Who Should I Draft?
Marco Gonzales or Craig Kimbrel (2021)
Experts' Pick | ||
| Marco Gonzales SP - SEA  | Craig Kimbrel RP - CHC  | |
Expert |
60% Recommended by 30 of 50 experts |
40% Recommended by 20 of 50 experts |
| Rankings | ||
| ECR | # 58 | # 62 |
| Best Rank | # 36 | # 35 |
| Worst Rank | # 161 | # 108 |
| ADP | ||
| Composite | # 163 | # 164 |
| Best Rank | # 136 | # 153 |
| Worst Rank | # 185 | # 233 |
| Projections | ||
| Strikeouts | 142 | 79 |
| Wins | 11 | 3 |
| Saves | 0 | 24 |
| ERA | 4.25 | 3.65 |
| WHIP | 1.23 | 1.21 |
| Misc | ||
| Injury Alert | - | - |
| Expert Ranks | ||
| Andy Behrens Yahoo! Sports | # 56 | # 108 |
| Scott Pianowski Yahoo! Sports | # 52 | # 55 |
| Steve Gardner USA Today | # 46 | # 61 |
| Site Projections RotoChamp | # 36 | # 52 |
| Grey Albright Razzball | # 57 | # 72 |
| KJ Fantasy Team Advice | # 56 | # 83 |
| Luke Gloeckner Mr. Cheatsheet | # 65 | # 69 |
| Dave McKay The Fantasy Sports Brain | # 55 | # 58 |
| Tim McCullough Baseball Prospectus | # 55 | # 74 |
| Wayne Bretsky BretskyBall | # 55 | # 63 |
| Joe Bond Fantasy Six Pack | # 58 | # 63 |
| Chris Meaney FTN | # 66 | # 71 |
| Heath Capps Fake Teams | # 57 | # 65 |
| Adam Ronis Fantasy Alarm | # 67 | # 86 |
| Mario Mergola Sporfolio | # 52 | # 73 |
| Nick Pollack Pitcher List | # 57 | # 89 |
| Nick Mariano RotoBaller | # 53 | # 59 |
| Michael Waterloo FantasyPros | # 48 | # 63 |
| Donkey Teeth Razzball | # 65 | # 68 |
| Pierre Camus RotoBaller | # 68 | # 98 |
| Dennis Sosic Fantasy Six Pack | # 45 | ‐ |
| Mick Ciallela Fantrax | # 59 | # 62 |
| Michael Petropoulos BRoto Fantasy | # 51 | # 58 |
| Jacob W. Dunne New Life Fantasy | # 56 | # 64 |
| Lucas Spence Pitcher List | # 58 | # 75 |
| Jordan Eisen Field of Vision Sports | # 50 | # 80 |
| Staff Rankings Roto Ranks | # 56 | # 58 |
| Chris Clegg Fantrax | # 51 | # 87 |
| Joe Pisapia FantasyPros | # 71 | # 103 |
| Nicklaus Gaut RotoBaller | # 69 | # 98 |
| Todd D Clark The Fantasy Fix | # 59 | # 58 |
| Jeff Boggis Fantasy Football Empire | # 60 | # 55 |
| Andrew Gould FantasyPros | # 62 | # 54 |
| Brad Camara FantasyPros | # 63 | # 58 |
| Max Freeze Freeze Stats | # 67 | # 50 |
| Mike Maher FantasyPros | # 68 | # 64 |
| Andy Singleton Expand The Boxscore | # 68 | # 48 |
| Jake Ciely The Athletic | # 72 | # 35 |
| Dan Harris FantasyPros | # 73 | # 68 |
| Carmen Maiorano FantasyPros | # 74 | # 42 |
| Brendan Tuma FantasyPros | # 78 | # 61 |
| Greg Smith The Fake Baseball | # 80 | # 58 |
| Nate Miller FantasyPros | # 82 | # 67 |
| Ariel Cohen FanGraphs | # 85 | # 70 |
| Ryan Amore Pitcher List | # 85 | # 47 |
| Rudy Gamble Razzball | # 87 | # 54 |
| Dalton Del Don Yahoo! Sports | # 88 | # 54 |
| Andrew Seifter FantasyPros | # 107 | # 51 |
| Muntradamus Beast Dome | # 107 | # 76 |
| Corbin Young FantasyData | # 161 | # 39 |
| Marco Gonzales SP - SEA | Craig Kimbrel RP - CHC | |
| 2020 Stats | ||
| Games Played | 11 | 18 |
| Games Started | 11 | 0 |
| Innings Pitched | 70.1 | 15.0 |
| Wins | 7 | 0 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
| Saves | 0 | 2 |
| Blown Saves | 0 | 1 |
| Holds | 0 | 3 |
| Hits Allowed | 59 | 10 |
| Earned Runs | 24 | 9 |
| Home Runs Allowed | 8 | 2 |
| Strikeouts | 64 | 28 |
| Walks | 7 | 12 |
| ERA | 3.10 | 5.28 |
| WHIP | 0.95 | 1.43 |
| Marco Gonzales SP - SEA | Craig Kimbrel RP - CHC | |
| 2021 Projections | ||
| Games Played | 29 | 56 |
| Games Started | 29 | 0 |
| Innings Pitched | 172.4 | 54.1 |
| Wins | 11 | 3 |
| Losses | 10 | 2 |
| Saves | 0 | 24 |
| Blown Saves | 0 | 11 |
| Holds | 0 | 4 |
| Hits Allowed | 174 | 40 |
| Earned Runs | 81 | 22 |
| Home Runs Allowed | 26 | 8 |
| Strikeouts | 142 | 79 |
| Walks | 38 | 26 |
| ERA | 4.25 | 3.65 |
| WHIP | 1.23 | 1.21 |
| Marco Gonzales SP - SEA | Craig Kimbrel RP - CHC | |
| News | ||
| Marco Gonzales earned a tough loss Tuesday against the Dodgers, allowing one run on two hits over seven innings pitched with six strikeouts and one walk. Ari Koslow Wed, Apr 21st | Craig Kimbrel allowed his first hit of the season and the Mets loaded the bases in the ninth inning Tuesday. Kimbrel would close out the inning with no actual damage to earn his fourth save of the season. Jamie Mellor Wed, Apr 21st | |
| Marco Gonzales earned his first win of the season for Seattle in game one of Thursday's doubleheader against Baltimore, allowing two runs on three hits over five innings pitched with five strikeouts and two walks. Ari Koslow Fri, Apr 16th | Craig Kimbrel went an inning versus Atlanta Sunday in a non-save situation. He walked two batters but did not allow a run. Jamie Mellor Mon, Apr 19th | |
| Marco Gonzales took the loss Thursday against the Twins, allowing seven runs (all earned) on nine hits over 4.1 innings pitched with six strikeouts and two walks. Ari Koslow Fri, Apr 9th | Craig Kimbrel came in to snuff out a rally in the eighth inning. He would finish out the game allowing no runs for his third save of the season. Jamie Mellor Wed, Apr 14th | |
| Seattle starting pitcher Marco Gonzales went six innings in the Mariners extra innings Opening Day win, allowing five runs (all earned) on eight hits with two strikeouts and three walks. Ari Koslow Fri, Apr 2nd | Craig Kimbrel recorded his first five-out save of his career Thursday versus the Pirates. It was also career save #350. Jamie Mellor Fri, Apr 9th | |
| Seattle Mariners starting pitcher Marco Gonzales threw two innings Sunday against the Padres, allowing one (unearned) run on two hits with one walk. Ari Koslow Sun, Feb 28th | Craig Kimbrel pitched another perfect inning with two strikeouts Sunday versus the Pirates. He earned his first save of the season. Jamie Mellor Mon, Apr 5th | |
| Notes | ||
| If you want to buy into performances from the 2020 season, then you'll have Gonzales significantly higher than you would otherwise. He made major gains last year, including up his strikeout rate to a career-best 23.1% and lowering his walk rate to a career-best 2.5%. Bu even with the gains, Gonzales's swinging strike rate was only 8.4% (below his career average), and his fastball velocity is close to the worst in the league. As a pure back end of the rotation starter, he's fine, but do not expect anything close to a 3.10 ERA again, and bake in regression for his strikeouts. Dan Harris - FantasyPros | As a whole, Kimbrel's 2020 numbers were abysmal. A 5.28 ERA, a 1.43 WHIP, and a walk rate of 17.4%. And yet, there were some encouraging signs. Not only did his strikeout rate bounce back to 40.6%, but he was actually an elite pitcher after his first four outings. How elite? He pitched to a 1.42 ERA and a 0.87 WHIP, and stuck out 53.1% of the batters he faced. It wasn't perfect, as Kimbrel still walked five batters per nine innings over that stretch. But he showed that he still has some has left in the tank. Although he never reclaimed the closer's job despite his strong finish, it's a good bet that the Cubs hand him the ninth-inning role to start, as they try to rebuild his trade value in the final year of his deal. That means Kimbrel should at least get save chances for the first several weeks of the season, and, as such, should be drafted as low-end second closer with just a modicum of upside. Dan Harris - FantasyPros | |
| Over his final 14 appearances (12 2/3 IP) Kimbrel registered a 27:7 K:BB ratio to go along with a 1.42 ERA and a 0.98 WHIP. I'd like confirmation from the Cubs that he's entering the season as the closer before going "all in" on drafting him, but as long as he gets the ninth inning I'll be interested. Kimbrel has likely turned off many fantasy managers with some ugly blowup performances the past two years. This creates a buying opportunity. Kimbrel is a perfect candidate to draft for those who prefer to wait on saves. Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros | ||
