Who Should I Draft?

Masahiro Tanaka or Madison Bumgarner (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Masahiro Tanaka
SP - NYY
Masahiro Tanaka
Madison Bumgarner
SP - SF
Madison Bumgarner
Expert
Recommendation
51%
Recommended by
30 of 59 experts
49%
Recommended by
29 of 59 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 35# 38
Best Rank# 20# 18
Worst Rank# 60# 67
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 120# 96
Best Rank# 97# 67
Worst Rank# 129# 108
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts166164
Wins1210
Saves00
ERA3.803.70
WHIP1.171.22
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 31# 39
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 27# 32
   
Brad Richter
DailyOverlay
# 32# 35
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 32# 54
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 29# 42
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 39# 46
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 44# 47
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 23# 43
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 41# 56
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 27# 56
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 35# 37
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 35# 49
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 53# 58
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 36# 43
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 34# 47
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 39# 63
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 41# 48
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 27# 47
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 35# 67
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 29# 43
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 39# 44
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 30# 41
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 51# 52
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 42# 54
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 39# 40
   
Bart Wheeler
Hail to Fantasy Football
# 35# 37
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 35# 43
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 30# 48
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 31# 45
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 38# 43
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 20# 18
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 31# 21
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 36# 33
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 37# 28
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 37# 28
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 37# 34
   
Michael Beller
The Athletic
# 37# 36
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 37# 34
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 38# 25
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 38# 36
   
Jason Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 39# 33
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 40# 36
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 40# 35
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 41# 26
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 41# 32
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 42# 39
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 42# 41
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 42# 39
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 43# 21
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 43# 33
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 43# 37
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 44# 37
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 45# 29
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 48# 42
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 48# 22
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 50# 31
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 51# 48
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 54# 52
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 60# 34
   
  Masahiro Tanaka
SP - NYY
Masahiro Tanaka
Madison Bumgarner
SP - SF
Madison Bumgarner
2018 Stats 
   
   
Games Played2721
   
Games Started2721
   
Innings Pitched156.0130.1
   
Wins126
   
Losses67
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed141118
   
Earned Runs6547
   
Home Runs Allowed2514
   
Strikeouts159109
   
Walks3543
   
ERA3.753.26
   
WHIP1.131.24
   
  Masahiro Tanaka
SP - NYY
Masahiro Tanaka
Madison Bumgarner
SP - SF
Madison Bumgarner
2019 Projections 
   
   
Games Played2829
   
Games Started2829
   
Innings Pitched165.0181.9
   
Wins1210
   
Losses811
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed156170
   
Earned Runs7075
   
Home Runs Allowed2424
   
Strikeouts166164
   
Walks3851
   
ERA3.803.70
   
WHIP1.171.22
   
  Masahiro Tanaka
SP - NYY
Masahiro Tanaka
Madison Bumgarner
SP - SF
Madison Bumgarner
News 
 Masahiro Tanaka went three innings and gave up two runs on five hits and one walk along with two strikeouts as he got hit with the loss Sunday against the Rangers.
John Aubin
Mon, Sep 30th
Madison Bumgarner received a no-decision on Tuesday versus Colorado, allowing four runs on six hits over seven innings pitched.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Wed, Sep 25th
 Masahiro Tanaka picked up the win against the Angels on Thursday, giving up one earned run on four hits over seven innings, striking out six and walking none as the Yankees won by a 9-1 score.
John Aubin
Fri, Sep 20th
Madison Bumgarner fell to 9-9 on Thursday in Boston, allowing five runs on nine hits over five innings pitched.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Fri, Sep 20th
 Masahiro Tanaka allowed four runs on eight hits with no walks and six strikeouts across five innings during a no-decision against the Blue Jays on Friday
John Aubin
Sat, Sep 14th
Madison Bumgarner received a no-decision on Saturday against Miami, tossing seven innings of two-run ball while giving up four hits.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sun, Sep 15th
 Masahiro Tanaka did not factor into the decision against Boston on Sunday, pitching four innings and giving up four runs on eight hits while striking out two. He did not walk a batter.
John Aubin
Mon, Sep 9th
Madison Bumgarner earned the win on Friday versus the Padres, striking out nine while allowing just one run over seven innings.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, Aug 31st
 Masahiro Tanaka took the loss Monday as the Yankees were blanked 7-0 by the Rangers, giving up two runs on seven hits and two walks over six innings while striking out five.
John Aubin
Tue, Sep 3rd
Madison Bumgarner was handed a no-decision on Saturday, giving up two earned runs over five innings, while recording five strikeouts in the Giants' win over the Athletics.
Mike Falconieri
Mon, Aug 26th
Notes 
 Tanaka was basically the same pitcher last year as he was in 2017, but he shaved a run off of his ERA thanks to slight improvements in BABIP allowed, home runs allowed, and left-on-base percentage. Still, home runs remain an issue for Tanaka, which explains why his ERA generally lags behind his WHIP. He's also never made it to 200 innings, so he's not exactly a workhorse. At this point we should just accept Tanaka for what he is: a solid third or fourth fantasy starter.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
Bumgarner was one of the best fantasy starters out there until a couple of years ago, but he hasn't been quite the same since his 2017 dirt bike accident. He has remained a help in ERA thanks to his ability to limit base hits, but his strikeout rate has plummeted and last year his walk rate rose as well. Bumgarner's peripherals suggest he is playing with fire, even in a very pitcher-friendly environment in San Francisco. Still just 29 years old, a big bounce back season cannot be completely discounted, but there is no question that Bumgarner is a risk-reward choice on draft day.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 Tanaka's xFIP (3.42) and SIERA (3.50) dropped 0.02 points apiece, but his ERA plunged nearly a full run from 4.74 to 3.75. That works just fine when paired with a 1.13 WHIP and 9.17 K/9. His elite skills support last season's approved ERA if he can avoid home-run catastrophe in Yankee Stadium. Just prepare to assume some added volatility when his splitter isn't clicking, and he's more likely to work 160 innings than 190. Those risks are all factored into his reasonable SP3 price.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
A dirt-bike accident in 2017 and broken hand suffered last spring limited Bumgarner to 240.2 combined innings in the past two seasons. He had previously exceeded 200 in each of the last six seasons. While he could regain his workhorse label in 2019, the 29-year-old must combat declines in velocity, swinging strikes (9.2%), and strikeouts (19.8%). Don't pay for past success, but take him as a stable, high-floor SP3 if everyone else is fading the owner of a career 3.03 ERA.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros