Who Should I Draft?

Masahiro Tanaka or Craig Kimbrel (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Craig Kimbrel
RP - CHC
Craig Kimbrel
Masahiro Tanaka
SP - NYY
Masahiro Tanaka
Expert
Recommendation
54%
Recommended by
30 of 56 experts
46%
Recommended by
26 of 56 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 36# 35
Best Rank# 15# 20
Worst Rank# 110# 60
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 93# 120
Best Rank# 74# 97
Worst Rank# 102# 129
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts89166
Wins412
Saves270
ERA2.693.80
WHIP1.041.17
   
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Injury Alert--
   
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# 37# 43
   
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  Craig Kimbrel
RP - CHC
Craig Kimbrel
Masahiro Tanaka
SP - NYY
Masahiro Tanaka
2018 Stats 
   
   
Games Played6327
   
Games Started027
   
Innings Pitched62.2156.0
   
Wins512
   
Losses16
   
Saves420
   
Blown Saves50
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed31141
   
Earned Runs1965
   
Home Runs Allowed725
   
Strikeouts96159
   
Walks3135
   
ERA2.743.75
   
WHIP0.991.13
   
  Craig Kimbrel
RP - CHC
Craig Kimbrel
Masahiro Tanaka
SP - NYY
Masahiro Tanaka
2019 Projections 
   
   
Games Played6128
   
Games Started028
   
Innings Pitched59.1165.0
   
Wins412
   
Losses28
   
Saves270
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed36156
   
Earned Runs1870
   
Home Runs Allowed624
   
Strikeouts89166
   
Walks2538
   
ERA2.693.80
   
WHIP1.041.17
   
  Craig Kimbrel
RP - CHC
Craig Kimbrel
Masahiro Tanaka
SP - NYY
Masahiro Tanaka
News 
 Craig Kimbrel will make his first appearance with Triple-A Iowa on Tuesday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sun, Jun 16th
Masahiro Tanaka picked up the win Monday in a 3-0 victory over the Rays, giving up two hits and a walk over nine shutout innings while striking out a season-high 10.
John Aubin
Tue, Jun 18th
 Jon Heyman of MLB Network reports Craig Kimbrel and the Cubs have agreed to a three-year, $43 million contract.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Wed, Jun 5th
Masahiro Tanaka gave up five runs (four earned) on seven hits while striking out seven and not walking a batter over 6 2/3 innings in a win over the Mets on Tuesday.
John Aubin
Tue, Jun 11th
 Ken Rosenthal of The Athletic reports the Cubs and Craig Kimbrel have come to terms, pending a physical.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Wed, Jun 5th
Monday’s game between the Mets and Yankees has been postponed due to rain.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Mon, Jun 10th
 Ken Rosenthal of The Athletic reports the Cubs are "pushing hard" for Craig Kimbrel.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Wed, Jun 5th
Tanaka will return from the paternity list to start Monday against the Mets.
Connor Rooney
Sat, Jun 8th
 Craig Kimbrel rumors begin to swirl again after the Brewers lost their closer, Corey Knebel, this week. The standoff between the two is likely money. The Brewers are unable to currently pay the asking price of Kimbrel.
Garett Thomas
Sun, Mar 31st
The Yankees placed Masahiro Tanaka on the paternity leave list.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, Jun 8th
Notes 
 Although still unsigned, it's safe to assume Kimbrel won't settle for a setup role. After all, no reliever in MLB history holsters a lower career FIP than his 1.96. Despite a concerning walk uptick (4.48 BB/9), he posted a 2.74 ERA with 96 strikeouts and 42 saves in 2018. Somewhat surprisingly, his ADP hasn't suffered from a disastrous postseason and drawn-out free agency. That should change now that he remains a free agent in mid-March. Drafters must now consider the higher the likelihood of a delayed or rusty start to the season. Or worse, maybe he actually follows through on his threat to sit out 2019.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
Tanaka was basically the same pitcher last year as he was in 2017, but he shaved a run off of his ERA thanks to slight improvements in BABIP allowed, home runs allowed, and left-on-base percentage. Still, home runs remain an issue for Tanaka, which explains why his ERA generally lags behind his WHIP. He's also never made it to 200 innings, so he's not exactly a workhorse. At this point we should just accept Tanaka for what he is: a solid third or fourth fantasy starter.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 Kimbrel still hasn't signed so wherever he plays will obviously impact his fantasy upside. Boston would offer plenty more save opportunities, of course, than somewhere like San Diego. You can bank on excellent ratios with nearly 100 Ks regardless, however, so don't hesitate to grab him toward the end of the top tier of closers once again.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
Tanaka's xFIP (3.42) and SIERA (3.50) dropped 0.02 points apiece, but his ERA plunged nearly a full run from 4.74 to 3.75. That works just fine when paired with a 1.13 WHIP and 9.17 K/9. His elite skills support last season's approved ERA if he can avoid home-run catastrophe in Yankee Stadium. Just prepare to assume some added volatility when his splitter isn't clicking, and he's more likely to work 160 innings than 190. Those risks are all factored into his reasonable SP3 price.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros