Who Should I Draft?

Masahiro Tanaka or Chris Archer (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Masahiro Tanaka
SP - NYY
Masahiro Tanaka
Chris Archer
SP - PIT
Chris Archer
Expert
Recommendation
69%
Recommended by
41 of 59 experts
31%
Recommended by
18 of 59 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 35# 44
Best Rank# 20# 13
Worst Rank# 60# 78
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 120# 124
Best Rank# 97# 96
Worst Rank# 129# 128
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts166198
Wins1211
Saves00
ERA3.803.77
WHIP1.171.26
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert-IL60
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 37# 63
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 31# 50
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 27# 60
   
Brad Richter
DailyOverlay
# 32# 54
   
Michael Beller
The Athletic
# 37# 60
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 32# 45
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 51# 52
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 29# 40
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 39# 50
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 40# 47
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 20# 62
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 23# 37
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 35# 41
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 37# 53
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 43# 58
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 36# 40
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 34# 45
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 39# 41
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 48# 75
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 41# 43
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 31# 78
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 36# 39
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 40# 64
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 27# 59
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 35# 52
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 39# 43
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 42# 43
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 41# 44
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 30# 48
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 51# 56
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 42# 49
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 37# 44
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 38# 43
   
Bart Wheeler
Hail to Fantasy Football
# 35# 40
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 35# 57
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 42# 70
   
Jason Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 39# 55
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 30# 54
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 31# 47
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 37# 61
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 38# 47
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 27# 22
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 29# 23
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 35# 29
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 38# 35
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 39# 34
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 41# 27
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 41# 25
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 42# 32
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 43# 13
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 43# 35
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 44# 43
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 44# 27
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 45# 36
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 48# 43
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 50# 20
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 53# 41
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 54# 24
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 60# 43
   
  Masahiro Tanaka
SP - NYY
Masahiro Tanaka
Chris Archer
SP - PIT
Chris Archer
2018 Stats 
   
   
Games Played2727
   
Games Started2727
   
Innings Pitched156.0148.1
   
Wins126
   
Losses68
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed141155
   
Earned Runs6571
   
Home Runs Allowed2519
   
Strikeouts159162
   
Walks3549
   
ERA3.754.31
   
WHIP1.131.38
   
  Masahiro Tanaka
SP - NYY
Masahiro Tanaka
Chris Archer
SP - PIT
Chris Archer
2019 Projections 
   
   
Games Played2831
   
Games Started2831
   
Innings Pitched165.0179.7
   
Wins1211
   
Losses810
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed156169
   
Earned Runs7075
   
Home Runs Allowed2422
   
Strikeouts166198
   
Walks3858
   
ERA3.803.77
   
WHIP1.171.26
   
  Masahiro Tanaka
SP - NYY
Masahiro Tanaka
Chris Archer
SP - PIT
Chris Archer
News 
 Masahiro Tanaka went three innings and gave up two runs on five hits and one walk along with two strikeouts as he got hit with the loss Sunday against the Rangers.
John Aubin
Mon, Sep 30th
Chris Archer (shoulder) has been shut down for the remainder of the season.
Connor Rooney
Tue, Sep 17th
 Masahiro Tanaka picked up the win against the Angels on Thursday, giving up one earned run on four hits over seven innings, striking out six and walking none as the Yankees won by a 9-1 score.
John Aubin
Fri, Sep 20th
Chris Archer was placed on the 10-day injured list Wednesday with right shoulder inflammation, Adam Berry of MLB.com reports.
John Aubin
Wed, Aug 21st
 Masahiro Tanaka allowed four runs on eight hits with no walks and six strikeouts across five innings during a no-decision against the Blue Jays on Friday
John Aubin
Sat, Sep 14th
Chris Archer exited Tuesday's game after one inning because of right shoulder discomfort.
Andrew Gould
Tue, Aug 20th
 Masahiro Tanaka did not factor into the decision against Boston on Sunday, pitching four innings and giving up four runs on eight hits while striking out two. He did not walk a batter.
John Aubin
Mon, Sep 9th
Chris Archer was removed from Tuesday's game versus the Nationals with an apparent injury.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Tue, Aug 20th
 Masahiro Tanaka took the loss Monday as the Yankees were blanked 7-0 by the Rangers, giving up two runs on seven hits and two walks over six innings while striking out five.
John Aubin
Tue, Sep 3rd
Chris Archer allowed four runs (three earned) over five innings as the Pirates fell to the Angels 7-4.
Brandon Plutner
Thu, Aug 15th
Notes 
 Tanaka was basically the same pitcher last year as he was in 2017, but he shaved a run off of his ERA thanks to slight improvements in BABIP allowed, home runs allowed, and left-on-base percentage. Still, home runs remain an issue for Tanaka, which explains why his ERA generally lags behind his WHIP. He's also never made it to 200 innings, so he's not exactly a workhorse. At this point we should just accept Tanaka for what he is: a solid third or fourth fantasy starter.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
Archer has proven to be a pitcher who consistently posts a higher ERA than his advanced metrics suggest he deserves. At this point, we should no longer be expecting that to suddenly change. Until we see otherwise, expect Archer to post an ERA around 4.00, a WHIP in the 1.20s, and a fairly strong strikeout rate.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 Tanaka's xFIP (3.42) and SIERA (3.50) dropped 0.02 points apiece, but his ERA plunged nearly a full run from 4.74 to 3.75. That works just fine when paired with a 1.13 WHIP and 9.17 K/9. His elite skills support last season's approved ERA if he can avoid home-run catastrophe in Yankee Stadium. Just prepare to assume some added volatility when his splitter isn't clicking, and he's more likely to work 160 innings than 190. Those risks are all factored into his reasonable SP3 price.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
Fool me once, shame on you. Fool me twice, well, look at all those strikeouts. Fool me three times … but his FIP is still lower. Even though he missed over a month with an abdominal strain last year, Archer has amassed the sixth-most strikeouts (644) over the last three seasons. He has collected a 3.64 FIP and 3.54 SIERA during that span. His ERA also ballooned above 4.00 each year. How many times can we keep putting our hand on the hot stove? Archer's fastball has ceded a slugging percentage above .500 in each campaign, so he wields no other effective pitch beyond his slider. He's an elite source of strikeouts, but don't expect a positive ERA contribution.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros