Who Should I Draft?

Matt Carpenter or Joey Gallo (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Matt Carpenter
1B,2B,3B - STL
Matt Carpenter
Joey Gallo
1B,LF,CF,RF - TEX
Joey Gallo
Expert
Recommendation
59%
Recommended by
35 of 59 experts
41%
Recommended by
24 of 59 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 49# 58
Best Rank# 12# 30
Worst Rank# 100# 130
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 65# 99
Best Rank# 58# 88
Worst Rank# 72# 110
   
Projections 
   
Runs9787
Home Runs2841
RBI7695
Stolen Bases35
Batting Average.256.219
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert-IL60
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 51# 91
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 35# 55
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 36# 66
   
Brad Richter
DailyOverlay
# 47# 58
   
Michael Beller
The Athletic
# 39# 79
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 50# 55
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 46# 63
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 65# 107
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 50# 56
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 36# 51
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 12# 76
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 37# 51
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 26# 43
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 48# 63
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 40# 78
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 37# 77
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 33# 75
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 47# 78
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 58# 73
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 36# 67
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 66# 100
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 48# 60
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 37# 78
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 29# 66
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 49# 60
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 51# 62
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 62# 70
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 54# 67
   
Dennis Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
# 42# 67
   
Bart Wheeler
Hail to Fantasy Football
# 45# 53
   
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 58# 77
   
Jason Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
# 38# 130
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 39# 96
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 24# 55
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 38# 63
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 47# 44
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 50# 38
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 51# 38
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 53# 50
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 55# 49
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 56# 30
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 57# 51
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 59# 49
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 61# 57
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 64# 52
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 64# 43
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 65# 32
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 68# 44
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 70# 41
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 70# 58
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 71# 44
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 72# 59
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 76# 49
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 78# 44
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 78# 42
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 81# 70
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 83# 43
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 100# 55
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 56
   
  Matt Carpenter
1B,2B,3B - STL
Matt Carpenter
Joey Gallo
1B,LF,CF,RF - TEX
Joey Gallo
2018 Stats 
   
   
At Bats564500
   
Runs11182
   
Hits145103
   
Singles6738
   
Doubles4224
   
Triples01
   
Home Runs3640
   
RBI8192
   
Stolen Bases43
   
Caught Stealing14
   
Walks10274
   
Strikeouts158207
   
Batting Average.257.206
   
On Base Pct.374.312
   
Slugging Pct.523.498
   
On-base Plus Slugging.897.810
   
  Matt Carpenter
1B,2B,3B - STL
Matt Carpenter
Joey Gallo
1B,LF,CF,RF - TEX
Joey Gallo
2019 Projections 
   
   
At Bats529498
   
Runs9787
   
Hits135109
   
Singles7143
   
Doubles3523
   
Triples23
   
Home Runs2841
   
RBI7695
   
Stolen Bases35
   
Caught Stealing23
   
Walks9576
   
Strikeouts140201
   
Batting Average.256.219
   
On Base Pct.369.322
   
Slugging Pct.486.523
   
On-base Plus Slugging.855.845
   
  Matt Carpenter
1B,2B,3B - STL
Matt Carpenter
Joey Gallo
1B,LF,CF,RF - TEX
Joey Gallo
News 
 Matt Carpenter went 1-for-2 with a go-ahead solo home run in Thursday's win over the Cubs.
Connor Rooney
Fri, Sep 20th
Joey Gallo (wrist) was placed on the 60-day injured list Friday.
Brad Camara
Sat, Sep 21st
 Matt Carpenter did not start Tuesday's game against the Nationals, and went 0-for-1 as a pinch hitter.
Connor Rooney
Wed, Sep 18th
Joey Gallo (wrist) is unlikely to play in the Rangers' upcoming weekend series against the A's, and may not ultimately return this season.
Brad Camara
Thu, Sep 19th
 Matt Carpenter went 2-for-3 with two walks, two singles, an RBI, and a run scored in Thursday's win over the Giants.
Connor Rooney
Thu, Sep 5th
Joey Gallo (wrist) is expected to come off the injured list September 20th.
Brad Camara
Thu, Sep 12th
 Matt Carpenter went 3-for-4 with a home run, three runs scored, two RBI, and a walk in Sunday's win over the Rockies.
Connor Rooney
Mon, Aug 26th
Joey Gallo will have to undergo surgery to repair a broken hamate bone in his wrist.
Brendan Tuma - Too Much Tuma
Thu, Jul 25th
 Matt Carpenter went 1-for-3 with a walk as the Cardinals defeated the Royals 2-0.
Brandon Plutner
Tue, Aug 13th
Joey Gallo (wrist) will likely require a stint on the injured list, and the Rangers are concerned that he may have a broken hamate bone.
Brad Camara
Wed, Jul 24th
Notes 
 Over the last five years, Carpenter has a remarkable 468 walks, which obviously has contributed to his 483 runs. In that time, his power has steadily improved, all the way to 36 homers last year, and while that total may not be repeatable, 30 homers with 100 runs makes him well worth a sixth round pick in 2019 fantasy leagues
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
Gallo has reached 40 HRs in each of his two full Major League seasons, and will enter 2019 as one of the best pure power hitters in the game. Unfortunately, that power comes attached to a .203 career batting average, meaning that fantasy owners who draft Gallo in standard 5x5 formats will need to either punt batting average or make a concerted effort to offset the damage he'll do there. Whether you draft Gallo or not is largely a matter of roster construction, but expect him to finish right around the top-100 players in terms of overall fantasy value. He does walk quite a bit, giving him a major boost in OBP formats.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 Carpenter blew away his previous career high by hitting 36 home runs in 2018, but that was fueled by a 19.1 percent HR/FB rate that was far higher than he's ever had before. To be fair, he did have the highest hard contact rate in MLB, so it's not like the home run spike was a total fluke, but fantasy owners should generally be cautious when a player has an outlier season this late in their career. The odds are against Carpenter hitting 35+ home runs again, and while he regularly produces an excellent OBP, he is a bit of a drag in batting average and has little speed to speak of. He's a much better pick in points leagues and leagues that reward OBP than he is in traditional 5x5 roto/categories leagues, where he could be overvalued.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
You may not love the idea of destroying your team's batting average with his .210 line, but you'll be hard-pressed to find 40 homers, and perhaps even 50 from anyone 50 picks early, let alone around the 9th round of drafts. If you combine him with Daniel Murphy in the 5th, you've got two players who combine for a .260 average with 65-70 homers. When you look at it that way, Gallo's value jumps off the page.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
 Despite entering the season with health woes and batting .155 in April, Carpenter then went scorched earth to hit .257/.374/.523 with a career-high 36 homers. It's dicey to bet on a 33-year-old coming off a career year, but he simply punishes baseball too severely to discredit. He led qualified hitters in hard-hit rate (49.0%) with the fifth-highest fly-ball rate (46.9%) and fourth-lowest popup rate (2.1%). Given his elite blend of hitting the ball hard, high, and far, Statcast's .535 XSLG and .386 xwOBA even offer room for growth. Expect more elite power in 2019.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
Barring a ton of good fortune, drafters should no longer draft Gallo hoping for a spike to even a .230 batting average. With MLB's worst contact rate last season (61.7%), it's no guarantee the career .203 hitter clears the Mendoza Line. He also, however, joined J.D. Martinez and Khris Davis as the only sluggers to belt 40 homers in each of the last two years. It will take a precise roster to tolerate the average liability in applicable leagues, but he's a much better investment in OBP, OPS and/or points leagues.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros