Who Should I Draft?

Manny Machado or Trevor Story (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Manny Machado
3B,SS - SD
Manny Machado
Trevor Story
SS - COL
Trevor Story
Expert
Recommendation
56%
Recommended by
33 of 59 experts
44%
Recommended by
26 of 59 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 13# 14
Best Rank# 7# 4
Worst Rank# 160# 25
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 17# 20
Best Rank# 13# 17
Worst Rank# 21# 27
   
Projections 
   
Runs8887
Home Runs3234
RBI95100
Stolen Bases1019
Batting Average.284.273
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Michael Beller
The Athletic
# 13# 23
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 12# 13
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 15# 25
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 9# 14
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 9# 16
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 10# 11
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 11# 15
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 11# 16
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 11# 21
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 10# 25
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 13# 19
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 11# 16
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 13# 14
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 9# 15
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 10# 17
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 13# 14
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 12# 14
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 7# 13
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 14# 16
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 8# 16
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 9# 12
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 10# 14
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 14# 17
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 10# 15
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 10# 15
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 7# 18
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 9# 18
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 8# 16
   
Bart Wheeler
Hail to Fantasy Football
# 13# 19
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 15# 16
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 14# 16
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 7# 14
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 11# 17
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 11# 8
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 12# 8
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 13# 12
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 14# 9
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 14# 9
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 14# 8
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 14# 7
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 14# 13
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 14# 10
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 14# 10
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 14# 10
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 15# 12
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 15# 14
   
Jason Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 16# 9
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 16# 12
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 17# 8
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 18# 10
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 19# 17
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 20# 9
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 21# 4
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 22# 13
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 22# 14
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 23# 19
   
Brad Richter
DailyOverlay
# 25# 18
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 31# 13
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 160# 11
   
  Manny Machado
3B,SS - SD
Manny Machado
Trevor Story
SS - COL
Trevor Story
2018 Stats 
   
   
At Bats632598
   
Runs8488
   
Hits188174
   
Singles11389
   
Doubles3542
   
Triples36
   
Home Runs3737
   
RBI107108
   
Stolen Bases1427
   
Caught Stealing26
   
Walks7047
   
Strikeouts104168
   
Batting Average.298.291
   
On Base Pct.367.348
   
Slugging Pct.538.567
   
On-base Plus Slugging.905.915
   
  Manny Machado
3B,SS - SD
Manny Machado
Trevor Story
SS - COL
Trevor Story
2019 Projections 
   
   
At Bats595568
   
Runs8887
   
Hits169155
   
Singles10179
   
Doubles3237
   
Triples35
   
Home Runs3234
   
RBI95100
   
Stolen Bases1019
   
Caught Stealing35
   
Walks6050
   
Strikeouts104170
   
Batting Average.284.273
   
On Base Pct.349.332
   
Slugging Pct.510.534
   
On-base Plus Slugging.859.865
   
  Manny Machado
3B,SS - SD
Manny Machado
Trevor Story
SS - COL
Trevor Story
News 
 Manny Machado hit his 30th homer of the year in the Padres' 11-10 loss to the Rockies on Saturday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sun, Sep 15th
Trevor Story went 1-for-4 with a three-run homer and a walk in Monday's 9-4 win over the Mets.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Tue, Sep 17th
 Manny Machado went 0-for-5 with a strikeout as the Padres beat the Cubs 9-8 on Tuesday night.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Wed, Sep 11th
Trevor Story went 3-for-5 with two homers, three RBI, and three runs scored in the Rockies' 10-8 win over the Padres on Friday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, Sep 14th
 Manny Machado went 1-for-3 with a walk in the Padres' 4-1 loss to the Diamondbacks on Wednesday night.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Thu, Sep 5th
Trevor Story went 2-for-4 with a homer and two runs scored in the Rockies' loss to the Dodgers on Labor Day.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Tue, Sep 3rd
 Manny Machado went 2-for-4 with a homer, a double, and two runs scored in the Padres' 8-3 loss to the Giants on Friday night.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, Aug 31st
Trevor Story went 2-for-5 with a homer, a double, and two runs scored in the Rockies' 9-4 loss to the Pirates on Friday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, Aug 31st
 Manny Machado went 1-for-3 with a double and a stolen base in the Padres' 9-0 loss to the Dodgers on Tuesday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Wed, Aug 28th
Trevor Story went 3-for-4 with a stolen base in the Rockies' 3-1 win over the Braves on Monday afternoon.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Tue, Aug 27th
Notes 
 Regardless of what you think about Machado, he has been a reliable force of nature the last few years and likely hasn't even come into his prime yet. The landing spot in San Diego isn't quite what you would think, as it has actually been a top half of the league ballpark for right-handed hitters since they moved their fences in. So don't hesitate to snag him at the end of the first round, as he seems destined for another 35+ homer, 90+ RBI, 90+ run season
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
You can snag Story in the late second, or even third round despite the fact that he outproduced top-five pick, Francisco Lindor in BA, SB, RBI and was just one behind him in homers. There is more risk with Story, but his 2018 campaign was among the all-time greats for fantasy shortstops
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
 Machado has four straight seasons with at least 33 home runs, and has finished as a top-20 hitter in standard 5x5 leagues in three of the last four years (he finished a still solid 42nd in 2017). The move to San Diego isn't ideal for his fantasy value, but Petco Park isn't nearly as much of a problem for hitters as it once was, particularly when it comes to right-handed power hitters like Machado. Padres manager Andy Green also sends runners much more frequently than the Orioles or Dodgers do, which could help Machado's stolen base totals.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
Story fits into a similar category of player as Francisco Lindor and Javier Baez: shortstops coming off of 30-20 seasons who have sky-high upside but also a bit of risk. The biggest risk for Story is that his elevated strikeout rate leads to some regression in last season's .291 batting average. But even if he hits closer to his .268 career average, Story's combination of power and speed should keep him among the top fantasy shortstops in 2019.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 Along with setting personal highs in each element of his .297/.367/.538 slash line, Machado bashed 37 homers and stole 14 bases, a significant development since he stole none in 2016. He has hit 33 homers in at least 690 plate appearances in each of the last four seasons, so he'd probably be considered a first-round lock if not for remaining unsigned. Now that he established 2017's funk as the clear outlier, Machado is a trustworthy stud eligible for shortstop and third (16 games) in most formats. Signing the Padres doesn't kill his worth, but he's someone to target near the Round ½ turn rather than inside the top 10.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
Story bounced back from a wretched 2017 and improved upon 2016's breakout. Slicing his strikeout rate from 34.4 to 25.6% helped him bat .291, and he stole 27 bases (19 more than his previous career high) alongside 37 long balls. A full repeat would make him an easy first rounder, but his contact skills still don't support such a high batting average. Statcast's .261 xAVG agrees. He's still a shortstop who calls Coors Field home, and regression could still offer 30/20 campaign, so don't shy away since the late-second round price accounts for these concerns.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros