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Who Should I Draft?

Manny Machado or Yu Darvish (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Manny Machado
3B,SS - SD
Manny Machado
Yu Darvish
SP - SD
Yu Darvish
Expert
Recommendation
57%
Recommended by
32 of 56 experts
43%
Recommended by
24 of 56 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 17# 18
Best Rank# 12# 10
Worst Rank# 37# 40
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 20# 17
Best Rank# 16# 16
Worst Rank# 21# 19
   
Projections 
   
Runs92
Home Runs3523
RBI105
Stolen Bases10
Batting Avg.278
Strikeouts113217
Wins13
Saves0
ERA3.37
WHIP1.10
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 16# 22
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 23# 33
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 15# 23
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 17# 23
   
Josh Shepardson
FantasyPros
# 17# 18
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 15# 40
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 17# 18
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 13# 26
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 17# 18
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 17# 18
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 20# 23
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 15# 19
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 17# 19
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 18# 21
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 17# 18
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 18# 19
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 17# 18
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 17# 18
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 17# 18
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 17# 25
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 16# 19
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 16# 20
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 17# 32
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 18# 35
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 28# 31
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 16# 17
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 12# 23
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 16# 21
   
SportsLine - Computer Simulation
CBS Sports
# 17# 21
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 16# 22
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 17# 18
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 16# 18
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 15# 10
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 17# 16
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 18# 17
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 18# 17
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 18# 17
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 19# 18
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 19# 17
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 20# 18
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 20# 12
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 20# 17
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 20# 17
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 21# 15
   
Jorge B. Edwards
Fantasy In Frames
# 21# 20
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 21# 16
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 21# 15
   
Frank Stampfl
CBS Sports
# 22# 17
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 22# 16
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 24# 17
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 25# 19
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 25# 18
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 25# 18
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 26# 18
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 35# 21
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 37# 17
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Manny Machado
3B,SS - SD
Manny Machado
Yu Darvish
SP - SD
Yu Darvish
2020 Stats 
   
   
Runs44
   
Home Runs165
   
RBI47
   
Stolen Bases6
   
Batting Avg.304
   
Strikeouts3793
   
Wins8
   
Saves0
   
ERA2.01
   
WHIP0.96
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Manny Machado
3B,SS - SD
Manny Machado
Yu Darvish
SP - SD
Yu Darvish
2021 Projections 
   
   
Runs92
   
Home Runs3523
   
RBI105
   
Stolen Bases10
   
Batting Avg.278
   
Strikeouts113217
   
Wins13
   
Saves0
   
ERA3.37
   
WHIP1.10
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Manny Machado
3B,SS - SD
Manny Machado
Yu Darvish
SP - SD
Yu Darvish
News 
 Manny Machado went 2-for-4 on Wednesday, highlighted by his two-run homer in the third inning. He also singled, drew a walk, and scored a second time later in the game.
Ethan Biddle - The Work of Ethan Biddle
Thu, Sep 30th
Yu Darvish went just four innings on Tuesday, allowing two earned runs on five hits and four walks. He salvaged some of his fantasy day with six strikeouts.
Ethan Biddle - The Work of Ethan Biddle
Wed, Sep 29th
 Manny Machado went 2-for-5 in the game, hitting two singles, scoring once and driving in a run in the process. He also struck out once.
Ethan Biddle - The Work of Ethan Biddle
Thu, Sep 23rd
Yu Darvish pitched 5.1 innings on Thursday, allowing four earned runs while striking out seven. He only surrendered three hits, but struggled with command as he gave up three walks.
Ethan Biddle - The Work of Ethan Biddle
Fri, Sep 24th
 Manny Machado went 3-for-5 on Tuesday, hitting two solo home runs and a single.
Ethan Biddle - The Work of Ethan Biddle
Wed, Sep 22nd
Yu Darvish pitched four innings on Monday, allowing eight earned runs on six hits and three walks while striking out just three batters.
Ethan Biddle - The Work of Ethan Biddle
Tue, Sep 14th
 Manny Machado went 3-for-4 on Saturday, hitting two singles and a double, scoring twice and driving in a run in the process.
Ethan Biddle - The Work of Ethan Biddle
Sun, Sep 12th
Yu Darvish pitched six innings on one run ball on Wednesday, allowing just three hits and one walk while striking out seven batters.
Ethan Biddle - The Work of Ethan Biddle
Thu, Sep 9th
 Manny Machado was 2-for-4 on the day, hitting a double and a homer, driving in two runs and scoring once.
Ethan Biddle - The Work of Ethan Biddle
Sun, Sep 5th
Yu Darvish went just 2.2 innings on Wednesday, allowing six runs (five earned) on eight hits and one walk while only striking out three batters.
Ethan Biddle - The Work of Ethan Biddle
Thu, Sep 2nd
Notes 
 Machado was on pace to set career highs in most statistical categories other than steals after last year's 60-game season. He set career bests in strikeout and walk rates and, most importantly to fantasy managers, batting average, where he checked in at .304. Machado's batting average was earned (he had an identica .304 xBA), and came on the back of him cutting his ground ball rate to a career low 37.2% and his line drive rate to a career high 22%. Machado is still just entering his age-29 season, and will continue to bat in a loaded lineup. Expect some regression from his batting average, but all his other stellar numbers should remain on par, meaning it will be another outstanding season that is worth a second-round pick.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
After a career year in 2020, Darvish moves to San Diego in a trade that shouldn't affect his strong 2021 outlook all that much. Despite his advancing age, Darvish built on the gains he had made over the second half of 2019, finishing with a 2.01 ER, a 0.96 WHIP, and a 31.3% strikeout rate. Darvish's walk rate has declined to a level once thought unattainable for the veteran, a mere 4.7%, which was in the top 8% of MLB in 2020. Although he'll be entering his age-35 season, there's simply nothing in Darvish's numbers, metrics, or statcast data that points to a decline. If you are desperate to find a negative, it's a move from the weak-hitting NL Central to the much stronger NL West, but that's hardly a reason to avoid Darvish. Draft him as an easy top-10 starter, and more like a top-5 option.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 Being picked at his ceiling, which is always a no-no for me. Was all over him last season with his depressed ADP, now it is too high, and I will have very little shares.
Michael Petropoulos - BRoto Fantasy
In his first eight starts of 2019, Darvish allowed 33 free passes in 36 2/3 innings. Since then he has given up just 37 walks in 218 (!!) innings pitched. The key has been getting away from a slider he couldn't locate, combined with increased usage of his cutter. One of many offseason additions for the Padres this year, Darvish is a no-brainer, top-six SP entering 2021.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros
 Machado rode a career-year all the way to a third place finish in the National League MVP voting last summer. He proved to be a massive bargain in fantasy drafts following a disappointing 2019 campaign. Perhaps we never should've overreacted to his first year in San Diego, as Machado remains a tremendous talent. The issue with drafting him in 2021 is that we're paying a premium now. He'll need to produce at a similar rate as last year to pay off his aggressive ADP.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros