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Who Should I Draft?

Manny Machado or Trevor Bauer (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Manny Machado
3B,SS - SD
Manny Machado
Trevor Bauer
SP - LAD
Trevor Bauer
Expert
Recommendation
62%
Recommended by
34 of 55 experts
38%
Recommended by
21 of 55 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 17# 19
Best Rank# 12# 13
Worst Rank# 37# 65
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 20# 14
Best Rank# 16# 13
Worst Rank# 21# 14
   
Projections 
   
Runs92
Home Runs3526
RBI105
Stolen Bases10
Batting Avg.278
Strikeouts113232
Wins15
Saves0
ERA3.45
WHIP1.11
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 18# 20
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 16# 20
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 23# 37
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 15# 32
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 17# 24
   
Josh Shepardson
FantasyPros
# 17# 33
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 15# 39
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 17# 19
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 13# 14
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 17# 25
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 20# 21
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 15# 25
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 17# 18
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 17# 20
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 17# 20
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 17# 25
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 17# 19
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 25# 26
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 16# 18
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 20# 41
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 16# 22
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 17# 30
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 20# 26
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 15# 29
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 18# 21
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 28# 29
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 16# 18
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 12# 14
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 16# 18
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 18# 19
   
SportsLine - Computer Simulation
CBS Sports
# 17# 22
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 16# 19
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 17# 20
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 16# 65
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 17# 13
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 17# 16
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 17# 14
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 18# 17
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 18# 14
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 18# 17
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 19# 15
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 19# 13
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 20# 13
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 20# 16
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 21# 14
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 21# 17
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 21# 18
   
Frank Stampfl
CBS Sports
# 22# 19
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 22# 17
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 24# 19
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 25# 17
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 25# 23
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 26# 20
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 35# 14
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 37# 30
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Manny Machado
3B,SS - SD
Manny Machado
Trevor Bauer
SP - LAD
Trevor Bauer
2020 Stats 
   
   
Runs44
   
Home Runs169
   
RBI47
   
Stolen Bases6
   
Batting Avg.304
   
Strikeouts37100
   
Wins5
   
Saves0
   
ERA1.73
   
WHIP0.79
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Manny Machado
3B,SS - SD
Manny Machado
Trevor Bauer
SP - LAD
Trevor Bauer
2021 Projections 
   
   
Runs92
   
Home Runs3526
   
RBI105
   
Stolen Bases10
   
Batting Avg.278
   
Strikeouts113232
   
Wins15
   
Saves0
   
ERA3.45
   
WHIP1.11
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Manny Machado
3B,SS - SD
Manny Machado
Trevor Bauer
SP - LAD
Trevor Bauer
News 
 Manny Machado went 0-3 with a walk and three strikeouts in the Padres' loss to the Pirates on Tuesday.
Matt Flipi
Wed, May 5th
RHP Trevor Bauer took a no-decision when he allowed just one run on four hits with four walks and seven strikeouts over 4 1/3 innings in the Dodgers 4-3 loss to the Cubs in Game 2 of Tuesday's doubleheader.
Jon Mathisen
Wed, May 5th
 Manny Machado went 1-4 with a home run and 3 RBI in the Padres win over the Giants on Saturday.
Matt Flipi
Sun, May 2nd
RHP Trevor Bauer took the loss on Thursday when he surrendered two runs on four hits with two walks and six strikeouts over eight innings as the Dodgers lost to the Brewers 2-1.
Jon Mathisen
Fri, Apr 30th
 Manny Machado went 2-5 with a single, a triple, and 3 RBI in the Padres' win over the Diamondbacks on Wednesday.
Matt Flipi
Thu, Apr 29th
Trevor Bauer (3-0) earned the win Saturday against the Padres, allowing three runs (two earned) on five hits and no walks in six innings. He struck out nine.
Connor Rooney
Sun, Apr 25th
 Manny Machado went 2-6 with two singles, an RBI, a run scored, and a strikeout in the Padres' win over the Dodgers on Sunday.
Matt Flipi
Mon, Apr 26th
RHP Trevor Bauer took a no-decision on Sunday when he allowed one run on three hits with seven strikeouts and one walk over six innings in the Dodgers 5-2 loss to the Padres.
Jon Mathisen
Sun, Apr 18th
 Manny Machado went 1-4 with a single and a strikeout in the Padres' win over the Dodgers on Friday.
Matt Flipi
Sat, Apr 24th
RHP Trevor Bauer picked up his second win of the year on Tuesday when he allowed just one hit and a pair of walks with nine strikeouts over seven innings in the Dodgers 7-0 win over the Rockies.
Jon Mathisen
Wed, Apr 14th
Notes 
 Machado was on pace to set career highs in most statistical categories other than steals after last year's 60-game season. He set career bests in strikeout and walk rates and, most importantly to fantasy managers, batting average, where he checked in at .304. Machado's batting average was earned (he had an identica .304 xBA), and came on the back of him cutting his ground ball rate to a career low 37.2% and his line drive rate to a career high 22%. Machado is still just entering his age-29 season, and will continue to bat in a loaded lineup. Expect some regression from his batting average, but all his other stellar numbers should remain on par, meaning it will be another outstanding season that is worth a second-round pick.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Over the past few seasons the time to invest in Bauer has been when his ADP has dipped, and not when he's coming off a career-year. However, the spin rate on his fastball increased so much in 2020 that I feel a lot better about projecting him moving forward. It's fair to assume he was using sticky stuff, but so is everyone else. There's little reason to think he'll stop using it, which is why he easily checks in as my SP4. Additionally, the Dodgers are letting Bauer be himself this spring. He's controversial for a lot of reasons, but ultimately profiles as a true fantasy ace.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros
 Being picked at his ceiling, which is always a no-no for me. Was all over him last season with his depressed ADP, now it is too high, and I will have very little shares.
Michael Petropoulos - BRoto Fantasy
Bauer capped off a Cy Young season by signing a massive deal with the Dodgers. There's no other way to describe Bauer's 2020 season other than utterly dominant. A 1.73 ERA, a 0.79 WHIP, and a 36% strikeout rate. Notably, the spin rate on almost all of his pitched jumped dramatically, and every single one of them was more effective than we'd previously seen. Bauer had an outstanding season in 2018 and followed it up with a sub-par 2019, so we shouldn't take for granted that he'll be the best pitcher in baseball for the second season in a row. But on the best team in baseball with a near bulletproof 2020 resume, he should be drafted as a top-five starter and a second-round pick.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 Machado rode a career-year all the way to a third place finish in the National League MVP voting last summer. He proved to be a massive bargain in fantasy drafts following a disappointing 2019 campaign. Perhaps we never should've overreacted to his first year in San Diego, as Machado remains a tremendous talent. The issue with drafting him in 2021 is that we're paying a premium now. He'll need to produce at a similar rate as last year to pay off his aggressive ADP.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros