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Who Should I Draft?

Marco Gonzales or James Paxton (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Marco Gonzales
SP - SEA
Marco Gonzales
James Paxton
SP - SEA
James Paxton
Expert
Recommendation
57%
Recommended by
29 of 51 experts
43%
Recommended by
22 of 51 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 57# 62
Best Rank# 36# 36
Worst Rank# 161# 99
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 163# 204
Best Rank# 136# 182
Worst Rank# 185# 216
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts142145
Wins118
Saves00
ERA4.254.05
WHIP1.231.22
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert-IL60
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 56# 60
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 52# 71
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 46# 78
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 36# 56
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 57# 86
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 56# 67
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 62# 86
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 55# 73
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 55# 69
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 58# 62
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 68# 71
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 57# 81
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 52# 69
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 57# 73
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 53# 99
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 48# 66
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 68# 91
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 67# 82
   
Jorge B. Edwards
Fantasy In Frames
# 52# 93
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 45# 80
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 59# 63
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 51# 93
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 56# 73
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 50# 53
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 63# 70
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 56# 64
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 51# 67
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 71# 77
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 69# 77
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 55# 47
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 58# 55
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 59# 44
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 60# 56
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 65# 49
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 65# 46
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 66# 44
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 67# 63
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 68# 61
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 72# 61
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 73# 67
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 74# 46
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 78# 63
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 80# 52
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 82# 64
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 85# 58
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 85# 51
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 87# 68
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 88# 36
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 107# 38
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 107# 84
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 161# 92
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Marco Gonzales
SP - SEA
Marco Gonzales
James Paxton
SP - SEA
James Paxton
2020 Stats 
   
   
Games Played115
   
Games Started115
   
Innings Pitched70.120.2
   
Wins71
   
Losses21
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed5923
   
Earned Runs2415
   
Home Runs Allowed84
   
Strikeouts6426
   
Walks77
   
ERA3.106.64
   
WHIP0.951.48
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Marco Gonzales
SP - SEA
Marco Gonzales
James Paxton
SP - SEA
James Paxton
2021 Projections 
   
   
Games Played2924
   
Games Started2924
   
Innings Pitched172.4125.3
   
Wins118
   
Losses107
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed174113
   
Earned Runs8156
   
Home Runs Allowed2619
   
Strikeouts142145
   
Walks3840
   
ERA4.254.05
   
WHIP1.231.22
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Marco Gonzales
SP - SEA
Marco Gonzales
James Paxton
SP - SEA
James Paxton
News 
 Marco Gonzales earned the win on Tuesday against Oakland, allowing two runs on four hts over six innings with three strikeouts and one walk.
Ari Koslow
Wed, Sep 22nd
James Paxton underwent Tommy John surgery within this past week.
Brenden Trout
Thu, Apr 29th
 Marco Gonzales took the no-decison on Wednesday against Boston, allowing three runs on three hits over six innings with seven strikeouts and two walks.
Ari Koslow
Thu, Sep 16th
Mariners manager Scott Servais confirmed that James Paxton will have season-ending surgery on his elbow.
Dan Harris
Tue, Apr 13th
 Marco Gonzales earned the win on Friday against Arizona, allowing three runs (all unearned) on four hits over six innings with three strikeouts and one walk.
Ari Koslow
Sat, Sep 11th
Tommy John surgery has been recommended for James Paxton, per Jon Heyman of MLB Network.
Matt Flipi
Thu, Apr 8th
 Marco Gonzales earned the win on Saturday against Arizona, allowing five runs on eight hits over five innings with two strikeouts and one walk.
Ari Koslow
Sun, Sep 5th
Seattle Mariners LHP James Paxton, who's currently on the 10-day IL with a left forearm strain, is seeking a second opinion on his recent MRI results.
Jon Mathisen
Thu, Apr 8th
 Marco Gonzales earned the win on Sunday against Kansas City, allowing two runs on five hits over seven innings with four strikeouts and two walks.
Ari Koslow
Sun, Aug 29th
The Mariners placed James Paxton on the 10-day IL on Wednesday with a left forearm strain.
Dan Harris
Wed, Apr 7th
Notes 
 If you want to buy into performances from the 2020 season, then you'll have Gonzales significantly higher than you would otherwise. He made major gains last year, including up his strikeout rate to a career-best 23.1% and lowering his walk rate to a career-best 2.5%. Bu even with the gains, Gonzales's swinging strike rate was only 8.4% (below his career average), and his fastball velocity is close to the worst in the league. As a pure back end of the rotation starter, he's fine, but do not expect anything close to a 3.10 ERA again, and bake in regression for his strikeouts.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Paxton missed almost the entire 2020 season after straining a flexor in his pitching forearm. Any forearm injury is worrisome because of the connection to the elbow, and Paxton has hardly been the picture of health in his career. He'll try to jumpstart his career again back with the Mariners, and the reports from his workout, where he reportedly touched 94 MPH, were encouraging after his velocity drop last year. When he pitches, he's almost always effective, so he's worth a late-round pick for the potential upside. But the injury history should keep him relatively low on your draft board.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros