Who Should I Draft?

Matt Carpenter or Gary Sanchez (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Matt Carpenter
1B,2B,3B - STL
Matt Carpenter
Gary Sanchez
C,DH - NYY
Gary Sanchez
Expert
Recommendation
64%
Recommended by
38 of 59 experts
36%
Recommended by
21 of 59 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 49# 54
Best Rank# 12# 25
Worst Rank# 100# 116
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 65# 51
Best Rank# 58# 47
Worst Rank# 72# 74
   
Projections 
   
Runs9773
Home Runs2830
RBI7682
Stolen Bases32
Batting Average.256.247
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert-DTD
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 51# 60
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 35# 51
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 36# 55
   
Brad Richter
DailyOverlay
# 47# 70
   
Michael Beller
The Athletic
# 39# 68
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 50# 96
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 46# 54
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 78# 80
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 50# 54
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 36# 65
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 12# 56
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 26# 28
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 71# 85
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 48# 54
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 40# 58
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 37# 91
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 47# 57
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 33# 60
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 47# 63
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 58# 91
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 36# 76
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 48# 88
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 37# 50
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 29# 59
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 50# 63
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 56# 90
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 49# 54
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 51# 60
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 72# 89
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 54# 56
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 64# 77
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 42# 53
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 55# 56
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 58# 90
   
Jason Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 38# 57
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 39# 63
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 24# 63
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 38# 57
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 37# 35
   
Bart Wheeler
Hail to Fantasy Football
# 45# 41
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 51# 48
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 53# 48
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 57# 52
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 59# 46
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 61# 54
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 62# 49
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 64# 57
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 65# 46
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 65# 33
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 66# 32
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 68# 43
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 70# 29
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 70# 39
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 76# 25
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 78# 48
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 81# 52
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 83# 59
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 100# 57
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 116
   
  Matt Carpenter
1B,2B,3B - STL
Matt Carpenter
Gary Sanchez
C,DH - NYY
Gary Sanchez
2018 Stats 
   
   
At Bats564323
   
Runs11151
   
Hits14560
   
Singles6725
   
Doubles4217
   
Triples00
   
Home Runs3618
   
RBI8153
   
Stolen Bases41
   
Caught Stealing10
   
Walks10246
   
Strikeouts15894
   
Batting Average.257.186
   
On Base Pct.374.291
   
Slugging Pct.523.406
   
On-base Plus Slugging.897.697
   
  Matt Carpenter
1B,2B,3B - STL
Matt Carpenter
Gary Sanchez
C,DH - NYY
Gary Sanchez
2019 Projections 
   
   
At Bats529453
   
Runs9773
   
Hits135112
   
Singles7159
   
Doubles3522
   
Triples20
   
Home Runs2830
   
RBI7682
   
Stolen Bases32
   
Caught Stealing21
   
Walks9548
   
Strikeouts140122
   
Batting Average.256.247
   
On Base Pct.369.319
   
Slugging Pct.486.493
   
On-base Plus Slugging.855.812
   
  Matt Carpenter
1B,2B,3B - STL
Matt Carpenter
Gary Sanchez
C,DH - NYY
Gary Sanchez
News 
 Matt Carpenter went 1-for-2 with a go-ahead solo home run in Thursday's win over the Cubs.
Connor Rooney
Fri, Sep 20th
Gary Sanchez (groin) has progressed to running on a treadmill, though his timetable remains uncertain, James Wagner of The New York Times reports.
John Aubin
Fri, Sep 20th
 Matt Carpenter did not start Tuesday's game against the Nationals, and went 0-for-1 as a pinch hitter.
Connor Rooney
Wed, Sep 18th
Gary Sanchez was diagnosed with a groin strain Friday, James Wagner of The New York Times reports.
John Aubin
Sat, Sep 14th
 Matt Carpenter went 2-for-3 with two walks, two singles, an RBI, and a run scored in Thursday's win over the Giants.
Connor Rooney
Thu, Sep 5th
Gary Sanchez (groin) is not in the lineup Friday against the Blue Jays.
John Aubin
Fri, Sep 13th
 Matt Carpenter went 3-for-4 with a home run, three runs scored, two RBI, and a walk in Sunday's win over the Rockies.
Connor Rooney
Mon, Aug 26th
Gary Sanchez (groin) will travel to New York for further testing after leaving Game 2 of Thursday's game against Detroit with left groin tightness, Bryan Hoch of MLB.com reports.
John Aubin
Fri, Sep 13th
 Matt Carpenter went 1-for-3 with a walk as the Cardinals defeated the Royals 2-0.
Brandon Plutner
Tue, Aug 13th
Gary Sanchez went 1-for-2 with a two-run double, two walks and two runs scored in a 5-1 victory over Boston on Saturday.
John Aubin
Sun, Sep 8th
Notes 
 Over the last five years, Carpenter has a remarkable 468 walks, which obviously has contributed to his 483 runs. In that time, his power has steadily improved, all the way to 36 homers last year, and while that total may not be repeatable, 30 homers with 100 runs makes him well worth a sixth round pick in 2019 fantasy leagues
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
How why are you willing to take a guy who batted .186 last season? Turns out the answer is pretty high for Sanchez, who's challenging J.T. Realmuto as the top catcher off the board. He did, after all, hit .284/.354/.568 in 754 prior MLB plate appearances. A groin injury also hampered his production, and he additionally underwent offseason shoulder surgery. He struggled mightily against breaking balls, but actually deposited more walks without significant contact declines. The average could easily rise back to .250 with around 30 long balls, but is that enough to justify an investment around pick 60? Catcher is worse than usual, but that's still too steep in one-catcher formats.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
 Carpenter blew¬†away his previous career high by hitting 36 home runs in 2018, but that was fueled by a 19.1 percent HR/FB rate that was far higher than he's ever had before. To be fair, he did have the highest hard contact rate in MLB, so it's not like the home run spike was a total fluke, but fantasy owners should generally be cautious when a player has an outlier season this late in their career. The odds are against Carpenter hitting 35+ home runs again, and while he regularly produces an excellent OBP, he is a bit of a drag in batting average and has little speed to speak of. He's a much better pick in points leagues and leagues that reward OBP than he is in traditional 5x5 roto/categories leagues, where he could be overvalued.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
Sanchez flashed his sky-high fantasy upside in 2017, when he hit .278 with 33 HRs and 90 RBIs -- truly difference-making numbers at fantasy baseball's weakest position. But he displayed his risky floor in 2018, as he hit just .186 and played in only 89 games due to nagging groin and shoulder injuries. Sanchez is due for a good bit of positive batting average regression following last year's anemic .197 BABIP, and there is little doubt he can again top 30 home runs if he remains healthy. He is certainly a risk/reward option, but he's easily a top-two fantasy catcher heading into 2019 and could be a decent value in drafts coming off a down year.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 Despite entering the season with health woes and batting .155 in April, Carpenter then went scorched earth to hit .257/.374/.523 with a career-high 36 homers. It's dicey to bet on a 33-year-old coming off a career year, but he simply punishes baseball too severely to discredit. He led qualified hitters in hard-hit rate (49.0%) with the fifth-highest fly-ball rate (46.9%) and fourth-lowest popup rate (2.1%). Given his elite blend of hitting the ball hard, high, and far, Statcast's .535 XSLG and .386 xwOBA even offer room for growth. Expect more elite power in 2019.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
There is no getting past the fact that Sanchez was a train wreck last season., batting .186 with only 18 homers. With that said, he is still just 26 years old and we are talking about the fastest player to ever reach 50 homers in the MLB. Chance are high that he will bounce back in the batting average department, and if he can stay healthy, bank on 25 to 40 homers making him well worth a 7th or 8th round pick.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros