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Who Should I Draft?

Marco Gonzales or Craig Kimbrel (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Marco Gonzales
SP - SEA
Marco Gonzales
Craig Kimbrel
RP - CHC
Craig Kimbrel
Expert
Recommendation
60%
Recommended by
30 of 50 experts
40%
Recommended by
20 of 50 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 58# 62
Best Rank# 36# 35
Worst Rank# 161# 108
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 163# 164
Best Rank# 136# 153
Worst Rank# 185# 233
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts14279
Wins113
Saves024
ERA4.253.65
WHIP1.231.21
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 56# 108
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 52# 55
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 46# 61
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 36# 52
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 57# 72
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 56# 83
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 65# 69
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 55# 58
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 55# 74
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 55# 63
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 58# 63
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 66# 71
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 57# 65
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 67# 86
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 52# 73
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 57# 89
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 53# 59
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 48# 63
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 65# 68
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 68# 98
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 45
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 59# 62
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 51# 58
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 56# 64
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 58# 75
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 50# 80
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 56# 58
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 51# 87
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 71# 103
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 69# 98
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 59# 58
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 60# 55
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 62# 54
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 63# 58
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 67# 50
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 68# 64
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 68# 48
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 72# 35
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 73# 68
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 74# 42
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 78# 61
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 80# 58
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 82# 67
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 85# 70
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 85# 47
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 87# 54
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 88# 54
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 107# 51
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 107# 76
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 161# 39
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Marco Gonzales
SP - SEA
Marco Gonzales
Craig Kimbrel
RP - CHC
Craig Kimbrel
2020 Stats 
   
   
Games Played1118
   
Games Started110
   
Innings Pitched70.115.0
   
Wins70
   
Losses21
   
Saves02
   
Blown Saves01
   
Holds03
   
Hits Allowed5910
   
Earned Runs249
   
Home Runs Allowed82
   
Strikeouts6428
   
Walks712
   
ERA3.105.28
   
WHIP0.951.43
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Marco Gonzales
SP - SEA
Marco Gonzales
Craig Kimbrel
RP - CHC
Craig Kimbrel
2021 Projections 
   
   
Games Played2956
   
Games Started290
   
Innings Pitched172.454.1
   
Wins113
   
Losses102
   
Saves024
   
Blown Saves011
   
Holds04
   
Hits Allowed17440
   
Earned Runs8122
   
Home Runs Allowed268
   
Strikeouts14279
   
Walks3826
   
ERA4.253.65
   
WHIP1.231.21
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Marco Gonzales
SP - SEA
Marco Gonzales
Craig Kimbrel
RP - CHC
Craig Kimbrel
News 
 Marco Gonzales earned a tough loss Tuesday against the Dodgers, allowing one run on two hits over seven innings pitched with six strikeouts and one walk.
Ari Koslow
Wed, Apr 21st
Craig Kimbrel allowed his first hit of the season and the Mets loaded the bases in the ninth inning Tuesday. Kimbrel would close out the inning with no actual damage to earn his fourth save of the season.
Jamie Mellor
Wed, Apr 21st
 Marco Gonzales earned his first win of the season for Seattle in game one of Thursday's doubleheader against Baltimore, allowing two runs on three hits over five innings pitched with five strikeouts and two walks.
Ari Koslow
Fri, Apr 16th
Craig Kimbrel went an inning versus Atlanta Sunday in a non-save situation. He walked two batters but did not allow a run.
Jamie Mellor
Mon, Apr 19th
 Marco Gonzales took the loss Thursday against the Twins, allowing seven runs (all earned) on nine hits over 4.1 innings pitched with six strikeouts and two walks.
Ari Koslow
Fri, Apr 9th
Craig Kimbrel came in to snuff out a rally in the eighth inning. He would finish out the game allowing no runs for his third save of the season.
Jamie Mellor
Wed, Apr 14th
 Seattle starting pitcher Marco Gonzales went six innings in the Mariners extra innings Opening Day win, allowing five runs (all earned) on eight hits with two strikeouts and three walks.
Ari Koslow
Fri, Apr 2nd
Craig Kimbrel recorded his first five-out save of his career Thursday versus the Pirates. It was also career save #350.
Jamie Mellor
Fri, Apr 9th
 Seattle Mariners starting pitcher Marco Gonzales threw two innings Sunday against the Padres, allowing one (unearned) run on two hits with one walk.
Ari Koslow
Sun, Feb 28th
Craig Kimbrel pitched another perfect inning with two strikeouts Sunday versus the Pirates. He earned his first save of the season.
Jamie Mellor
Mon, Apr 5th
Notes 
 If you want to buy into performances from the 2020 season, then you'll have Gonzales significantly higher than you would otherwise. He made major gains last year, including up his strikeout rate to a career-best 23.1% and lowering his walk rate to a career-best 2.5%. Bu even with the gains, Gonzales's swinging strike rate was only 8.4% (below his career average), and his fastball velocity is close to the worst in the league. As a pure back end of the rotation starter, he's fine, but do not expect anything close to a 3.10 ERA again, and bake in regression for his strikeouts.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
As a whole, Kimbrel's 2020 numbers were abysmal. A 5.28 ERA, a 1.43 WHIP, and a walk rate of 17.4%. And yet, there were some encouraging signs. Not only did his strikeout rate bounce back to 40.6%, but he was actually an elite pitcher after his first four outings. How elite? He pitched to a 1.42 ERA and a 0.87 WHIP, and stuck out 53.1% of the batters he faced. It wasn't perfect, as Kimbrel still walked five batters per nine innings over that stretch. But he showed that he still has some has left in the tank. Although he never reclaimed the closer's job despite his strong finish, it's a good bet that the Cubs hand him the ninth-inning role to start, as they try to rebuild his trade value in the final year of his deal. That means Kimbrel should at least get save chances for the first several weeks of the season, and, as such, should be drafted as low-end second closer with just a modicum of upside.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
  Over his final 14 appearances (12 2/3 IP) Kimbrel registered a 27:7 K:BB ratio to go along with a 1.42 ERA and a 0.98 WHIP. I'd like confirmation from the Cubs that he's entering the season as the closer before going "all in" on drafting him, but as long as he gets the ninth inning I'll be interested. Kimbrel has likely turned off many fantasy managers with some ugly blowup performances the past two years. This creates a buying opportunity. Kimbrel is a perfect candidate to draft for those who prefer to wait on saves.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros