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Who Should I Draft?

Manny Machado or Lucas Giolito (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Manny Machado
3B,SS - SD
Manny Machado
Lucas Giolito
SP - CWS
Lucas Giolito
Expert
Recommendation
75%
Recommended by
41 of 55 experts
25%
Recommended by
14 of 55 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 17# 20
Best Rank# 12# 11
Worst Rank# 37# 79
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 20# 19
Best Rank# 16# 17
Worst Rank# 21# 24
   
Projections 
   
Runs92
Home Runs3526
RBI105
Stolen Bases10
Batting Avg.278
Strikeouts113220
Wins13
Saves0
ERA3.71
WHIP1.13
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 18# 21
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 16# 35
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 23# 79
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 15# 29
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 17# 34
   
Josh Shepardson
FantasyPros
# 17# 19
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 17# 25
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 15# 78
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 17# 36
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 13# 22
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 17# 21
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 17# 31
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 20# 47
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 15# 28
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 17# 24
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 18# 22
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 18# 20
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 17# 19
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 18# 26
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 17# 19
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 17# 45
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 17# 19
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 17# 18
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 21# 27
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 16# 20
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 20# 23
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 16# 35
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 17# 21
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 20# 22
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 20# 21
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 19# 34
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 15# 19
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 18# 19
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 16# 20
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 12# 42
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 16# 22
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 18# 20
   
SportsLine - Computer Simulation
CBS Sports
# 17# 25
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 16# 24
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 17# 24
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 16# 20
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 19# 16
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 20# 11
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 21# 17
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 21# 17
   
Frank Stampfl
CBS Sports
# 22# 18
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 22# 12
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 24# 15
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 25# 20
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 25# 19
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 25# 19
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 26# 19
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 28# 14
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 35# 15
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 37# 18
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Manny Machado
3B,SS - SD
Manny Machado
Lucas Giolito
SP - CWS
Lucas Giolito
2020 Stats 
   
   
Runs44
   
Home Runs168
   
RBI47
   
Stolen Bases6
   
Batting Avg.304
   
Strikeouts3797
   
Wins4
   
Saves0
   
ERA3.48
   
WHIP1.04
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Manny Machado
3B,SS - SD
Manny Machado
Lucas Giolito
SP - CWS
Lucas Giolito
2021 Projections 
   
   
Runs92
   
Home Runs3526
   
RBI105
   
Stolen Bases10
   
Batting Avg.278
   
Strikeouts113220
   
Wins13
   
Saves0
   
ERA3.71
   
WHIP1.13
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Manny Machado
3B,SS - SD
Manny Machado
Lucas Giolito
SP - CWS
Lucas Giolito
News 
 Manny Machado went 1-4 with a single, a run scored, and two RBI on Saturday.
Matt Flipi
Sun, May 16th
Lucas Giolito (2-4) allowed five runs on five hits and three walks while striking out seven across six innings during Game 1 of Friday’s 6-2 loss to the Royals. He was tagged with his fourth loss of the season.
Brad Camara
Fri, May 14th
 Manny Machado went 2-4 with a home run, a triple, a walk, two runs scored, and five RBI in the Padres' win over the Rockies on Tuesday.
Matt Flipi
Wed, May 12th
Lucas Giolito (2-3) allowed one run on four hits and two walks while striking out two over five innings earning the win during Sunday’s 9-3 victory over the Royals.
Brad Camara
Mon, May 10th
 Manny Machado went 1-5 with a single, a run scored, and 2 strikeouts in the Padres' win over the Giants on Monday.
Matt Flipi
Mon, May 10th
Lucas Giolito (1-3) allowed two runs (one earned) on five hits and three walks while striking out eight across five 1/3 innings in Sunday’s 5-0 loss to Cleveland. He was tagged with his third loss of the season.
Brad Camara
Sun, May 2nd
 Manny Machado went 1-4 with a double in the Padres' loss to the Giants on Friday.
Matt Flipi
Sat, May 8th
Lucas Giolito (1-2) allowed four runs on five hits and three walks while striking out seven across six 2/3 innings during Tuesday’s 5-2 loss to the Tigers. He picked up his second loss of the season.
Brad Camara
Wed, Apr 28th
 Manny Machado went 0-3 with a walk and three strikeouts in the Padres' loss to the Pirates on Tuesday.
Matt Flipi
Wed, May 5th
Lucas Giolito said after Saturday's game that his start has been pushed back due to a cut on his right middle finger.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sun, Apr 25th
Notes 
 Machado was on pace to set career highs in most statistical categories other than steals after last year's 60-game season. He set career bests in strikeout and walk rates and, most importantly to fantasy managers, batting average, where he checked in at .304. Machado's batting average was earned (he had an identica .304 xBA), and came on the back of him cutting his ground ball rate to a career low 37.2% and his line drive rate to a career high 22%. Machado is still just entering his age-29 season, and will continue to bat in a loaded lineup. Expect some regression from his batting average, but all his other stellar numbers should remain on par, meaning it will be another outstanding season that is worth a second-round pick.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Giolito followed up his breakout 2019 season with a nearly identical 2020 season. His ERA was within .07, his WHIP within .02, and his strikeout percentage within a point and a half. Despite pitching in a homer-friendly park, Giolito has managed to limit home runs, which is a key to his continued success with the White Sox. He won't face quite an easy schedule this year (AL and NL Central pitchers had plenty of sub-par offenses to feast on in 2019), but entering his age-27 season, he should only continue to improve from a skills standpoint. Draft him as an SP1, albeit a low-end one.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 Being picked at his ceiling, which is always a no-no for me. Was all over him last season with his depressed ADP, now it is too high, and I will have very little shares.
Michael Petropoulos - BRoto Fantasy
 
 Machado rode a career-year all the way to a third place finish in the National League MVP voting last summer. He proved to be a massive bargain in fantasy drafts following a disappointing 2019 campaign. Perhaps we never should've overreacted to his first year in San Diego, as Machado remains a tremendous talent. The issue with drafting him in 2021 is that we're paying a premium now. He'll need to produce at a similar rate as last year to pay off his aggressive ADP.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros