sports Illustrated
# 33# 43
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 22# 37
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 12# 36
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 19# 42
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 21# 30
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 13# 33
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 24# 30
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 15# 36
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 25# 42
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 20# 34
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 13# 28
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 33# 34
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 18# 32
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 24# 27
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 19# 36
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 28# 29
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 10# 29
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 18# 53
   
Chris Meyers
Athlon Sports
# 8# 29
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 24# 25
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 11# 32
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 12# 34
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 19# 29
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 19# 32
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 23# 25
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 11# 24
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 28# 35
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 7# 29
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 29# 32
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 20# 37
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 13# 31
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 24# 32
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 26# 25
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 27# 25
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 27# 24
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 31# 26
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 31# 28
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 31# 20
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 33# 22
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 34# 32
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 34# 32
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 34# 19
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 35# 25
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 37# 23
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 39# 37
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 40# 35
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 41# 26
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 43# 31
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 43# 37
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 45# 21
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 50# 30
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 56# 29
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 65# 29
   
  Luis Severino
SP - NYY
Luis Severino
Roberto Osuna
RP - HOU
Roberto Osuna
2018 Stats 
   
   
Games Played3238
   
Games Started320
   
Innings Pitched191.238.2
   
Wins192
   
Losses82
   
Saves021
   
Blown Saves01
   
Holds02
   
Hits Allowed17333
   
Earned Runs7210
   
Home Runs Allowed191
   
Strikeouts22032
   
Walks464
   
ERA3.392.37
   
WHIP1.140.97
   
  Luis Severino
SP - NYY
Luis Severino
Roberto Osuna
RP - HOU
Roberto Osuna
2019 Projections 
   
   
Games Played2762
   
Games Started260
   
Innings Pitched155.962.4
   
Wins134
   
Losses63
   
Saves036
   
Blown Saves07
   
Holds02
   
Hits Allowed13653
   
Earned Runs5822
   
Home Runs Allowed197
   
Strikeouts17867
   
Walks4012
   
ERA3.323.11
   
WHIP1.131.04
   
  Luis Severino
SP - NYY
Luis Severino
Roberto Osuna
RP - HOU
Roberto Osuna
News 
 Luis Severino (shoulder) again threw from a distance of 60 feet on Tuesday according to Bryan Hoch of MLB.com.
John Aubin
Tue, Jun 11th
Roberto Osuna recorded one out on Sunday against Baltimore to pick up a save.
Kamran Hoda
Mon, Jun 10th
 Luis Severino (lat) was throwing off flat ground again Friday, Coley Harvey of ESPN.com reports.
John Aubin
Fri, May 31st
Roberto Osuna allowed one run on one hit and one walk through 1 2/3 innings on Thursday against the Mariners. He blew a save in the outing.
Kamran Hoda
Thu, Jun 6th
 Luis Severino (shoulder) is hoping to be cleared for throwing workouts after a checkup with a team doctor on Monday according to Lindsey Adler of the Athletic.
John Aubin
Mon, May 27th
Roberto Osuna threw a perfect inning on Friday against Oakland. He earned a save int he win.
Kamran Hoda
Sat, Jun 1st
 Yankees GM Brian Cashman says Luis Severino (shoulder) won't pitch until after the All-Star break.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sun, May 5th
Roberto Osuna threw a perfect inning on Tuesday against the Cubs to earn a save. He struck out one in the outing.
Kamran Hoda
Wed, May 29th
 Luis Severino (lat) was transferred to the 60-day injured list by the Yankees on Thursday.
John Aubin
Thu, Apr 25th
Roberto Osuna allowed two runs on three hits and two strikeouts through one inning on Monday against the Cubs.
Kamran Hoda
Tue, May 28th
Notes 
 A Cy Young Award contender though June, Severino imploded with a 5.20 ERA over the final three months. That inconsistency is perilous for a staff headliner, but he still finished 2018 with a 3.39 ERA, 2.95 FIP, and 220 strikeouts. Despite his start-by-start inconsistency, he has delivered on a macro level in consecutive seasons. However, he will miss at least all of April with a shoulder injury, Previously a viable top-10 candidate, he's now too risky to draft as a top-25 starter.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
Astros manager A.J. Hinch has affirmed that Osuna will again serve as the team's closer, a role he inherited last year upon returning from a 75-game suspension and getting traded from the Blue Jays. Osuna was a dominant closer from 2015-2017, but his K/9 rate alarmingly fell to 7.58 between Toronto and Houston last year. The good news is that he maintained an above-average 14.7 percent swinging-strike rate, indicating that he should return to striking out over a batter per inning while maintaining elite control. Save opportunities should also be plentiful on the World Series-contending Astros, so it makes sense for Osuna to get drafted as one of the first 10, if not five, closers off the board.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 At first glance, Severino's 2018 numbers look just about as good as his excellent 2017 season, but the real story is that he was completely dominant in the first half and completely awful in the second half. That kind of inconsistency is a red flag, as is the rotator cuff inflammation that could cause him to miss the first month of the season or more. The sky is the limit for Severino in terms of long-term upside, but he's shaping up as a boom-or-bust pick for 2019.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
After serving a suspension for a domestic violence charge, Osuna got traded to the Astros and was closing within a month. Those still comfortable drafting the 24-year-old should expect his 21.3% strikeout rate to rise back to his career 28.4% clip. A smaller sample size isn't as trustworthy, but he also maintained a 14.7% swinging-strike rate during that time. While there's fear that Ryan Pressly and a deep Astros bullpen will give him competition, Ken Giles had to pitch his way out of the ninth inning. Osuna, who owns a career 2.78 ERA and 0.97 WHIP, shouldn't lose the job for any on-field reasons.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
 Over the past two seasons, only Scherzer, Sale, Verlander, deGrom and Kluber have a better ERA and more strikeouts than Severino, who is quickly becoming a true durable ace. He doesn't belong in that first tier, but may already lead the next group.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
Osuna didn't accomplish much last year because of his legal issues and the time missed as a result, but he as still extremely efficient, driving a 2.37 ERA with a 0.97 WHIP. Assuming he stays on the field, you can bank on 30 saves and plenty of strikeouts on top of the strong ratios.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros