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Who Should I Draft?

Manny Machado or Walker Buehler (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Manny Machado
3B,SS - SD
Manny Machado
Walker Buehler
SP - LAD
Walker Buehler
Expert
Recommendation
85%
Recommended by
47 of 55 experts
15%
Recommended by
8 of 55 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 17# 22
Best Rank# 12# 15
Worst Rank# 37# 60
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 20# 21
Best Rank# 16# 19
Worst Rank# 21# 26
   
Projections 
   
Runs92
Home Runs3521
RBI105
Stolen Bases10
Batting Avg.278
Strikeouts113197
Wins12
Saves0
ERA3.30
WHIP1.07
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 18# 29
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 23# 31
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 15# 30
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 17# 20
   
Josh Shepardson
FantasyPros
# 17# 21
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 17# 21
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 25# 33
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 21# 33
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 20# 25
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 15# 60
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 17# 26
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 13# 19
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 17# 20
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 17# 20
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 20# 22
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 15# 26
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 17# 22
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 18# 24
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 18# 19
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 17# 22
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 18# 20
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 17# 25
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 17# 44
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 17# 26
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 19# 33
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 17# 21
   
Frank Stampfl
CBS Sports
# 22# 26
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 25# 32
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 16# 21
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 20# 21
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 16# 19
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 17# 25
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 20# 21
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 20# 24
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 26# 28
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 15# 20
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 18# 24
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 16# 35
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 22# 32
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 12# 35
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 16# 17
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 18# 21
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 24# 28
   
SportsLine - Computer Simulation
CBS Sports
# 17# 40
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 16# 27
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 17# 23
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 16# 25
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 16# 15
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 19# 16
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 21# 18
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 21# 20
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 25# 21
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 28# 27
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 35# 26
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 37# 15
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Manny Machado
3B,SS - SD
Manny Machado
Walker Buehler
SP - LAD
Walker Buehler
2020 Stats 
   
   
Runs44
   
Home Runs167
   
RBI47
   
Stolen Bases6
   
Batting Avg.304
   
Strikeouts3742
   
Wins1
   
Saves0
   
ERA3.44
   
WHIP0.95
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Manny Machado
3B,SS - SD
Manny Machado
Walker Buehler
SP - LAD
Walker Buehler
2021 Projections 
   
   
Runs92
   
Home Runs3521
   
RBI105
   
Stolen Bases10
   
Batting Avg.278
   
Strikeouts113197
   
Wins12
   
Saves0
   
ERA3.30
   
WHIP1.07
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Manny Machado
3B,SS - SD
Manny Machado
Walker Buehler
SP - LAD
Walker Buehler
News 
 Manny Machado went 2-4 with a home run and a double in the Padres' win over the Rockies on Monday.
Matt Flipi
Tue, May 18th
RHP Walker Buehler earned his second win of the season on Monday when he allowed one hit with four walks and seven strikeouts over seven innings as the Dodgers beat the D-Backs 3-1.
Jon Mathisen
Tue, May 18th
 Manny Machado went 1-4 with a single, a run scored, and two RBI on Saturday.
Matt Flipi
Sun, May 16th
RHP Walker Buehler took a no-decision on Tuesday when he allowed four runs on four hits with one walk and eight strikeouts over seven innings in the Dodgers' 6-4 win over the Mariners.
Jon Mathisen
Wed, May 12th
 Manny Machado went 2-4 with a home run, a triple, a walk, two runs scored, and five RBI in the Padres' win over the Rockies on Tuesday.
Matt Flipi
Wed, May 12th
RHP Walker Buehler took a no-decision on Wednesday when he allowed two runs on five hits with eight strikeouts over six innings as the Dodgers lost to the Cubs 6-5 in extra innings.
Jon Mathisen
Thu, May 6th
 Manny Machado went 1-5 with a single, a run scored, and 2 strikeouts in the Padres' win over the Giants on Monday.
Matt Flipi
Mon, May 10th
RHP Walker Buehler was handed a no-decision on Tuesday when surrendered a season-worst five runs on seven hits with one walk and 10 strikeouts over 6 1/3 innings in the Dodgers' 6-5 loss to the Reds.
Jon Mathisen
Wed, Apr 28th
 Manny Machado went 1-4 with a double in the Padres' loss to the Giants on Friday.
Matt Flipi
Sat, May 8th
RHP Walker Buehler was handed a no-decision on Thursday when he allowed two runs on four hits with nine strikeouts over seven innings in the Dodgers' 3-2 loss to the Padres.
Jon Mathisen
Fri, Apr 23rd
Notes 
 Machado was on pace to set career highs in most statistical categories other than steals after last year's 60-game season. He set career bests in strikeout and walk rates and, most importantly to fantasy managers, batting average, where he checked in at .304. Machado's batting average was earned (he had an identica .304 xBA), and came on the back of him cutting his ground ball rate to a career low 37.2% and his line drive rate to a career high 22%. Machado is still just entering his age-29 season, and will continue to bat in a loaded lineup. Expect some regression from his batting average, but all his other stellar numbers should remain on par, meaning it will be another outstanding season that is worth a second-round pick.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Because the Dodgers wanted to closely watch Buehler's routine and workload, he got a late start to the shortened season, essentially using his first few starts as the end of his spring training. He also dealt with blisters late in the year. All that to say, Buehler's 36 2/3 regular-season innings are, for the most part, largely meaningless. He gave up a few more home runs and walked a few more batters than usual, and he won just a single game. But none of it matters. Value Buehler as you did after his 2019 season - as one of the true stud pitchers in the game. Once the big three of Jacob deGrom, Gerrit Cole, and Shane Bieber are off the board, Buehler should come under immediate consideration, as the type of starting pitcher who can be your fantasy ace.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 Being picked at his ceiling, which is always a no-no for me. Was all over him last season with his depressed ADP, now it is too high, and I will have very little shares.
Michael Petropoulos - BRoto Fantasy
There's little doubt that Buehler is one of the most talented starting pitchers in baseball, but we do have questions about his volume entering 2021. Did you know that during the regular season, Buehler had just one appearance where he completed six full innings? This wasn't just a Dodgers thing, either. Julio Urias had five such appearances while Tony Gonsolin had four and Dustin May had three. Of course, the team was saving Buehler for the playoffs more so than their other youngsters, and it worked out. The Dodgers have always handled Buehler with kid gloves, and while he'll be one of the best starters on a per-inning basis in 2021, I'm worried enough about the volume that I'm ranking him closer to the back half of my top-10 starters.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros
 Machado rode a career-year all the way to a third place finish in the National League MVP voting last summer. He proved to be a massive bargain in fantasy drafts following a disappointing 2019 campaign. Perhaps we never should've overreacted to his first year in San Diego, as Machado remains a tremendous talent. The issue with drafting him in 2021 is that we're paying a premium now. He'll need to produce at a similar rate as last year to pay off his aggressive ADP.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros