Who Should I Draft?

Matt Carpenter or Dee Gordon (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Matt Carpenter
1B,2B,3B - STL
Matt Carpenter
Dee Gordon
2B,CF - SEA
Dee Gordon
Expert
Recommendation
88%
Recommended by
52 of 59 experts
12%
Recommended by
7 of 59 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 49# 78
Best Rank# 12# 47
Worst Rank# 100# 160
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 65# 101
Best Rank# 58# 76
Worst Rank# 72# 107
   
Projections 
   
Runs9769
Home Runs284
RBI7641
Stolen Bases337
Batting Average.256.280
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 51# 80
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 35# 75
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 36# 64
   
Brad Richter
DailyOverlay
# 47# 83
   
Michael Beller
The Athletic
# 39# 88
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 50# 70
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 46# 77
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 65# 66
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 78# 103
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 83# 105
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 50# 77
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 36# 77
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 12# 73
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 37# 47
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 26# 60
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 70# 72
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 71# 82
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 59# 87
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 48# 80
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 40# 72
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 76# 85
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 37# 74
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 78# 87
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 47# 88
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 33# 87
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 53# 74
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 47# 109
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 36# 79
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 66# 160
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 48# 75
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 37# 85
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 29# 71
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 50# 82
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 56# 72
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 49# 72
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 51# 84
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 51# 75
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 54# 91
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 81# 84
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 57# 94
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 64# 73
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 61# 84
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 42# 65
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 55# 74
   
Bart Wheeler
Hail to Fantasy Football
# 45# 84
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 64# 82
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 58# 94
   
Jason Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 38# 134
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 39# 81
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 70# 101
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 24# 71
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 38# 75
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 58# 48
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 62# 56
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 65# 62
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 68# 66
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 72# 68
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 100# 78
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 71
   
  Matt Carpenter
1B,2B,3B - STL
Matt Carpenter
Dee Gordon
2B,CF - SEA
Dee Gordon
2018 Stats 
   
   
At Bats564556
   
Runs11162
   
Hits145149
   
Singles67120
   
Doubles4217
   
Triples08
   
Home Runs364
   
RBI8136
   
Stolen Bases430
   
Caught Stealing112
   
Walks1029
   
Strikeouts15880
   
Batting Average.257.268
   
On Base Pct.374.288
   
Slugging Pct.523.349
   
On-base Plus Slugging.897.637
   
  Matt Carpenter
1B,2B,3B - STL
Matt Carpenter
Dee Gordon
2B,CF - SEA
Dee Gordon
2019 Projections 
   
   
At Bats529571
   
Runs9769
   
Hits135160
   
Singles71129
   
Doubles3519
   
Triples27
   
Home Runs284
   
RBI7641
   
Stolen Bases337
   
Caught Stealing212
   
Walks9519
   
Strikeouts14086
   
Batting Average.256.280
   
On Base Pct.369.303
   
Slugging Pct.486.358
   
On-base Plus Slugging.855.661
   
  Matt Carpenter
1B,2B,3B - STL
Matt Carpenter
Dee Gordon
2B,CF - SEA
Dee Gordon
News 
 Matt Carpenter went 1-for-3 with a three-run home run in Sunday's win over the Cubs.
Connor Rooney
Sun, Sep 29th
Dee Gordon went 1-for-2 in Sunday's 3-1 win over the Athletics.
Brad Camara
Sun, Sep 29th
 Matt Carpenter went 2-for-3 with a solo home run and a walk in Friday's loss to the Cubs.
Connor Rooney
Sat, Sep 28th
Dee Gordon 2-for-3 with a double in Tuesday’s 3-0 loss to the Astros.
Brad Camara
Wed, Sep 25th
 Matt Carpenter went 1-for-2 with a go-ahead solo home run in Thursday's win over the Cubs.
Connor Rooney
Fri, Sep 20th
Dee Gordon came off the bench and went 1-for-2 in Thursday's 6-5 win over the Pirates.
Brad Camara
Thu, Sep 19th
 Matt Carpenter did not start Tuesday's game against the Nationals, and went 0-for-1 as a pinch hitter.
Connor Rooney
Wed, Sep 18th
Dee Gordon went 2-for-4 in Friday's 9-7 loss to the White Sox.
Brad Camara
Sat, Sep 14th
 Matt Carpenter went 2-for-3 with two walks, two singles, an RBI, and a run scored in Thursday's win over the Giants.
Connor Rooney
Thu, Sep 5th
Dee Gordon went 3-for-3 with an RBI triple and a stolen base in Saturday’s 2-1 loss the Astros.
Brad Camara
Sun, Sep 8th
Notes 
 Over the last five years, Carpenter has a remarkable 468 walks, which obviously has contributed to his 483 runs. In that time, his power has steadily improved, all the way to 36 homers last year, and while that total may not be repeatable, 30 homers with 100 runs makes him well worth a sixth round pick in 2019 fantasy leagues
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
Gordon is going to absolutely destroy you in two categories and his batting average isn't anything to write home about. With that said, the potential of 60 stolen bases makes him worth the price of admission toward the middle of drafts.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
 Carpenter blew away his previous career high by hitting 36 home runs in 2018, but that was fueled by a 19.1 percent HR/FB rate that was far higher than he's ever had before. To be fair, he did have the highest hard contact rate in MLB, so it's not like the home run spike was a total fluke, but fantasy owners should generally be cautious when a player has an outlier season this late in their career. The odds are against Carpenter hitting 35+ home runs again, and while he regularly produces an excellent OBP, he is a bit of a drag in batting average and has little speed to speak of. He's a much better pick in points leagues and leagues that reward OBP than he is in traditional 5x5 roto/categories leagues, where he could be overvalued.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
Gordon averaged around 60 steals per season from 2014-2017, but that number plummeted to 30 steals in 141 games last season. The .268 batting average he produced last season is probably due for some positive correction into the .280 range, but Gordon is a major drag in the HR and RBI categories, so he'll need to get his stolen base total back up into the 50-60 range to be worth deploying in standard 5x5 leagues of 12 teams or fewer. It's tough to say whether that will happen as Gordon approaches 31 years old, so he's a boom-or-bust selection if he goes in the single digit rounds of fantasy drafts.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 Despite entering the season with health woes and batting .155 in April, Carpenter then went scorched earth to hit .257/.374/.523 with a career-high 36 homers. It's dicey to bet on a 33-year-old coming off a career year, but he simply punishes baseball too severely to discredit. He led qualified hitters in hard-hit rate (49.0%) with the fifth-highest fly-ball rate (46.9%) and fourth-lowest popup rate (2.1%). Given his elite blend of hitting the ball hard, high, and far, Statcast's .535 XSLG and .386 xwOBA even offer room for growth. Expect more elite power in 2019.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
Gordon is great at running, but not quite as good at reaching base. Despite the complete lack of power, his profile was palatable when consisting of a high average, plethora of runs, and 60 steals. Last season, however, he batted .268 with 62 runs and 30 steals. He was caught stealing (12) more times than he walked (nine), and the 30-year-old can't afford as many misfires with a .288 OBP. His Statcast speed score (29.0) didn't drop much from 2017 (29.0), so it's possible he bounces back to 40-45 steals if a few more dribbles roll his way. It's probably not worth the risk unless desperate for speed.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros