Who Should I Draft?

Madison Bumgarner or Robbie Ray (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Madison Bumgarner
SP - SF
Madison Bumgarner
Robbie Ray
SP - ARI
Robbie Ray
Expert
Recommendation
54%
Recommended by
30 of 56 experts
46%
Recommended by
26 of 56 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 38# 40
Best Rank# 18# 26
Worst Rank# 67# 118
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 96# 116
Best Rank# 67# 110
Worst Rank# 108# 133
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts164205
Wins1010
Saves00
ERA3.703.75
WHIP1.221.30
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 34# 36
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 32# 34
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 33# 39
   
Michael Beller
Sports Illustrated
# 36# 59
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 25# 31
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 48# 73
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 42# 50
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 35# 37
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 18# 39
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 32# 51
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 21# 118
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 37# 40
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 28# 48
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 37# 46
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 43# 49
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 22# 81
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 21# 40
   
Chris Meyers
Athlon Sports
# 34# 41
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 33# 44
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 36# 38
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 47# 50
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 43# 49
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 37# 42
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 26# 34
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 31# 45
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 52# 65
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 36# 47
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 43# 68
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 45# 50
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 34# 41
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 29# 26
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 34# 31
   
Brad Richter
Going For 2
# 35# 29
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 39# 36
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 39# 29
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 39# 31
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 40# 33
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 41# 35
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 42# 32
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 43# 40
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 43# 37
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 44# 40
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 46# 40
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 47# 38
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 47# 35
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 48# 36
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 48# 44
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 49# 42
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 52# 41
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 54# 46
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 54# 41
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 56# 34
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 56# 33
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 58# 38
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 63# 43
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 67# 39
   
  Madison Bumgarner
SP - SF
Madison Bumgarner
Robbie Ray
SP - ARI
Robbie Ray
2018 Stats 
   
   
Games Played2124
   
Games Started2124
   
Innings Pitched130.1124.1
   
Wins66
   
Losses72
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed11897
   
Earned Runs4754
   
Home Runs Allowed1419
   
Strikeouts109165
   
Walks4370
   
ERA3.263.93
   
WHIP1.241.35
   
  Madison Bumgarner
SP - SF
Madison Bumgarner
Robbie Ray
SP - ARI
Robbie Ray
2019 Projections 
   
   
Games Played2929
   
Games Started2929
   
Innings Pitched181.9160.1
   
Wins1010
   
Losses118
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed170133
   
Earned Runs7567
   
Home Runs Allowed2421
   
Strikeouts164205
   
Walks5175
   
ERA3.703.75
   
WHIP1.221.30
   
  Madison Bumgarner
SP - SF
Madison Bumgarner
Robbie Ray
SP - ARI
Robbie Ray
News 
 Madison Bumgarner got hit hard by the Dodgers on Thursday, giving up six runs on 10 hits in just 3 2/3 innings en route to his seventh loss.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Fri, Jun 21st
Robbie Ray received a no-decision on Thursday versus Colorado, allowing three runs on four hits in six innings of work.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Fri, Jun 21st
 Madison Bumgarner received a no-decision on Saturday versus Milwaukee, surrendering five runs (three earned) on five hits in six innings of work.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sun, Jun 16th
Robbie Ray fell to 5-4 on Friday versus the Nationals, giving up five runs on five hits in six innings of work.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, Jun 15th
 Madison Bumgarner fell to 3-6 on Sunday versus the Dodgers, spinning seven innings of one-run ball while striking out five.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sun, Jun 9th
Robbie Ray improved to 5-3 on Sunday in Toronto, throwing 6 2/3 innings of two-run ball while striking out 10.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sun, Jun 9th
 Madison Bumgarner received a no-decision on Tuesday versus the Mets, throwing six innings of three-run ball while striking out five.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Tue, Jun 4th
Robbie Ray fell to 4-3 on Monday versus the Dodgers, allowing three runs on six hits in seven innings of work.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Tue, Jun 4th
 Madison Bumgarner fell to 3-5 on Wednesday in Miami, giving up two runs on six hits over six innings.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Thu, May 30th
Robbie Ray fell to 4-2 on Wednesday in Colorado, giving up five runs (four earned) on eight hits in just 4 2/3 innings pitched.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Thu, May 30th
Notes 
 Bumgarner was one of the best fantasy starters out there until a couple of years ago, but he hasn't been quite the same since his 2017 dirt bike accident. He has remained a help in ERA thanks to his ability to limit base hits, but his strikeout rate has plummeted and last year his walk rate rose as well. Bumgarner's peripherals suggest he is playing with fire, even in a very pitcher-friendly environment in San Francisco. Still just 29 years old, a big bounce back season cannot be completely discounted, but there is no question that Bumgarner is a risk-reward choice on draft day.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
Ray took a big step backward last year in the ratios but still racked up 165 Ks in just over 120 innings pitcher. There is still upside for an ace pitcher here and the floor may be about what we got last year which didn't kill anyone's championship hopes. He makes for a quality mid-round pick.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
 A dirt-bike accident in 2017 and broken hand suffered last spring limited Bumgarner to 240.2 combined innings in the past two seasons. He had previously exceeded 200 in each of the last six seasons. While he could regain his workhorse label in 2019, the 29-year-old must combat declines in velocity, swinging strikes (9.2%), and strikeouts (19.8%). Don't pay for past success, but take him as a stable, high-floor SP3 if everyone else is fading the owner of a career 3.03 ERA.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
Ray was an obvious regression candidate coming off his phenomenal 2017 season, and regress he did. While his strikeout rate remained elite, his walk rate ballooned to over 5.00 per nine innings, inflating his WHIP back up to 1.35. Ray is really hard to hit, so he's capable of keeping his ERA under 4.00, but the WHIP isn't likely to be pretty, which makes him hard to rely on as a weekly starter in standard mixed leagues.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
  Everything went right for Ray in 2017, when he registered a 2.89 ERA despite a 3.94 BB/9 and 3.72 FIP. An oblique strain limited him to just 123.2 innings in 24 starts last season, and 70 walks led to a 3.93 ERA and 1.35 WHIP. He remained just as tough to hit with a .215 batting average against and 12.01 K/9, so he could bounce back to the 218 strikeouts procured in 2016 and 2017 even if again held below 175 frames. Yet the ballooning walk rate makes him a WHIP liability, and run support could be scarce from a ransacked Diamondbacks lineup.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros