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Who Should I Draft?

Marco Gonzales or Craig Kimbrel (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Marco Gonzales
SP - SEA
Marco Gonzales
Craig Kimbrel
RP - CWS
Craig Kimbrel
Expert
Recommendation
61%
Recommended by
31 of 51 experts
39%
Recommended by
20 of 51 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 57# 61
Best Rank# 36# 35
Worst Rank# 161# 108
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 163# 164
Best Rank# 136# 153
Worst Rank# 185# 233
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts14279
Wins113
Saves024
ERA4.253.65
WHIP1.231.21
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 56# 108
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 52# 55
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 46# 61
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 36# 52
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 57# 72
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 56# 83
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 65# 69
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 55# 58
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 55# 74
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 55# 63
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 58# 63
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 66# 71
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 57# 65
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 67# 86
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 52# 73
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 57# 89
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 53# 59
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 48# 63
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 65# 68
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 68# 98
   
Jorge B. Edwards
Fantasy In Frames
# 52# 63
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 45
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 59# 62
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 51# 58
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 56# 64
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 58# 75
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 50# 80
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 56# 58
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 51# 87
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 71# 103
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 69# 98
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 59# 58
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 60# 55
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 62# 54
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 63# 58
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 67# 50
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 68# 64
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 68# 48
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 72# 35
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 73# 68
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 74# 42
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 78# 61
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 80# 58
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 82# 67
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 85# 70
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 85# 47
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 87# 54
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 88# 54
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 107# 51
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 107# 76
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 161# 39
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Marco Gonzales
SP - SEA
Marco Gonzales
Craig Kimbrel
RP - CWS
Craig Kimbrel
2020 Stats 
   
   
Games Played1118
   
Games Started110
   
Innings Pitched70.115.0
   
Wins70
   
Losses21
   
Saves02
   
Blown Saves01
   
Holds03
   
Hits Allowed5910
   
Earned Runs249
   
Home Runs Allowed82
   
Strikeouts6428
   
Walks712
   
ERA3.105.28
   
WHIP0.951.43
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Marco Gonzales
SP - SEA
Marco Gonzales
Craig Kimbrel
RP - CWS
Craig Kimbrel
2021 Projections 
   
   
Games Played2956
   
Games Started290
   
Innings Pitched172.454.1
   
Wins113
   
Losses102
   
Saves024
   
Blown Saves011
   
Holds04
   
Hits Allowed17440
   
Earned Runs8122
   
Home Runs Allowed268
   
Strikeouts14279
   
Walks3826
   
ERA4.253.65
   
WHIP1.231.21
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Marco Gonzales
SP - SEA
Marco Gonzales
Craig Kimbrel
RP - CWS
Craig Kimbrel
News 
 Marco Gonzales took the no-decison on Wednesday against Boston, allowing three runs on three hits over six innings with seven strikeouts and two walks.
Ari Koslow
Thu, Sep 16th
Craig Kimbrel had a rough ninth inning, allowing a one out double followed by two walks and a sacrifice fly that scored a run. He did chip in two strikeouts though.
Ethan Biddle - The Work of Ethan Biddle
Mon, Sep 13th
 Marco Gonzales earned the win on Friday against Arizona, allowing three runs (all unearned) on four hits over six innings with three strikeouts and one walk.
Ari Koslow
Sat, Sep 11th
Craig Kimbrel pitched the seventh inning on Saturday, allowing one hit while striking out three batters.
Ethan Biddle - The Work of Ethan Biddle
Sun, Sep 5th
 Marco Gonzales earned the win on Saturday against Arizona, allowing five runs on eight hits over five innings with two strikeouts and one walk.
Ari Koslow
Sun, Sep 5th
Craig Kimbrel came into the ninth with a seven run lead but ended up giving up three earned runs on two hits and a walk. He would strike out two batters though.
Ethan Biddle - The Work of Ethan Biddle
Sat, Aug 28th
 Marco Gonzales earned the win on Sunday against Kansas City, allowing two runs on five hits over seven innings with four strikeouts and two walks.
Ari Koslow
Sun, Aug 29th
Craig Kimbrel pitched one inning, allowing one hit while also striking out one batter to earn his 24th save of the season and first with the White Sox.
Ethan Biddle - The Work of Ethan Biddle
Fri, Aug 27th
 Marco Gonzales took the no-decision on Monday against Oakland, allowing three runs on five hits over six innings with two strikeouts.
Ari Koslow
Tue, Aug 24th
Craig Kimbrel didn't allow a ball to leave the infield on Monday, but lost the game after an infield hit, a wild pitch, a sacrifice ground ball, and another wild pitch. He would also walk a batter and strike out two.
Ethan Biddle - The Work of Ethan Biddle
Tue, Aug 24th
Notes 
 If you want to buy into performances from the 2020 season, then you'll have Gonzales significantly higher than you would otherwise. He made major gains last year, including up his strikeout rate to a career-best 23.1% and lowering his walk rate to a career-best 2.5%. Bu even with the gains, Gonzales's swinging strike rate was only 8.4% (below his career average), and his fastball velocity is close to the worst in the league. As a pure back end of the rotation starter, he's fine, but do not expect anything close to a 3.10 ERA again, and bake in regression for his strikeouts.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
As a whole, Kimbrel's 2020 numbers were abysmal. A 5.28 ERA, a 1.43 WHIP, and a walk rate of 17.4%. And yet, there were some encouraging signs. Not only did his strikeout rate bounce back to 40.6%, but he was actually an elite pitcher after his first four outings. How elite? He pitched to a 1.42 ERA and a 0.87 WHIP, and stuck out 53.1% of the batters he faced. It wasn't perfect, as Kimbrel still walked five batters per nine innings over that stretch. But he showed that he still has some has left in the tank. Although he never reclaimed the closer's job despite his strong finish, it's a good bet that the Cubs hand him the ninth-inning role to start, as they try to rebuild his trade value in the final year of his deal. That means Kimbrel should at least get save chances for the first several weeks of the season, and, as such, should be drafted as low-end second closer with just a modicum of upside.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
  Over his final 14 appearances (12 2/3 IP) Kimbrel registered a 27:7 K:BB ratio to go along with a 1.42 ERA and a 0.98 WHIP. I'd like confirmation from the Cubs that he's entering the season as the closer before going "all in" on drafting him, but as long as he gets the ninth inning I'll be interested. Kimbrel has likely turned off many fantasy managers with some ugly blowup performances the past two years. This creates a buying opportunity. Kimbrel is a perfect candidate to draft for those who prefer to wait on saves.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros