Who Should I Draft?

Matt Carpenter or Josh Donaldson (2019)

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Matt Carpenter
1B,2B,3B - STL
Matt Carpenter
Josh Donaldson
3B,DH - ATL
Josh Donaldson
Expert
Recommendation
80%
Recommended by
45 of 56 experts
20%
Recommended by
11 of 56 experts
Rankings 
   
ECR# 50# 65
Best Rank# 12# 21
Worst Rank# 100# 116
   
ADP 
   
Composite# 65# 89
Best Rank# 58# 81
Worst Rank# 72# 113
   
Projections 
   
Runs9780
Home Runs2827
RBI7676
Stolen Bases34
Batting Average.256.262
   
Misc 
   
Injury Alert--
   
Expert Ranks 
   
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
# 35# 57
   
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
# 36# 53
   
Brad Richter
Going For 2
# 47# 97
   
Michael Beller
Sports Illustrated
# 39# 80
   
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
# 50# 57
   
Steve Gardner
USA Today
# 46# 47
   
Site Projections
RotoChamp
# 65# 80
   
Grey Albright
Razzball
# 78# 104
   
Tim Young
Brewer Rat
# 68# 116
   
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
# 50# 61
   
Eno Sarris
The Athletic
# 36# 47
   
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
# 12# 26
   
Al Melchior
The Athletic
# 65# 78
   
Scott White
CBS Sports
# 37# 61
   
Heath Cummings
CBS Sports
# 26# 84
   
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
# 71# 81
   
Luke Gloeckner
Mr. Cheatsheet
# 59# 81
   
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
# 48# 67
   
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
# 40# 57
   
Jake Ciely
The Athletic
# 78# 96
   
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
# 47# 63
   
Chris Meaney
The Athletic
# 33# 66
   
Andy Singleton
Expand The Boxscore
# 53# 56
   
Heath Capps
Fake Teams
# 47# 55
   
Andrea LaMont
Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports
# 58# 79
   
Justin Klein
The Fake Baseball
# 36# 39
   
Chris Meyers
Athlon Sports
# 47# 60
   
Paul Sporer
FanGraphs
# 48
   
Nick Pollack
Pitcher List
# 37# 53
   
Bill Dubiel
RotoBaller
# 29# 57
   
Nick Mariano
RotoBaller
# 50# 51
   
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
# 56# 113
   
Justin Mason
FanGraphs
# 49# 56
   
Tyler Thompson
Fantasy Six Pack
# 51# 54
   
Jason Johnson
Understanding Fantasy Baseball
# 72# 101
   
Donkey Teeth
Razzball
# 62# 77
   
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
# 51# 53
   
Max Freeze
Freeze Stats
# 57# 86
   
Brandon 'B_Don' Myers
Razzball
# 64# 76
   
Jacob Gibbs
SportsLine
# 55# 58
   
Mick Ciallela
Fantrax
# 64# 72
   
Joe E Gentile
Fake Teams
# 39# 74
   
Ariel Cohen
FanGraphs
# 70# 85
   
Austin Bristow II
Pitcher List
# 24# 43
   
Todd D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
# 38# 76
   
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
# 37# 36
   
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
# 51# 41
   
Pierre Camus
RotoBaller
# 54# 46
   
Kyle Richardson
The Fantasy Headliners
# 61# 52
   
Mario Mergola
Sporfolio
# 66# 40
   
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
# 70# 51
   
Rudy Gamble
Razzball
# 76# 75
   
Andrew Seifter
FantasyPros
# 81# 44
   
Greg Smith
The Fake Baseball
# 83# 63
   
Nando Di Fino
The Athletic
# 100# 21
   
Staff Rankings
FullTime Fantasy
# 75
   
  Matt Carpenter
1B,2B,3B - STL
Matt Carpenter
Josh Donaldson
3B,DH - ATL
Josh Donaldson
2018 Stats 
   
   
At Bats564187
   
Runs11130
   
Hits14546
   
Singles6724
   
Doubles4214
   
Triples00
   
Home Runs368
   
RBI8123
   
Stolen Bases42
   
Caught Stealing10
   
Walks10231
   
Strikeouts15854
   
Batting Average.257.246
   
On Base Pct.374.352
   
Slugging Pct.523.449
   
On-base Plus Slugging.897.801
   
  Matt Carpenter
1B,2B,3B - STL
Matt Carpenter
Josh Donaldson
3B,DH - ATL
Josh Donaldson
2019 Projections 
   
   
At Bats529468
   
Runs9780
   
Hits135123
   
Singles7169
   
Doubles3526
   
Triples21
   
Home Runs2827
   
RBI7676
   
Stolen Bases34
   
Caught Stealing21
   
Walks9574
   
Strikeouts140117
   
Batting Average.256.262
   
On Base Pct.369.364
   
Slugging Pct.486.497
   
On-base Plus Slugging.855.861
   
  Matt Carpenter
1B,2B,3B - STL
Matt Carpenter
Josh Donaldson
3B,DH - ATL
Josh Donaldson
News 
 Matt Carpenter went 1-for-5 with a two-run triple and a run scored in the Cardinals' 7-3 loss to the Athletics on Tuesday.
Elliott Baas
Wed, Jun 26th
Josh Donaldson went 2-for-4 with a solo home run in Sunday's win over the Nationals.
Connor Rooney
Sun, Jun 23rd
 Matt Carpenter went 3-for-4 with a solo home run and three runs scored in the Cardinals' 5-0 win over the Marlins on Monday.
Elliott Baas
Mon, Jun 17th
Josh Donaldson went 2-for-3 with double and a walk in Friday's 4-3 loss against the Nationals.
Connor Rooney
Sat, Jun 22nd
 Matt Carpenter went 1-for-3 with an RBI on Thursday against the Mets.
Dan Harris
Fri, Jun 14th
Braves third baseman Josh Donaldson went 1-for-3 with a two-run home run and a walk in Wednesday's win over the Mets. The homer was his 14th of the season.
Mike Maher
Thu, Jun 20th
 Carpenter is not in the starting lineup for Friday's game against the Cubs.
Connor Rooney
Fri, Jun 7th
Braves third baseman Josh Donaldson stayed hot on Tuesday, going 2-for-4 with a solo home run in Tuesday's loss to the New York Mets. The homer was his 13th of the season.
Mike Maher
Wed, Jun 19th
 Carpenter was pulled in the top of the eighth inning of Thursday's game against the Cincinnati Reds; he was replaced at third base by Jedd Gyorko.
James Bisson
Thu, Jun 6th
Braves third baseman Josh Donaldson went 3-for-4 with a two-run home run and a double in Sunday's win over the Philadelphia Phillies. The homer was his 12th of the season and third in as many days.
Mike Maher
Mon, Jun 17th
Notes 
 Over the last five years, Carpenter has a remarkable 468 walks, which obviously has contributed to his 483 runs. In that time, his power has steadily improved, all the way to 36 homers last year, and while that total may not be repeatable, 30 homers with 100 runs makes him well worth a sixth round pick in 2019 fantasy leagues
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
Donaldson was one of the very best hitters in fantasy in 2015 and 2016. A calf injury cost him a big chunk of the 2017 season, but he still hit 33 home runs in 113 games. Then, in 2018, calf and shoulder injuries limited Donaldson to 52 games -- and had a huge impact on his performance while on the field. It's possible that Donaldson's body is falling apart and he'll never be the same, but it's also possible that he has one or two more big years left in the tank. That makes Donaldson a boom-or-bust pick, but the potential reward far outweighs the risk at his current ADP of 98.7.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
 Carpenter blew away his previous career high by hitting 36 home runs in 2018, but that was fueled by a 19.1 percent HR/FB rate that was far higher than he's ever had before. To be fair, he did have the highest hard contact rate in MLB, so it's not like the home run spike was a total fluke, but fantasy owners should generally be cautious when a player has an outlier season this late in their career. The odds are against Carpenter hitting 35+ home runs again, and while he regularly produces an excellent OBP, he is a bit of a drag in batting average and has little speed to speak of. He's a much better pick in points leagues and leagues that reward OBP than he is in traditional 5x5 roto/categories leagues, where he could be overvalued.
Andrew Seifter - FantasyPros
A calf injury limited Donaldson to just 52 games last season. He also wasn't his dominant self when healthy, batting .245/.352/.449 with his lowest wOBA (.345) since 2012. There's still 30-35 homers lurking if the former MVP can stay healthy, but that's an increasingly bigger if magnified by a rapid batting-average decline (.297, .284, .270, .246). It's not worth the hassle if going significantly earlier than the likes of Justin Turner, Travis Shaw, and Matt Chapman.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
 Despite entering the season with health woes and batting .155 in April, Carpenter then went scorched earth to hit .257/.374/.523 with a career-high 36 homers. It's dicey to bet on a 33-year-old coming off a career year, but he simply punishes baseball too severely to discredit. He led qualified hitters in hard-hit rate (49.0%) with the fifth-highest fly-ball rate (46.9%) and fourth-lowest popup rate (2.1%). Given his elite blend of hitting the ball hard, high, and far, Statcast's .535 XSLG and .386 xwOBA even offer room for growth. Expect more elite power in 2019.
Andrew Gould - FantasyPros
Over the last two years, Donaldson has missed half of his team's games, but he has still be exceptional when he plays, with 41 homers, 101 RBIs and 95 runs in 165 games. If he is healthy, you've got a second round value, but that is a big if so proceed at your own risk.
Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros
  End of Tier 4
Michael Florio - Fantrax