Who Should I Draft?
Manny Machado or Lucas Giolito (2021)
Experts' Pick | ||
| Manny Machado 3B,SS - SD  | Lucas Giolito SP - CWS  | |
Expert |
75% Recommended by 41 of 55 experts |
25% Recommended by 14 of 55 experts |
| Rankings | ||
| ECR | # 17 | # 20 |
| Best Rank | # 12 | # 11 |
| Worst Rank | # 37 | # 79 |
| ADP | ||
| Composite | # 20 | # 19 |
| Best Rank | # 16 | # 17 |
| Worst Rank | # 21 | # 24 |
| Projections | ||
| Runs | 92 | ‐ |
| Home Runs | 35 | 26 |
| RBI | 105 | ‐ |
| Stolen Bases | 10 | ‐ |
| Batting Avg | .278 | ‐ |
| Strikeouts | 113 | 220 |
| Wins | ‐ | 13 |
| Saves | ‐ | 0 |
| ERA | ‐ | 3.71 |
| WHIP | ‐ | 1.13 |
| Misc | ||
| Injury Alert | - | - |
| Expert Ranks | ||
| Andy Behrens Yahoo! Sports | # 18 | # 21 |
| Scott Pianowski Yahoo! Sports | # 16 | # 35 |
| Site Projections RotoChamp | # 23 | # 79 |
| Grey Albright Razzball | # 15 | # 29 |
| Greg Smith The Fake Baseball | # 17 | # 34 |
| Josh Shepardson FantasyPros | # 17 | # 19 |
| Jeff Boggis Fantasy Football Empire | # 17 | # 25 |
| KJ Fantasy Team Advice | # 15 | # 78 |
| Luke Gloeckner Mr. Cheatsheet | # 17 | # 36 |
| Dave McKay The Fantasy Sports Brain | # 13 | # 22 |
| Andrew Gould FantasyPros | # 17 | # 21 |
| Tim McCullough Baseball Prospectus | # 17 | # 31 |
| Rudy Gamble Razzball | # 20 | # 47 |
| Wayne Bretsky BretskyBall | # 15 | # 28 |
| Jake Ciely The Athletic | # 17 | # 24 |
| Joe Bond Fantasy Six Pack | # 18 | # 22 |
| Chris Meaney FTN | # 18 | # 20 |
| Andy Singleton Expand The Boxscore | # 17 | # 19 |
| Heath Capps Fake Teams | # 18 | # 26 |
| Adam Ronis Fantasy Alarm | # 17 | # 19 |
| Mario Mergola Sporfolio | # 17 | # 45 |
| Nick Pollack Pitcher List | # 17 | # 19 |
| Mike Maher FantasyPros | # 17 | # 18 |
| Tyler Thompson Fantasy Six Pack | # 21 | # 27 |
| Donkey Teeth Razzball | # 16 | # 20 |
| Pierre Camus RotoBaller | # 20 | # 23 |
| Andrew Seifter FantasyPros | # 16 | # 35 |
| Max Freeze Freeze Stats | # 17 | # 21 |
| Dennis Sosic Fantasy Six Pack | # 20 | # 22 |
| Mick Ciallela Fantrax | # 20 | # 21 |
| Ariel Cohen FanGraphs | # 19 | # 34 |
| Todd D Clark The Fantasy Fix | # 15 | # 19 |
| Jacob W. Dunne New Life Fantasy | # 18 | # 19 |
| Lucas Spence Pitcher List | # 16 | # 20 |
| Nate Miller FantasyPros | # 12 | # 42 |
| Brad Camara FantasyPros | # 16 | # 22 |
| Staff Rankings Roto Ranks | # 18 | # 20 |
| SportsLine - Computer Simulation CBS Sports | # 17 | # 25 |
| Chris Clegg Fantrax | # 16 | # 24 |
| Joe Pisapia FantasyPros | # 17 | # 24 |
| Nicklaus Gaut RotoBaller | # 16 | # 20 |
| Nick Mariano RotoBaller | # 19 | # 16 |
| Dalton Del Don Yahoo! Sports | # 20 | # 11 |
| Scott White CBS Sports | # 21 | # 17 |
| Steve Gardner USA Today | # 21 | # 17 |
| Frank Stampfl CBS Sports | # 22 | # 18 |
| Jordan Eisen Field of Vision Sports | # 22 | # 12 |
| Corbin Young FantasyData | # 24 | # 15 |
| Michael Waterloo FantasyPros | # 25 | # 20 |
| Dan Harris FantasyPros | # 25 | # 19 |
| Muntradamus Beast Dome | # 25 | # 19 |
| Michael Petropoulos BRoto Fantasy | # 26 | # 19 |
| Carmen Maiorano FantasyPros | # 28 | # 14 |
| Brendan Tuma FantasyPros | # 35 | # 15 |
| Ryan Amore Pitcher List | # 37 | # 18 |
| Manny Machado 3B,SS - SD | Lucas Giolito SP - CWS | |
| 2020 Stats | ||
| Runs | 44 | ‐ |
| Home Runs | 16 | 8 |
| RBI | 47 | ‐ |
| Stolen Bases | 6 | ‐ |
| Batting Avg | .304 | ‐ |
| Strikeouts | 37 | 97 |
| Wins | ‐ | 4 |
| Saves | ‐ | 0 |
| ERA | ‐ | 3.48 |
| WHIP | ‐ | 1.04 |
| Manny Machado 3B,SS - SD | Lucas Giolito SP - CWS | |
| 2021 Projections | ||
| Runs | 92 | ‐ |
| Home Runs | 35 | 26 |
| RBI | 105 | ‐ |
| Stolen Bases | 10 | ‐ |
| Batting Avg | .278 | ‐ |
| Strikeouts | 113 | 220 |
| Wins | ‐ | 13 |
| Saves | ‐ | 0 |
| ERA | ‐ | 3.71 |
| WHIP | ‐ | 1.13 |
| Manny Machado 3B,SS - SD | Lucas Giolito SP - CWS | |
| News | ||
| Manny Machado went 1-4 with a single, a run scored, and two RBI on Saturday. Matt Flipi Sun, May 16th | Lucas Giolito (2-4) allowed five runs on five hits and three walks while striking out seven across six innings during Game 1 of Friday’s 6-2 loss to the Royals. He was tagged with his fourth loss of the season. Brad Camara Fri, May 14th | |
| Manny Machado went 2-4 with a home run, a triple, a walk, two runs scored, and five RBI in the Padres' win over the Rockies on Tuesday. Matt Flipi Wed, May 12th | Lucas Giolito (2-3) allowed one run on four hits and two walks while striking out two over five innings earning the win during Sunday’s 9-3 victory over the Royals. Brad Camara Mon, May 10th | |
| Manny Machado went 1-5 with a single, a run scored, and 2 strikeouts in the Padres' win over the Giants on Monday. Matt Flipi Mon, May 10th | Lucas Giolito (1-3) allowed two runs (one earned) on five hits and three walks while striking out eight across five 1/3 innings in Sunday’s 5-0 loss to Cleveland. He was tagged with his third loss of the season. Brad Camara Sun, May 2nd | |
| Manny Machado went 1-4 with a double in the Padres' loss to the Giants on Friday. Matt Flipi Sat, May 8th | Lucas Giolito (1-2) allowed four runs on five hits and three walks while striking out seven across six 2/3 innings during Tuesday’s 5-2 loss to the Tigers. He picked up his second loss of the season. Brad Camara Wed, Apr 28th | |
| Manny Machado went 0-3 with a walk and three strikeouts in the Padres' loss to the Pirates on Tuesday. Matt Flipi Wed, May 5th | Lucas Giolito said after Saturday's game that his start has been pushed back due to a cut on his right middle finger. Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma Sun, Apr 25th | |
| Notes | ||
| Machado was on pace to set career highs in most statistical categories other than steals after last year's 60-game season. He set career bests in strikeout and walk rates and, most importantly to fantasy managers, batting average, where he checked in at .304. Machado's batting average was earned (he had an identica .304 xBA), and came on the back of him cutting his ground ball rate to a career low 37.2% and his line drive rate to a career high 22%. Machado is still just entering his age-29 season, and will continue to bat in a loaded lineup. Expect some regression from his batting average, but all his other stellar numbers should remain on par, meaning it will be another outstanding season that is worth a second-round pick. Dan Harris - FantasyPros | Giolito followed up his breakout 2019 season with a nearly identical 2020 season. His ERA was within .07, his WHIP within .02, and his strikeout percentage within a point and a half. Despite pitching in a homer-friendly park, Giolito has managed to limit home runs, which is a key to his continued success with the White Sox. He won't face quite an easy schedule this year (AL and NL Central pitchers had plenty of sub-par offenses to feast on in 2019), but entering his age-27 season, he should only continue to improve from a skills standpoint. Draft him as an SP1, albeit a low-end one. Dan Harris - FantasyPros | |
| Being picked at his ceiling, which is always a no-no for me. Was all over him last season with his depressed ADP, now it is too high, and I will have very little shares. Michael Petropoulos - BRoto Fantasy | ||
| Machado rode a career-year all the way to a third place finish in the National League MVP voting last summer. He proved to be a massive bargain in fantasy drafts following a disappointing 2019 campaign. Perhaps we never should've overreacted to his first year in San Diego, as Machado remains a tremendous talent. The issue with drafting him in 2021 is that we're paying a premium now. He'll need to produce at a similar rate as last year to pay off his aggressive ADP. Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros | ||
