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Who Should I Draft?

Manny Machado or Aaron Judge (2020)

Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Aaron Judge
RF - NYY
Aaron Judge
Manny Machado
3B,SS - SD
Manny Machado
Expert
Recommendation
54%
Recommended by
28 of 52 experts
46%
Recommended by
24 of 52 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 33# 34
Best Rank# 2# 13
Worst Rank# 118# 82
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 41# 57
Best Rank# 40# 38
Worst Rank# 60# 60
   
Projections 
   
Runs3431
Home Runs1312
RBI3036
Stolen Bases23
Batting Average.272.275
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 34# 43
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 45# 54
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 58# 61
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 28# 41
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 50# 54
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 19# 31
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 30# 35
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 2# 13
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 18# 40
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 27# 37
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 17# 82
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 18# 42
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 40# 42
   
Mark Ross
Athlon Sports
# 19# 40
   
Matt Brandon
Matt Brandon
# 31# 65
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 24# 44
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 18# 35
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 19# 42
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 23# 39
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 23# 27
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 19# 42
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 29# 32
   
M. Starks Powell
New Life Fantasy
# 22# 26
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 22# 32
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 29# 32
   
Brendan Tuma
BettingPros
# 27# 46
   
George Kurtz
SportsGrid
# 17# 35
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 35# 42
   
Chris Mitchell
FantasyData
# 26# 18
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 28# 19
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 60# 25
   
Sean Zerillo
The Action Network
# 56# 26
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 50# 27
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 45# 28
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 43# 28
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 39# 30
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 43# 32
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 33# 32
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 42# 32
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 53# 32
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 62# 35
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 53# 36
   
Chet Gresham
The Fake Baseball
# 44# 36
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 42# 38
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 76# 39
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 42# 39
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 42# 39
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 43# 40
   
Site Rankings
Sports Illustrated
# 89# 40
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 118# 41
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 47# 45
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 67# 51
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Aaron Judge
RF - NYY
Aaron Judge
Manny Machado
3B,SS - SD
Manny Machado
2019 Stats 
   
   
At Bats378587
   
Runs7581
   
Hits103150
   
Singles5795
   
Doubles1821
   
Triples12
   
Home Runs2732
   
RBI5585
   
Stolen Bases35
   
Caught Stealing23
   
Walks6465
   
Strikeouts141128
   
Batting Average.273.256
   
On Base Pct.381.334
   
Slugging Pct.540.462
   
On-base Plus Slugging.921.796
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Aaron Judge
RF - NYY
Aaron Judge
Manny Machado
3B,SS - SD
Manny Machado
2020 Projections 
   
   
At Bats175214
   
Runs3431
   
Hits4759
   
Singles2635
   
Doubles810
   
Triples01
   
Home Runs1312
   
RBI3036
   
Stolen Bases23
   
Caught Stealing11
   
Walks3223
   
Strikeouts6643
   
Batting Average.272.275
   
On Base Pct.384.345
   
Slugging Pct.531.500
   
On-base Plus Slugging.915.845
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Aaron Judge
RF - NYY
Aaron Judge
Manny Machado
3B,SS - SD
Manny Machado
News 
 Aaron Judge went 1-for-3 with a home run and one walk during Friday's 2-1 win in Game 5 of the ALDS. The Yankees lost the series to the Rays 3-2.
Brad Camara
Sat, Oct 10th
Manny Machado went 1-for-4 with a solo home run and a walk in the Padres 6-5 loss to the Dodgers in Game 2 of the NLDS on Wednesday.
Jon Mathisen
Thu, Oct 8th
 Aaron Judge went 1-for-5 with a solo home run in Monday's 9-3 Game 1 win over the Rays.
Brad Camara
Tue, Oct 6th
Manny Machado went 1-for-5 with a solo home run in the Padres 11-9 victory over the Cardinals in Game 2 of their Wild Card series on Thursday.
Jon Mathisen
Fri, Oct 2nd
 Aaron Judge hit a two-run homer in the Yankees' Game 1 victory over the Indians on Tuesday night.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Wed, Sep 30th
Manny Machado hit two more homers in Friday's win over the Mariners.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, Sep 19th
 Aaron Judge went 2-for-4 with an RBI single and a run scored in Friday‚Äôs extra-inning loss to the Marlins by a 4-3 score.
John Aubin
Sat, Sep 26th
Manny Machado went 2-for-4 with a solo homer in the Padres' 7-5 loss to the Dodgers on Wednesday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Thu, Sep 17th
 Aaron Judge went 3-for-5 with three runs scored and one RBI during Tuesday's 12-1 win over the Blue Jays.
John Aubin
Wed, Sep 23rd
Manny Machado belted his 13th homer of the summer in the Padres' 6-1 win over the Giants on Thursday evening.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Fri, Sep 11th
Notes 
 Staying healthy is a skill, and it's one that Aaron Judge hasn't possessed over the past couple of seasons. Could his size contribute to that? He's missed significant portions of the past two seasons, and he was dealing with an injury that caused his stock to drop during draft season. There's no denying the power and overall contributions that he brings, but he, like teammate Giancarlo Stanton, gives owners pause about taking them thanks to durability concerns. The tried and true rule is to not take injured players in the draft as there is enough risk baked into players already. Pass on Judge unless he has a clean bill of health.
Michael Waterloo - FantasyPros
30 home runs (in a 162 season adjusted for the 60 game sprint) is a LOCK for a guy that gets no respect AND qualifies at SS. I don't know what he has to do to get his respects but he has mine. I just wish he stole 20 bases so I could put him in the Top 10.
Chris Mitchell - FantasyData
 Judge has a stress fracture in his rib, which showed "slight improvement" based on a CT scan in mid-April. But he is also dealing with a collapsed lung, and there is still no timetable for when he may be ready for baseball activity. Even with the postponement of the season, there's no guarantee that Judge will be ready to play at any point this season. Draft him with a heavy dose of pessimism and you should be fine.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
You can't bank on the steals from Manny Machado anymore, and it's too hard to consider him an elite fantasy player after his well-known struggles out of Camden Yards. But you aren't paying for elite production here - you're paying for a bounce-back candidate who can give you first- to second-round production. The pressure is on the Padres' front office to win, so Machado is going to be surrounded by an even better offense in his second year in San Diego. Machado's 2019 was split into three good months and three really bad months. Bet on the talent in these situations ... at least for one more year.
Michael Waterloo - FantasyPros
 Has played over 112 games once in four year. Very good player, but not taking on that injury risk in the second or third round.
Michael Petropoulos - BRoto Fantasy
One of my favorite picks at ADP this season (also one of my highest owned players). Has played the most games of all players over the last five years so there is zero injury concern. He is a lock for 30+ HRs, his average should revert back to near his career avg (.279), and should be able to let loose a bit more after pressing a bit his first season in SD. Sign me up.
Michael Petropoulos - BRoto Fantasy
 Ranked in the top 1% in baseball in barrel%, hard hit rate, and exit velocity in 2019
Brendan Tuma - BettingPros
Willing to invest on a premium talent at a much lower cost than a season ago. Worth noting he hasn't been the same hitter outside of Camden Yards, however
Brendan Tuma - BettingPros