Who Should I Draft?

Manny Machado or Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Manny Machado
3B,SS - SD
Manny Machado
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
3B - TOR
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
Expert
Recommendation
100%
Recommended by
59 of 59 experts
0%
Recommended by
0 of 59 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 13# 48
Best Rank# 7# 16
Worst Rank# 160# 85
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 17# 53
Best Rank# 13# 43
Worst Rank# 21# 70
   
Projections 
   
Runs8875
Home Runs3222
RBI9577
Stolen Bases104
Batting Average.284.300
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 14# 71
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 23# 48
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 17# 51
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 31# 49
   
Brad Richter
DailyOverlay
# 25# 51
   
Michael Beller
The Athletic
# 13# 44
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 12# 61
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 15# 62
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 19# 30
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 9# 54
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 9# 49
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 21# 82
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 15# 49
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 10# 48
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 11# 66
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 12# 53
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 11# 41
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 11# 49
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 18# 37
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 15# 54
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 10# 16
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 13# 55
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 13# 39
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 11# 45
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 14# 54
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 13# 53
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 22# 70
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 14# 45
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 11# 62
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 14# 44
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 14# 69
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 160
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 9# 42
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 10# 53
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 13# 45
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 12# 31
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 7# 46
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 14# 36
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 14# 85
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 14# 46
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 8# 28
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 14# 61
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 9# 20
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 10# 42
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 14# 66
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 10# 47
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 10# 38
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 7# 49
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 22# 48
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 9# 51
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 8# 36
   
Bart Wheeler
Hail to Fantasy Football
# 13# 23
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 15# 71
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 20# 51
   
Jason Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 16# 51
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 14# 46
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 16# 54
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 7# 46
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 11# 62
   
  Manny Machado
3B,SS - SD
Manny Machado
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
3B - TOR
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
2018 Stats 
   
   
At Bats632
   
Runs84
   
Hits188
   
Singles113
   
Doubles35
   
Triples3
   
Home Runs37
   
RBI107
   
Stolen Bases14
   
Caught Stealing2
   
Walks70
   
Strikeouts104
   
Batting Average.298
   
On Base Pct.367
   
Slugging Pct.538
   
On-base Plus Slugging.905
   
  Manny Machado
3B,SS - SD
Manny Machado
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
3B - TOR
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
2019 Projections 
   
   
At Bats595482
   
Runs8875
   
Hits169145
   
Singles10193
   
Doubles3229
   
Triples32
   
Home Runs3222
   
RBI9577
   
Stolen Bases104
   
Caught Stealing32
   
Walks6046
   
Strikeouts10472
   
Batting Average.284.300
   
On Base Pct.349.361
   
Slugging Pct.510.505
   
On-base Plus Slugging.859.866
   
  Manny Machado
3B,SS - SD
Manny Machado
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
3B - TOR
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
News 
 Manny Machado hit his 30th homer of the year in the Padres' 11-10 loss to the Rockies on Saturday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sun, Sep 15th
Vladimir Guerrero went 2-for-4 with a solo home run in a 4-3 victory against the Yankees on Friday.
John Aubin
Sat, Sep 21st
 Manny Machado went 0-for-5 with a strikeout as the Padres beat the Cubs 9-8 on Tuesday night.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Wed, Sep 11th
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (ribs) is in the Blue Jays' starting lineup on Thursday night against the Orioles.
John Aubin
Thu, Sep 19th
 Manny Machado went 1-for-3 with a walk in the Padres' 4-1 loss to the Diamondbacks on Wednesday night.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Thu, Sep 5th
Vladimir Guerrero left Wednesday's game against the Orioles with a left rib injury, Rob Longley of the Toronto Sun reports.
John Aubin
Thu, Sep 19th
 Manny Machado went 2-for-4 with a homer, a double, and two runs scored in the Padres' 8-3 loss to the Giants on Friday night.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, Aug 31st
Vladimir Guerrero went 2-for-4 with a walk on Tuesday as the Blue Jays beat the Orioles by an 8-5 score.
John Aubin
Wed, Sep 18th
 Manny Machado went 1-for-3 with a double and a stolen base in the Padres' 9-0 loss to the Dodgers on Tuesday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Wed, Aug 28th
Vladimir Guerrero went 1-for-3 and drove in three RBI in an 8-0 triumph over the Red Sox on Wednesday.
John Aubin
Thu, Sep 12th
Notes 
 Regardless of what you think about Machado, he has been a reliable force of nature the last few years and likely hasn't even come into his prime yet. The landing spot in San Diego isn't quite what you would think, as it has actually been a top half of the league ballpark for right-handed hitters since they moved their fences in. So don't hesitate to snag him at the end of the first round, as he seems destined for another 35+ homer, 90+ RBI, 90+ run season
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
Nobody is doubting Guerrero's skills. Especially not Steamer, as the typically pessimistic projection system has the 19-year-old batting .306/.368/.511 with 22 homers in 550 plate appearances. Toronto's teenage prodigy has nothing left to prove in the minors after collectively batting .381/.437/.636 in Double-A and Triple-A. The problem is opportunity, with the Blue Jays almost certain to hold baseball's top prospect back for service-time manipulation. Since he was never going to make the Opening Day roster, supporters shouldn't get cold feet because of an oblique injury that guarantees a delay to his anticipated arrival. With Ronald Acuna's sensational debut fresh in everyone's mind, there's still little chance of snagging Vlad Jr. at a discount. Don't bite so soon in re-drafts, but it'll get tougher to resist if he lasts to the late fifth or sixth round.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
 Machado has four straight seasons with at least 33 home runs, and has finished as a top-20 hitter in standard 5x5 leagues in three of the last four years (he finished a still solid 42nd in 2017). The move to San Diego isn't ideal for his fantasy value, but Petco Park isn't nearly as much of a problem for hitters as it once was, particularly when it comes to right-handed power hitters like Machado. Padres manager Andy Green also sends runners much more frequently than the Orioles or Dodgers do, which could help Machado's stolen base totals.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
The always conservative Steamer projection model sees Vlad Jr. as a similar player to Nolan Arenado from the get-go with a .300+ BA, 30 homers and both 100 RBIs and runs over a full season's at bats. This issue, however, will be whether he gets those at-bats. You can gamble on him as early as the 4th round, but it may not be early enough to beat others to the punch
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
 Along with setting personal highs in each element of his .297/.367/.538 slash line, Machado bashed 37 homers and stole 14 bases, a significant development since he stole none in 2016. He has hit 33 homers in at least 690 plate appearances in each of the last four seasons, so he'd probably be considered a first-round lock if not for remaining unsigned. Now that he established 2017's funk as the clear outlier, Machado is a trustworthy stud eligible for shortstop and third (16 games) in most formats. Signing the Padres doesn't kill his worth, but he's someone to target near the Round ½ turn rather than inside the top 10.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
Guerrero profiles as a future superstar. He was unstoppable across four minor league levels last season, hitting .381 with 20 home runs in just 95 games. The projection systems universally expect him to rake from day one in the Major Leagues, envisioning that he is capable of hitting close to .300 with 20-25 home runs even while missing the first few weeks of the season due to service time considerations. He won't be good for more than a handful of stolen bases, but that hardly matters for a player who could someday soon lead the league in both batting average and home runs.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros