Who Should I Draft?

Masahiro Tanaka or Charlie Morton (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Charlie Morton
SP - TB
Charlie Morton
Masahiro Tanaka
SP - NYY
Masahiro Tanaka
Expert
Recommendation
56%
Recommended by
33 of 59 experts
44%
Recommended by
26 of 59 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 35# 36
Best Rank# 19# 20
Worst Rank# 80# 60
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 114# 120
Best Rank# 97# 97
Worst Rank# 117# 129
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts176166
Wins1212
Saves00
ERA3.413.80
WHIP1.211.17
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 33# 37
   
Brad Richter
DailyOverlay
# 24# 32
   
Michael Beller
The Athletic
# 32# 37
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 28# 32
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 29# 51
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 41# 48
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 36# 39
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 27# 40
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 40# 54
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 34# 44
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 36# 37
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 40# 43
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 28# 53
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 29# 60
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 23# 36
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 36# 39
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 40# 41
   
Chris Meyers
Athlon Sports
# 38# 39
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 34# 36
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 30# 35
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 24# 29
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 37# 39
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 28# 42
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 38# 44
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 38# 50
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 19# 51
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 37# 42
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 36# 39
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 30# 38
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 27# 42
   
Jason Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 34# 39
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 25# 31
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 34# 38
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 69# 20
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 36# 23
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 58# 27
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 37# 27
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 28# 27
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 51# 29
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 57# 30
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 41# 30
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 38# 31
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 32# 31
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 40# 34
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 46# 35
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 38# 35
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 36# 35
   
Bart Wheeler
Hail to Fantasy Football
# 55# 35
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 44# 37
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 42# 38
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 44# 40
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 43# 41
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 46# 41
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 43# 41
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 53# 42
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 80# 43
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 50# 43
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 46# 45
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 66# 48
   
  Charlie Morton
SP - TB
Charlie Morton
Masahiro Tanaka
SP - NYY
Masahiro Tanaka
2018 Stats 
   
   
Games Played3027
   
Games Started3027
   
Innings Pitched167.2156.0
   
Wins1512
   
Losses36
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed130141
   
Earned Runs5865
   
Home Runs Allowed1825
   
Strikeouts201159
   
Walks6435
   
ERA3.133.75
   
WHIP1.161.13
   
  Charlie Morton
SP - TB
Charlie Morton
Masahiro Tanaka
SP - NYY
Masahiro Tanaka
2019 Projections 
   
   
Games Played2728
   
Games Started2728
   
Innings Pitched157.3165.0
   
Wins1212
   
Losses78
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed132156
   
Earned Runs6070
   
Home Runs Allowed1624
   
Strikeouts176166
   
Walks5838
   
ERA3.413.80
   
WHIP1.211.17
   
  Charlie Morton
SP - TB
Charlie Morton
Masahiro Tanaka
SP - NYY
Masahiro Tanaka
News 
 Charlie Morton gave up three runs on four hits with two walks and three strikeouts over five innings Wednesday in a no-decision against Seattle.
John Aubin
Wed, Aug 21st
Masahiro Tanaka pitched six innings and took the loss against Oakland on Thursday, giving up five runs on eight hits and two walks while striking out five.
John Aubin
Fri, Aug 23rd
 Charlie Morton took the loss Friday, giving up an unearned run on three hits over seven innings while striking out 10 as the Rays fell 2-0 to the Tigers.
John Aubin
Sat, Aug 17th
Masahiro Tanaka allowed two runs on four hits with no walks and two strikeouts across 6 1/3 innings while picking up the win against the Indians on Friday.
John Aubin
Sat, Aug 17th
 Charlie Morton allowed four runs on nine hits over six innings, striking out 10 and earning the win in Saturday's 5-4 win over the Mariners.
John Aubin
Sun, Aug 11th
Masahiro Tanaka picked up the win after allowing three hits and striking out four over eight scoreless innings Sunday against the Blue Jays.
John Aubin
Mon, Aug 12th
 Charlie Morton gave up two runs on seven hits and no walks while striking out nine through seven innings to take the loss against the Blue Jays on Monday.
John Aubin
Tue, Aug 6th
Masahiro Tanaka gave up five runs on 10 hits and two walks while striking out four over 5 1/3 innings Monday against the Orioles. He didn't factor into the decision.
John Aubin
Tue, Aug 6th
 Charlie Morton allowed four runs on seven hits with two walks and two strikeouts over 4 2/3 innings in a no-decision Tuesday.
John Aubin
Wed, Jul 31st
Masahiro Tanaka allowed two runs on five hits and three walks over four innings during Wednesday's 7-5 win against the Diamondbacks. He struck out four and didn't qualify for the decision.
John Aubin
Thu, Aug 1st
Notes 
 After nearly a decade of mediocrity, the Astros turned Morton into a high-end starter in 2017, and he was even better in 2018. At this point, he feels relatively safe to pencil in for a mid-3.00s ERA, 10.0 K/9 rate, and WHIP in the 1.15-1.20 range. The concerns are his advancing age and durability -- he's never thrown more than 172 innings in a season. The move to Tampa Bay is also a mild concern, less so for the change of division than for the move away from a Houston team that seemingly knew how to get the best out of him.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
Tanaka was basically the same pitcher last year as he was in 2017, but he shaved a run off of his ERA thanks to slight improvements in BABIP allowed, home runs allowed, and left-on-base percentage. Still, home runs remain an issue for Tanaka, which explains why his ERA generally lags behind his WHIP. He's also never made it to 200 innings, so he's not exactly a workhorse. At this point we should just accept Tanaka for what he is: a solid third or fourth fantasy starter.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 Morton followed an improbable late-career renaissance with an even better 2018. In his most innings pitched (167) since 2011, he etched out a 3.13 ERA and 201 strikeouts. Yet he wore down as the season transpired, as his K rate dropped seven points to 24.2% after the All-Star break. Given his durability concerns and struggles when facing a batting order for the third time, the Rays will likely keep limiting him to five innings per start (or even have him follow an opener). Morton will perform on a per-inning basis, but investors should probably expect results closer to 2017's 3.62 ERA and 163 strikeouts in 146.2 innings.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
Tanaka's xFIP (3.42) and SIERA (3.50) dropped 0.02 points apiece, but his ERA plunged nearly a full run from 4.74 to 3.75. That works just fine when paired with a 1.13 WHIP and 9.17 K/9. His elite skills support last season's approved ERA if he can avoid home-run catastrophe in Yankee Stadium. Just prepare to assume some added volatility when his splitter isn't clicking, and he's more likely to work 160 innings than 190. Those risks are all factored into his reasonable SP3 price.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros