Who Should I Draft?

Masahiro Tanaka or Robbie Ray (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Masahiro Tanaka
SP - NYY
Masahiro Tanaka
Robbie Ray
SP - ARI
Robbie Ray
Expert
Recommendation
66%
Recommended by
37 of 56 experts
34%
Recommended by
19 of 56 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 35# 40
Best Rank# 20# 26
Worst Rank# 60# 118
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 120# 116
Best Rank# 97# 110
Worst Rank# 129# 133
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts166205
Wins1210
Saves00
ERA3.803.75
WHIP1.171.30
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 31# 36
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 27# 34
   
Michael Beller
Sports Illustrated
# 37# 59
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 32# 41
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 51# 73
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 48# 50
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 29# 32
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 39# 40
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 20# 39
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 41# 51
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 23# 40
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 43# 118
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 27# 33
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 35# 40
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 37# 48
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 35# 42
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 43# 46
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 36# 49
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 34# 38
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 39# 43
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 48# 81
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 41# 44
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 31# 40
   
Chris Meyers
Athlon Sports
# 39# 41
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 36# 44
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 27# 50
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 35# 39
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 29# 49
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 39# 40
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 30# 35
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 51# 65
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 42# 46
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 38# 47
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 35# 68
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 30# 36
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 31# 50
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 37# 41
   
Brad Richter
Going For 2
# 32# 29
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 37# 36
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 38# 31
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 38# 37
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 39# 33
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 40# 38
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 40# 37
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 41# 34
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 41# 34
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 42# 29
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 42# 31
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 43# 39
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 44# 42
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 44# 35
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 45# 26
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 50# 45
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 53# 38
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 54# 41
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 60# 31
   
  Masahiro Tanaka
SP - NYY
Masahiro Tanaka
Robbie Ray
SP - ARI
Robbie Ray
2018 Stats 
   
   
Games Played2724
   
Games Started2724
   
Innings Pitched156.0124.1
   
Wins126
   
Losses62
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed14197
   
Earned Runs6554
   
Home Runs Allowed2519
   
Strikeouts159165
   
Walks3570
   
ERA3.753.93
   
WHIP1.131.35
   
  Masahiro Tanaka
SP - NYY
Masahiro Tanaka
Robbie Ray
SP - ARI
Robbie Ray
2019 Projections 
   
   
Games Played2829
   
Games Started2829
   
Innings Pitched165.0160.1
   
Wins1210
   
Losses88
   
Saves00
   
Blown Saves00
   
Holds00
   
Hits Allowed156133
   
Earned Runs7067
   
Home Runs Allowed2421
   
Strikeouts166205
   
Walks3875
   
ERA3.803.75
   
WHIP1.171.30
   
  Masahiro Tanaka
SP - NYY
Masahiro Tanaka
Robbie Ray
SP - ARI
Robbie Ray
News 
 Masahiro Tanaka didn't factor into the decision in Saturday's 7-5 win over the Astros, giving up two runs on eight hits and a walk over six innings while striking out one.
John Aubin
Sun, Jun 23rd
Robbie Ray received a no-decision on Thursday versus Colorado, allowing three runs on four hits in six innings of work.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Fri, Jun 21st
 Masahiro Tanaka picked up the win Monday in a 3-0 victory over the Rays, giving up two hits and a walk over nine shutout innings while striking out a season-high 10.
John Aubin
Tue, Jun 18th
Robbie Ray fell to 5-4 on Friday versus the Nationals, giving up five runs on five hits in six innings of work.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sat, Jun 15th
 Masahiro Tanaka gave up five runs (four earned) on seven hits while striking out seven and not walking a batter over 6 2/3 innings in a win over the Mets on Tuesday.
John Aubin
Tue, Jun 11th
Robbie Ray improved to 5-3 on Sunday in Toronto, throwing 6 2/3 innings of two-run ball while striking out 10.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sun, Jun 9th
 Monday’s game between the Mets and Yankees has been postponed due to rain.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Mon, Jun 10th
Robbie Ray fell to 4-3 on Monday versus the Dodgers, allowing three runs on six hits in seven innings of work.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Tue, Jun 4th
 Tanaka will return from the paternity list to start Monday against the Mets.
Connor Rooney
Sat, Jun 8th
Robbie Ray fell to 4-2 on Wednesday in Colorado, giving up five runs (four earned) on eight hits in just 4 2/3 innings pitched.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Thu, May 30th
Notes 
 Tanaka was basically the same pitcher last year as he was in 2017, but he shaved a run off of his ERA thanks to slight improvements in BABIP allowed, home runs allowed, and left-on-base percentage. Still, home runs remain an issue for Tanaka, which explains why his ERA generally lags behind his WHIP. He's also never made it to 200 innings, so he's not exactly a workhorse. At this point we should just accept Tanaka for what he is: a solid third or fourth fantasy starter.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
Ray took a big step backward last year in the ratios but still racked up 165 Ks in just over 120 innings pitcher. There is still upside for an ace pitcher here and the floor may be about what we got last year which didn't kill anyone's championship hopes. He makes for a quality mid-round pick.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
 Tanaka's xFIP (3.42) and SIERA (3.50) dropped 0.02 points apiece, but his ERA plunged nearly a full run from 4.74 to 3.75. That works just fine when paired with a 1.13 WHIP and 9.17 K/9. His elite skills support last season's approved ERA if he can avoid home-run catastrophe in Yankee Stadium. Just prepare to assume some added volatility when his splitter isn't clicking, and he's more likely to work 160 innings than 190. Those risks are all factored into his reasonable SP3 price.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
Ray was an obvious regression candidate coming off his phenomenal 2017 season, and regress he did. While his strikeout rate remained elite, his walk rate ballooned to over 5.00 per nine innings, inflating his WHIP back up to 1.35. Ray is really hard to hit, so he's capable of keeping his ERA under 4.00, but the WHIP isn't likely to be pretty, which makes him hard to rely on as a weekly starter in standard mixed leagues.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
  Everything went right for Ray in 2017, when he registered a 2.89 ERA despite a 3.94 BB/9 and 3.72 FIP. An oblique strain limited him to just 123.2 innings in 24 starts last season, and 70 walks led to a 3.93 ERA and 1.35 WHIP. He remained just as tough to hit with a .215 batting average against and 12.01 K/9, so he could bounce back to the 218 strikeouts procured in 2016 and 2017 even if again held below 175 frames. Yet the ballooning walk rate makes him a WHIP liability, and run support could be scarce from a ransacked Diamondbacks lineup.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros