Who Should I Draft?

Masahiro Tanaka or Chris Archer (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Masahiro Tanaka
SP - NYY
Masahiro Tanaka
Chris Archer
SP - PIT
Chris Archer
Expert
Recommendation
68%
Recommended by
38 of 56 experts
32%
Recommended by
18 of 56 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 35# 43
Best Rank# 20# 13
Worst Rank# 60# 78
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 120# 124
Best Rank# 97# 96
Worst Rank# 129# 128
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts166198
Wins1211
Saves00
ERA3.803.77
WHIP1.171.26
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 37# 63
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 31# 50
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 27# 60
   
Brad Richter
Going For 2
# 32# 54
   
Michael Beller
Sports Illustrated
# 37# 60
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 32# 45
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 51# 52
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 29# 40
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 39# 50
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 40# 47
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 20# 62
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 23# 37
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 35# 41
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 37# 53
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 43# 58
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 36# 40
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 34# 45
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 39# 41
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 48# 75
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 41# 43
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 31# 78
   
Chris Meyers
Athlon Sports
# 39# 42
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 36# 39
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 40# 64
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 27# 59
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 35# 52
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 39# 43
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 42# 43
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 41# 44
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 30# 48
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 51# 56
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 42# 49
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 38# 43
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 35# 57
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 30# 54
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 31# 47
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 37# 61
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 38# 47
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 27# 22
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 29# 23
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 35# 29
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 38# 35
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 39# 34
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 41# 27
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 41# 25
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 42# 32
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 43# 13
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 43# 35
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 44# 43
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 44# 27
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 45# 36
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 48# 43
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 50# 20
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 53# 41
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 54# 24
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 60# 43
   
  Masahiro Tanaka
SP - NYY
Masahiro Tanaka
Chris Archer
SP - PIT
Chris Archer
2018 Stats 
   
   
Games Played2727
   
Games Started2727
   
Innings Pitched156.0148.1
   
Wins126
   
Losses68
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed141155
   
Earned Runs6571
   
Home Runs Allowed2519
   
Strikeouts159162
   
Walks3549
   
ERA3.754.31
   
WHIP1.131.38
   
  Masahiro Tanaka
SP - NYY
Masahiro Tanaka
Chris Archer
SP - PIT
Chris Archer
2019 Projections 
   
   
Games Played2831
   
Games Started2831
   
Innings Pitched165.0179.7
   
Wins1211
   
Losses810
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed156169
   
Earned Runs7075
   
Home Runs Allowed2422
   
Strikeouts166198
   
Walks3858
   
ERA3.803.77
   
WHIP1.171.26
   
  Masahiro Tanaka
SP - NYY
Masahiro Tanaka
Chris Archer
SP - PIT
Chris Archer
News 
 Masahiro Tanaka didn't factor into the decision in Saturday's 7-5 win over the Astros, giving up two runs on eight hits and a walk over six innings while striking out one.
John Aubin
Sun, Jun 23rd
Chris Archer allowed one run on two hits and three walks over five innings on Saturday against the Padres. He struck out five and did not factor into the decision.
Dan Harris
Mon, Jun 24th
 Masahiro Tanaka picked up the win Monday in a 3-0 victory over the Rays, giving up two hits and a walk over nine shutout innings while striking out a season-high 10.
John Aubin
Tue, Jun 18th
Chris Archer allowed four runs on seven hits over five innings in the Pirates' 5-4 win over the Marlins on Sunday. He walked three and struck out eight in the no-decision.
Elliott Baas
Sun, Jun 16th
 Masahiro Tanaka gave up five runs (four earned) on seven hits while striking out seven and not walking a batter over 6 2/3 innings in a win over the Mets on Tuesday.
John Aubin
Tue, Jun 11th
Chris Archer allowed seven runs on six hits over six innings in the Pirates' 7-5 loss to the Braves on Tuesday. He walked two and struck out eight while falling to 3-6.
Elliott Baas
Wed, Jun 12th
 Monday’s game between the Mets and Yankees has been postponed due to rain.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Mon, Jun 10th
Chris Archer allowed one run on six hits over six innings in the Pirates' 6-1 win over the Braves on Thursday. He walked two and struck out six while improving to 3-5.
Elliott Baas
Thu, Jun 6th
 Tanaka will return from the paternity list to start Monday against the Mets.
Connor Rooney
Sat, Jun 8th
Chris Archer allowed four runs on five hits over seven innings in the Pirates' 9-4 win over the Brewers on Friday. He walked two and struck out seven while improving to 2-5.
Elliott Baas
Sat, Jun 1st
Notes 
 Tanaka was basically the same pitcher last year as he was in 2017, but he shaved a run off of his ERA thanks to slight improvements in BABIP allowed, home runs allowed, and left-on-base percentage. Still, home runs remain an issue for Tanaka, which explains why his ERA generally lags behind his WHIP. He's also never made it to 200 innings, so he's not exactly a workhorse. At this point we should just accept Tanaka for what he is: a solid third or fourth fantasy starter.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
Archer has proven to be a pitcher who consistently posts a higher ERA than his advanced metrics suggest he deserves. At this point, we should no longer be expecting that to suddenly change. Until we see otherwise, expect Archer to post an ERA around 4.00, a WHIP in the 1.20s, and a fairly strong strikeout rate.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 Tanaka's xFIP (3.42) and SIERA (3.50) dropped 0.02 points apiece, but his ERA plunged nearly a full run from 4.74 to 3.75. That works just fine when paired with a 1.13 WHIP and 9.17 K/9. His elite skills support last season's approved ERA if he can avoid home-run catastrophe in Yankee Stadium. Just prepare to assume some added volatility when his splitter isn't clicking, and he's more likely to work 160 innings than 190. Those risks are all factored into his reasonable SP3 price.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
Fool me once, shame on you. Fool me twice, well, look at all those strikeouts. Fool me three times … but his FIP is still lower. Even though he missed over a month with an abdominal strain last year, Archer has amassed the sixth-most strikeouts (644) over the last three seasons. He has collected a 3.64 FIP and 3.54 SIERA during that span. His ERA also ballooned above 4.00 each year. How many times can we keep putting our hand on the hot stove? Archer's fastball has ceded a slugging percentage above .500 in each campaign, so he wields no other effective pitch beyond his slider. He's an elite source of strikeouts, but don't expect a positive ERA contribution.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros