Who Should I Draft?

Matt Carpenter or Edwin Encarnacion (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Matt Carpenter
1B,2B,3B - STL
Matt Carpenter
Edwin Encarnacion
1B,DH - NYY
Edwin Encarnacion
Expert
Recommendation
86%
Recommended by
48 of 56 experts
14%
Recommended by
8 of 56 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 50# 78
Best Rank# 12# 45
Worst Rank# 100# 140
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 65# 113
Best Rank# 58# 100
Worst Rank# 72# 141
   
Projections 
   
Runs9776
Home Runs2830
RBI7693
Stolen Bases32
Batting Average.256.243
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert-MiLB
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 51# 87
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 35# 50
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 36# 62
   
Brad Richter
Going For 2
# 47# 82
   
Michael Beller
Sports Illustrated
# 39# 74
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 50# 140
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 46# 69
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 68# 136
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 50# 75
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 36# 89
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 12# 83
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 65# 113
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 37# 84
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 26# 66
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 70# 95
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 71# 100
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 59# 82
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 48# 77
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 40# 68
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 76# 105
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 37# 56
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 78# 102
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 47# 68
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 33# 57
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 53# 80
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 47# 76
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 58# 65
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 36# 65
   
Chris Meyers
Athlon Sports
# 47# 75
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 48
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 37# 76
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 29# 53
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 50# 73
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 56# 79
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 49# 74
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 51# 82
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 72# 125
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 62# 67
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 51# 65
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 54# 68
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 57# 79
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 61# 81
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 55# 76
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 64# 94
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 39# 132
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 70# 90
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 24# 87
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 38# 88
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 64# 48
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 65# 51
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 66# 54
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 78# 45
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 81# 64
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 83# 53
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 100# 98
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 55
   
  Matt Carpenter
1B,2B,3B - STL
Matt Carpenter
Edwin Encarnacion
1B,DH - NYY
Edwin Encarnacion
2018 Stats 
   
   
At Bats564500
   
Runs11174
   
Hits145123
   
Singles6774
   
Doubles4216
   
Triples01
   
Home Runs3632
   
RBI81107
   
Stolen Bases43
   
Caught Stealing10
   
Walks10263
   
Strikeouts158132
   
Batting Average.257.246
   
On Base Pct.374.336
   
Slugging Pct.523.474
   
On-base Plus Slugging.897.810
   
  Matt Carpenter
1B,2B,3B - STL
Matt Carpenter
Edwin Encarnacion
1B,DH - NYY
Edwin Encarnacion
2019 Projections 
   
   
At Bats529507
   
Runs9776
   
Hits135123
   
Singles7172
   
Doubles3519
   
Triples21
   
Home Runs2830
   
RBI7693
   
Stolen Bases32
   
Caught Stealing20
   
Walks9569
   
Strikeouts140129
   
Batting Average.256.243
   
On Base Pct.369.334
   
Slugging Pct.486.467
   
On-base Plus Slugging.855.801
   
  Matt Carpenter
1B,2B,3B - STL
Matt Carpenter
Edwin Encarnacion
1B,DH - NYY
Edwin Encarnacion
News 
 Matt Carpenter went 1-for-3 with an RBI on Thursday against the Mets.
Dan Harris
Fri, Jun 14th
First baseman/designated hitter Edwin Encarnacion has been traded from the Seattle Mariners to the New York Yankees, according to a report from MLB insider Jeff Passan.
Mike Maher
Sat, Jun 15th
 Carpenter is not in the starting lineup for Friday's game against the Cubs.
Connor Rooney
Fri, Jun 7th
Encarnacion was held out of the starting lineup Friday due to a back injury.
Connor Rooney
Sat, Jun 15th
 Carpenter was pulled in the top of the eighth inning of Thursday's game against the Cincinnati Reds; he was replaced at third base by Jedd Gyorko.
James Bisson
Thu, Jun 6th
Edwin Encarnacion went 1-for-3 with two walks, a home run, three RBI, and one run scored against the Twins on Tuesday.
Kamran Hoda
Wed, Jun 12th
 Matt Carpenter went 1-for-1 with a pinch-hit, solo home run in the Cardinals' 5-3 win over the Phillies on Thursday.
Elliott Baas
Thu, May 30th
Edwin Encarnacion went 2-for-5 with two home runs, three RBI, and two runs scored on Sunday against the Angels.
Kamran Hoda
Mon, Jun 10th
 Matt Carpenter went 2-for-4 with a solo home run in the Cardinals' 5-2 loss to the Braves on Friday.
Elliott Baas
Sat, May 25th
Edwin Encarnacion went 1-for-3 with a walk, a solo home run, and one run scored on Saturday against the Angels.
Kamran Hoda
Sun, Jun 9th
Notes 
 Over the last five years, Carpenter has a remarkable 468 walks, which obviously has contributed to his 483 runs. In that time, his power has steadily improved, all the way to 36 homers last year, and while that total may not be repeatable, 30 homers with 100 runs makes him well worth a sixth round pick in 2019 fantasy leagues
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
Encarnacion may be getting up there in age, but there are few hitters who have produced consistent power at the rate he has. There is little reason to expect a sudden drop-off but with that said, his RBIs and runs should take a hit with Seattle losing some of their best offensive pieces.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
 Carpenter blew¬†away his previous career high by hitting 36 home runs in 2018, but that was fueled by a 19.1 percent HR/FB rate that was far higher than he's ever had before. To be fair, he did have the highest hard contact rate in MLB, so it's not like the home run spike was a total fluke, but fantasy owners should generally be cautious when a player has an outlier season this late in their career. The odds are against Carpenter hitting 35+ home runs again, and while he regularly produces an excellent OBP, he is a bit of a drag in batting average and has little speed to speak of. He's a much better pick in points leagues and leagues that reward OBP than he is in traditional 5x5 roto/categories leagues, where he could be overvalued.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
As he embarks upon his age-36 season, Encarnacion is showing some signs of decline. His strikeout rate has crept up over the last three years, while his home run total and batting average have gone in the opposite direction. But this decline shouldn't be overstated -- Encarnacion still topped 30 HRs last year for the seventh straight season, while his 42.4 percent hard contact rate was actually a career high. Most projection systems expect his performance to further decline in 2019, but players do not always decline at a consistent rate. His advancing age makes Encarnacion somewhat of a boom-or-bust pick, but even if he remains on the rebuilding Mariners for the entire season, he should be a good source of home runs and RBIs.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 Despite entering the season with health woes and batting .155 in April, Carpenter then went scorched earth to hit .257/.374/.523 with a career-high 36 homers. It's dicey to bet on a 33-year-old coming off a career year, but he simply punishes baseball too severely to discredit. He led qualified hitters in hard-hit rate (49.0%) with the fifth-highest fly-ball rate (46.9%) and fourth-lowest popup rate (2.1%). Given his elite blend of hitting the ball hard, high, and far, Statcast's .535 XSLG and .386 xwOBA even offer room for growth. Expect more elite power in 2019.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
Even in a down year, Encarnacion topped 30 homers for the seventh straight season, a span during which 2014's 98 RBI was the only time he fell short of 100. That bankable power is comforting at his depreciating price, but career worsts in contact (75.7%) and strikeout (22.9%) rate led to his lowest average (.248) since 2010. The durable slugger also missed time with a biceps injury during his age-35 campaign, so don't reach for name recognition. That shouldn't be necessary, as ADPs beyond the top 100 suggest he could fall into your lap.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros