Who Should I Draft?

Madison Bumgarner or Chris Archer (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Madison Bumgarner
SP - SF
Madison Bumgarner
Chris Archer
SP - PIT
Chris Archer
Expert
Recommendation
61%
Recommended by
34 of 56 experts
39%
Recommended by
22 of 56 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 38# 43
Best Rank# 18# 13
Worst Rank# 67# 78
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 96# 124
Best Rank# 67# 96
Worst Rank# 108# 128
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts164198
Wins1011
Saves00
ERA3.703.77
WHIP1.221.26
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 34# 63
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 39# 50
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 32# 60
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 33# 35
   
Brad Richter
Going For 2
# 35# 54
   
Michael Beller
Sports Illustrated
# 36# 60
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 25# 35
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 48# 52
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 42# 43
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 46# 50
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 35# 47
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 18# 62
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 37# 41
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 28# 53
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 37# 58
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 34# 43
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 22# 75
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 21# 78
   
Chris Meyers
Athlon Sports
# 34# 42
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 33# 39
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 36# 64
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 47# 59
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 39# 43
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 37# 43
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 26# 44
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 41# 48
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 52# 56
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 29# 36
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 36# 43
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 43# 57
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 48# 54
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 45# 47
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 34# 61
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 43# 47
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 21# 13
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 31# 20
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 32# 25
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 39# 32
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 40# 34
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 42# 40
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 43# 23
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 43# 37
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 43# 40
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 44# 43
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 47# 45
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 47# 27
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 48# 43
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 49# 29
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 52# 24
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 54# 49
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 54# 45
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 56# 27
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 56# 22
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 58# 41
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 63# 41
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 67# 52
   
  Madison Bumgarner
SP - SF
Madison Bumgarner
Chris Archer
SP - PIT
Chris Archer
2018 Stats 
   
   
Games Played2127
   
Games Started2127
   
Innings Pitched130.1148.1
   
Wins66
   
Losses78
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed118155
   
Earned Runs4771
   
Home Runs Allowed1419
   
Strikeouts109162
   
Walks4349
   
ERA3.264.31
   
WHIP1.241.38
   
  Madison Bumgarner
SP - SF
Madison Bumgarner
Chris Archer
SP - PIT
Chris Archer
2019 Projections 
   
   
Games Played2931
   
Games Started2931
   
Innings Pitched181.9179.7
   
Wins1011
   
Losses1110
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed170169
   
Earned Runs7575
   
Home Runs Allowed2422
   
Strikeouts164198
   
Walks5158
   
ERA3.703.77
   
WHIP1.221.26
   
  Madison Bumgarner
SP - SF
Madison Bumgarner
Chris Archer
SP - PIT
Chris Archer
News 
 Madison Bumgarner got hit hard by the Dodgers on Thursday, giving up six runs on 10 hits in just 3 2/3 innings en route to his seventh loss.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Fri, Jun 21st
Chris Archer allowed one run on two hits and three walks over five innings on Saturday against the Padres. He struck out five and did not factor into the decision.
Dan Harris
Mon, Jun 24th
 Madison Bumgarner received a no-decision on Saturday versus Milwaukee, surrendering five runs (three earned) on five hits in six innings of work.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sun, Jun 16th
Chris Archer allowed four runs on seven hits over five innings in the Pirates' 5-4 win over the Marlins on Sunday. He walked three and struck out eight in the no-decision.
Elliott Baas
Sun, Jun 16th
 Madison Bumgarner fell to 3-6 on Sunday versus the Dodgers, spinning seven innings of one-run ball while striking out five.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sun, Jun 9th
Chris Archer allowed seven runs on six hits over six innings in the Pirates' 7-5 loss to the Braves on Tuesday. He walked two and struck out eight while falling to 3-6.
Elliott Baas
Wed, Jun 12th
 Madison Bumgarner received a no-decision on Tuesday versus the Mets, throwing six innings of three-run ball while striking out five.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Tue, Jun 4th
Chris Archer allowed one run on six hits over six innings in the Pirates' 6-1 win over the Braves on Thursday. He walked two and struck out six while improving to 3-5.
Elliott Baas
Thu, Jun 6th
 Madison Bumgarner fell to 3-5 on Wednesday in Miami, giving up two runs on six hits over six innings.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Thu, May 30th
Chris Archer allowed four runs on five hits over seven innings in the Pirates' 9-4 win over the Brewers on Friday. He walked two and struck out seven while improving to 2-5.
Elliott Baas
Sat, Jun 1st
Notes 
 Bumgarner was one of the best fantasy starters out there until a couple of years ago, but he hasn't been quite the same since his 2017 dirt bike accident. He has remained a help in ERA thanks to his ability to limit base hits, but his strikeout rate has plummeted and last year his walk rate rose as well. Bumgarner's peripherals suggest he is playing with fire, even in a very pitcher-friendly environment in San Francisco. Still just 29 years old, a big bounce back season cannot be completely discounted, but there is no question that Bumgarner is a risk-reward choice on draft day.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
Archer has proven to be a pitcher who consistently posts a higher ERA than his advanced metrics suggest he deserves. At this point, we should no longer be expecting that to suddenly change. Until we see otherwise, expect Archer to post an ERA around 4.00, a WHIP in the 1.20s, and a fairly strong strikeout rate.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 A dirt-bike accident in 2017 and broken hand suffered last spring limited Bumgarner to 240.2 combined innings in the past two seasons. He had previously exceeded 200 in each of the last six seasons. While he could regain his workhorse label in 2019, the 29-year-old must combat declines in velocity, swinging strikes (9.2%), and strikeouts (19.8%). Don't pay for past success, but take him as a stable, high-floor SP3 if everyone else is fading the owner of a career 3.03 ERA.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
Fool me once, shame on you. Fool me twice, well, look at all those strikeouts. Fool me three times … but his FIP is still lower. Even though he missed over a month with an abdominal strain last year, Archer has amassed the sixth-most strikeouts (644) over the last three seasons. He has collected a 3.64 FIP and 3.54 SIERA during that span. His ERA also ballooned above 4.00 each year. How many times can we keep putting our hand on the hot stove? Archer's fastball has ceded a slugging percentage above .500 in each campaign, so he wields no other effective pitch beyond his slider. He's an elite source of strikeouts, but don't expect a positive ERA contribution.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros