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Who Should I Draft?

Marco Gonzales or Carlos Carrasco (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Carlos Carrasco
SP,RP - NYM
Carlos Carrasco
Marco Gonzales
SP - SEA
Marco Gonzales
Expert
Recommendation
51%
Recommended by
26 of 51 experts
49%
Recommended by
25 of 51 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 58# 57
Best Rank# 16# 36
Worst Rank# 183# 161
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 116# 163
Best Rank# 96# 136
Worst Rank# 179# 185
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts147142
Wins911
Saves00
ERA3.484.25
WHIP1.131.23
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 29# 107
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 16# 56
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 36# 65
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 35# 55
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 56# 62
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 19# 55
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 55# 87
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 32# 55
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 63# 66
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 26# 57
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 47# 48
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 65# 73
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 57# 107
   
Jorge B. Edwards
Fantasy In Frames
# 28# 52
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 26# 45
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 30# 51
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 48# 85
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 62# 85
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 48# 59
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 56# 78
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 28# 56
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 59# 74
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 42# 58
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 41# 82
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 70# 161
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 25# 51
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 67# 36
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 52# 46
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 56# 50
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 77# 52
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 84# 52
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 70# 53
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 79# 56
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 62# 56
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 59# 57
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 137# 57
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 68# 58
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 65# 59
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 70# 60
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 74# 63
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 76# 65
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 99# 67
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 107# 67
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 166# 68
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 81# 68
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 96# 68
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 80# 69
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 119# 71
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 93# 72
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 183# 80
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 88
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Carlos Carrasco
SP,RP - NYM
Carlos Carrasco
Marco Gonzales
SP - SEA
Marco Gonzales
2020 Stats 
   
   
Games Played1211
   
Games Started1211
   
Innings Pitched68.270.1
   
Wins37
   
Losses42
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed5559
   
Earned Runs2224
   
Home Runs Allowed88
   
Strikeouts8264
   
Walks277
   
ERA2.913.10
   
WHIP1.210.95
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Carlos Carrasco
SP,RP - NYM
Carlos Carrasco
Marco Gonzales
SP - SEA
Marco Gonzales
2021 Projections 
   
   
Games Played2229
   
Games Started2129
   
Innings Pitched125.4172.4
   
Wins911
   
Losses610
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed107174
   
Earned Runs4981
   
Home Runs Allowed1726
   
Strikeouts147142
   
Walks3438
   
ERA3.484.25
   
WHIP1.131.23
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Carlos Carrasco
SP,RP - NYM
Carlos Carrasco
Marco Gonzales
SP - SEA
Marco Gonzales
News 
 Carlos Carrasco allowed four runs (one earned) on seven hits, one walk, and four strikeouts in five innings. The 34-year-old was forced to work much harder than he should have been by the Mets' sloppy fielding. They won 9-4 Tuesday and are four games behind the Braves in the NL East and three and a half games behind the Reds and Padres for the final Wild Card spot.
Lucas Babits-Feinerman
Wed, Sep 8th
Marco Gonzales took the no-decison on Wednesday against Boston, allowing three runs on three hits over six innings with seven strikeouts and two walks.
Ari Koslow
Thu, Sep 16th
 Carlos Carrasco allowed three runs on four hits, one walk, and five strikeouts in five and one-third innings. The Mets won 4-3 Tuesday and are winners of four straight. They're 66-67 this season.
Lucas Babits-Feinerman
Fri, Sep 3rd
Marco Gonzales earned the win on Friday against Arizona, allowing three runs (all unearned) on four hits over six innings with three strikeouts and one walk.
Ari Koslow
Sat, Sep 11th
 Carlos Carrasco allowed two runs on three hits, zero walks, and five strikeouts in seven innings pitched. He left the game tied, and the Mets blew the game in the eighth inning, losing 3-2. They're 61-66 this season.
Lucas Babits-Feinerman
Fri, Aug 27th
Marco Gonzales earned the win on Saturday against Arizona, allowing five runs on eight hits over five innings with two strikeouts and one walk.
Ari Koslow
Sun, Sep 5th
 Carlos Carrasco allowed three runs on five hits, one walk, and six strikeouts in five innings. The Mets lost 3-2 and are now 60-62 this season.
Lucas Babits-Feinerman
Sat, Aug 21st
Marco Gonzales earned the win on Sunday against Kansas City, allowing two runs on five hits over seven innings with four strikeouts and two walks.
Ari Koslow
Sun, Aug 29th
 Carlos Carrasco allowed six runs on six hits, one walk, and three strikeouts in two innings.
Lucas Babits-Feinerman
Mon, Aug 16th
Marco Gonzales took the no-decision on Monday against Oakland, allowing three runs on five hits over six innings with two strikeouts.
Ari Koslow
Tue, Aug 24th
Notes 
 Carrasco suffered a serious hamstring strain in mid-March which is likely to keep him out 6-8 weeks. It's a devastating blow to the veteran who returned strong from his battle with leukemia in 2019 to post a 2.91 ERA and 1.21 WHIP in 2020. There was plenty to like about Carrasco in New York, including that the Mets will provide him with a better chance at wins, their infield defense should be above average, and Carrasco will play in a more favorable park. But at this point, he's nothing more than a bench starter for your fantasy team given his injury.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
If you want to buy into performances from the 2020 season, then you'll have Gonzales significantly higher than you would otherwise. He made major gains last year, including up his strikeout rate to a career-best 23.1% and lowering his walk rate to a career-best 2.5%. Bu even with the gains, Gonzales's swinging strike rate was only 8.4% (below his career average), and his fastball velocity is close to the worst in the league. As a pure back end of the rotation starter, he's fine, but do not expect anything close to a 3.10 ERA again, and bake in regression for his strikeouts.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
 We can completely write off Carrasco's 2019 season as the right-hander was going through a battle with leukemia. The 33-year-old heroically bounced back last summer, posting a 2.91 ERA to go along with a 1.21 WHIP and 82 strikeouts in 64 innings. A 9.6% walk rate is mildly concerning, but Carrasco misses enough bats that he should still be viewed as a reliable SP2/3. The perception around him seems to be that he isn't durable, but Carrasco started 30 games three times from 2015-18.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros