Who Should I Draft?

Masahiro Tanaka or Craig Kimbrel (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Craig Kimbrel
RP - CHC
Craig Kimbrel
Masahiro Tanaka
SP - NYY
Masahiro Tanaka
Expert
Recommendation
54%
Recommended by
32 of 59 experts
46%
Recommended by
27 of 59 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 34# 35
Best Rank# 15# 20
Worst Rank# 110# 60
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 93# 120
Best Rank# 74# 97
Worst Rank# 102# 129
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts89166
Wins412
Saves270
ERA2.693.80
WHIP1.041.17
   
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Injury Alert--
   
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# 37# 43
   
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# 49# 48
   
  Craig Kimbrel
RP - CHC
Craig Kimbrel
Masahiro Tanaka
SP - NYY
Masahiro Tanaka
2018 Stats 
   
   
Games Played6327
   
Games Started027
   
Innings Pitched62.2156.0
   
Wins512
   
Losses16
   
Saves420
   
Blown Saves50
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed31141
   
Earned Runs1965
   
Home Runs Allowed725
   
Strikeouts96159
   
Walks3135
   
ERA2.743.75
   
WHIP0.991.13
   
  Craig Kimbrel
RP - CHC
Craig Kimbrel
Masahiro Tanaka
SP - NYY
Masahiro Tanaka
2019 Projections 
   
   
Games Played6128
   
Games Started028
   
Innings Pitched59.1165.0
   
Wins412
   
Losses28
   
Saves270
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed36156
   
Earned Runs1870
   
Home Runs Allowed624
   
Strikeouts89166
   
Walks2538
   
ERA2.693.80
   
WHIP1.041.17
   
  Craig Kimbrel
RP - CHC
Craig Kimbrel
Masahiro Tanaka
SP - NYY
Masahiro Tanaka
News 
 Craig Kimbrel (0-4) allowed two runs on two hits and one walk in 0.2 innings Saturday against the Cardinals, blowing the save.
Connor Rooney
Sat, Sep 21st
Masahiro Tanaka went three innings and gave up two runs on five hits and one walk along with two strikeouts as he got hit with the loss Sunday against the Rangers.
John Aubin
Mon, Sep 30th
 Craig Kimbrel was saddled with the loss Thursday against the Cardinals, allowing one run on one hit in 0.2 innings. He struck out two.
Connor Rooney
Fri, Sep 20th
Masahiro Tanaka picked up the win against the Angels on Thursday, giving up one earned run on four hits over seven innings, striking out six and walking none as the Yankees won by a 9-1 score.
John Aubin
Fri, Sep 20th
 Craig Kimbrel (elbow) will throw a simulated game Tuesday, and is eyeing a return to the Cubs for their weekend series against the Cardinals.
Connor Rooney
Tue, Sep 17th
Masahiro Tanaka allowed four runs on eight hits with no walks and six strikeouts across five innings during a no-decision against the Blue Jays on Friday
John Aubin
Sat, Sep 14th
 Craig Kimbrel will be placed on the injured list Thursday with elbow inflammation.
Connor Rooney
Thu, Sep 5th
Masahiro Tanaka did not factor into the decision against Boston on Sunday, pitching four innings and giving up four runs on eight hits while striking out two. He did not walk a batter.
John Aubin
Mon, Sep 9th
 Craig Kimbrel allowed three runs on two hits and one walk over 0.2 innings Sunday, striking out one.
Connor Rooney
Sun, Sep 1st
Masahiro Tanaka took the loss Monday as the Yankees were blanked 7-0 by the Rangers, giving up two runs on seven hits and two walks over six innings while striking out five.
John Aubin
Tue, Sep 3rd
Notes 
 Although still unsigned, it's safe to assume Kimbrel won't settle for a setup role. After all, no reliever in MLB history holsters a lower career FIP than his 1.96. Despite a concerning walk uptick (4.48 BB/9), he posted a 2.74 ERA with 96 strikeouts and 42 saves in 2018. Somewhat surprisingly, his ADP hasn't suffered from a disastrous postseason and drawn-out free agency. That should change now that he remains a free agent in mid-March. Drafters must now consider the higher the likelihood of a delayed or rusty start to the season. Or worse, maybe he actually follows through on his threat to sit out 2019.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
Tanaka was basically the same pitcher last year as he was in 2017, but he shaved a run off of his ERA thanks to slight improvements in BABIP allowed, home runs allowed, and left-on-base percentage. Still, home runs remain an issue for Tanaka, which explains why his ERA generally lags behind his WHIP. He's also never made it to 200 innings, so he's not exactly a workhorse. At this point we should just accept Tanaka for what he is: a solid third or fourth fantasy starter.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 Kimbrel still hasn't signed so wherever he plays will obviously impact his fantasy upside. Boston would offer plenty more save opportunities, of course, than somewhere like San Diego. You can bank on excellent ratios with nearly 100 Ks regardless, however, so don't hesitate to grab him toward the end of the top tier of closers once again.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
Tanaka's xFIP (3.42) and SIERA (3.50) dropped 0.02 points apiece, but his ERA plunged nearly a full run from 4.74 to 3.75. That works just fine when paired with a 1.13 WHIP and 9.17 K/9. His elite skills support last season's approved ERA if he can avoid home-run catastrophe in Yankee Stadium. Just prepare to assume some added volatility when his splitter isn't clicking, and he's more likely to work 160 innings than 190. Those risks are all factored into his reasonable SP3 price.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros