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Who Should I Draft?

Matt Barnes or Dallas Keuchel (2021)


Who Should I Draft? Player Summaries
 
Experts' Pick
 
  Dallas Keuchel
SP - CWS
Dallas Keuchel
Matt Barnes
RP - BOS
Matt Barnes
Expert
Recommendation
70%
Recommended by
35 of 50 experts
30%
Recommended by
15 of 50 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 86# 89
Best Rank# 57# 58
Worst Rank# 185# 136
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 171# 221
Best Rank# 161# 202
Worst Rank# 198# 234
   
Projections 
   
Strikeouts12884
Wins114
Saves022
ERA4.113.86
WHIP1.311.31
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 59
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 57# 96
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 80# 108
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 61# 69
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 74# 81
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 86# 89
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 68# 83
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 84# 115
   
Tim McCullough
Baseball Prospectus
# 68# 86
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 75# 84
   
Chris Meaney
FTN
# 82# 104
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 94# 95
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 69# 84
   
Adam Ronis
Fantasy Alarm
# 83# 109
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 67# 90
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 69
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 66# 96
   
Mike Maher
FantasyPros
# 67# 84
   
Michael Waterloo
FantasyPros
# 85# 125
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 76# 90
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 92# 136
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 64# 95
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 78
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 84# 94
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 78# 103
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 76# 98
   
Brendan Tuma
FantasyPros
# 85# 89
   
Jacob W. Dunne
New Life Fantasy
# 74# 84
   
Carmen Maiorano
FantasyPros
# 75# 100
   
Lucas Spence
Pitcher List
# 80# 101
   
Nate Miller
FantasyPros
# 57# 74
   
Brad Camara
FantasyPros
# 98# 105
   
Staff Rankings
Roto Ranks
# 81# 83
   
Chris Clegg
Fantrax
# 69# 108
   
Joe Pisapia
FantasyPros
# 80# 93
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 58
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 84# 71
   
Corbin Young
FantasyData
# 185# 74
   
Jordan Eisen
Field of Vision Sports
# 100# 74
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 93# 75
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 157# 75
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 81# 80
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 113# 80
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 86# 84
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 89# 87
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 115# 89
   
Ryan Amore
Pitcher List
# 172# 90
   
Nicklaus Gaut
RotoBaller
# 100
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 116# 103
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 116
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Statistics
  Dallas Keuchel
SP - CWS
Dallas Keuchel
Matt Barnes
RP - BOS
Matt Barnes
2020 Stats 
   
   
Games Played1124
   
Games Started110
   
Innings Pitched63.023.2
   
Wins61
   
Losses23
   
Saves09
   
Blown Saves04
   
Holds04
   
Hits Allowed5218
   
Earned Runs1411
   
Home Runs Allowed24
   
Strikeouts4231
   
Walks1714
   
ERA1.994.30
   
WHIP1.091.39
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Projections
  Dallas Keuchel
SP - CWS
Dallas Keuchel
Matt Barnes
RP - BOS
Matt Barnes
2021 Projections 
   
   
Games Played2963
   
Games Started290
   
Innings Pitched169.661.6
   
Wins114
   
Losses93
   
Saves022
   
Blown Saves010
   
Holds012
   
Hits Allowed17151
   
Earned Runs7726
   
Home Runs Allowed228
   
Strikeouts12884
   
Walks5230
   
ERA4.113.86
   
WHIP1.311.31
   
Who Should I Draft? Player Notes
  Dallas Keuchel
SP - CWS
Dallas Keuchel
Matt Barnes
RP - BOS
Matt Barnes
News 
 Dallas Keuchel (1-0) allowed two runs on six hits while striking out one across five innings during Game 1 of Sunday’s 3-2 win over the Red Sox. He picked up his first win of the season.
Brad Camara
Sun, Apr 18th
Matt Barnes picked up his third save of the season on Tuesday against the Blue Jays, allowing a hit and striking out one to preserve the 4-2 win.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Wed, Apr 21st
 Dallas Keuchel allowed three runs on three hits and two walks while striking out two over five innings during Monday’s 4-3 win over Cleveland. He did not factor into the decision.
Brad Camara
Tue, Apr 13th
Matt Barnes recorded his first save of the season in Tuesday's win over the Twins, striking out one in a scoreless ninth.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Wed, Apr 14th
 SP Dallas Keuchel will replace Carlos Rodon (illness) for Monday's game against Cleveland.
Jack Mannis
Mon, Apr 12th
Matt Barnes earned the win on Saturday against the Orioles, striking out two while pitching a scoreless ninth inning.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Sun, Apr 11th
 Dallas Kuechel allowed three runs on four hits and three walks while striking out three across five innings during Wednesday’s 8-4 loss to the Mariners. He did not factor into the decision.
Brad Camara
Wed, Apr 7th
Matt Barnes worked a scoreless inning in a non-save situation on Sunday against the Orioles.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Mon, Apr 5th
 Dallas Keuchel allowed six runs (three earned) on five hits and two walks while striking out four over four innings in Friday's 12-8 win over the Angels.
Brad Camara
Sat, Apr 3rd
Red Sox manager Alex Cora declined to name an official closer on Thursday.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Thu, Apr 1st
Notes 
 Keuchel pitched to a remarkable 1.99 ERA last year, though that's hardly to be expected to repeat in 2021. His xFIP was nearly two runs higher, his BABIP against was nearly 40 points below his career average, and his already low strikeout rate dipped to just 16.3%. Having Yasmani Grandal as a catcher certainly helps a pitcher outperform his expected stats, but even if Keuchel were to repeat his 2020 performance, his strikeout rate is such a drain that it keeps his value in check. If your staff is dominant in strikeouts, then you can roll with Keuchel at the very back end of your rotation. But if not, just ignore him on draft day.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
Barnes may begin the year as the closer, but it's hardly a guarantee that he'll keep the role. His walk rate has been above 13% for each of the last two seasons, and his WHIP is 1.38 over that span. Adam Ottavino, Darwinzon Hernandez, and Hirokazu Sawamura are in play to take over for Barnes if he struggles. For now, consider Barnes on the very tail end of draftable relievers in fantasy.
Dan Harris - FantasyPros
  Red Sox manager Alex Cora wants to name a closer this year. The last time he managed was in 2019 when Boston infamously used a closer-by-committee approach. It was a disaster. Barnes' 2020 could also be viewed as a disaster, though, so why should fantasy managers be willing to buy back in this year? Like many players, Barnes talked about how it was tough to build up for the shortened season. He then finished the year on a roll, securing 9-of-12 save chances with a 3.38 ERA after Brandon Workman was traded. Barnes is underrated in terms of K/9, and he struggles with control at times, but he's the favorite to lead the Red Sox in saves this season.
Brendan Tuma - FantasyPros